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Next week’s US elections in 2020: Moment of ‘panic button’ for the Republican Senate



Is 'Defund the Police' a major political mistake for Democrats?

5. First 48-day VP election:

Former Vice-President Joe Biden said he wanted to elect his nominee no later than August 1 – which is not long!

(This is my last view of 10 women who will most likely be Biden’s choice.)

Biden himself retreated from the previous quarterbacking about who was considered and who, well, no.

While he sometimes still offers praise for the most mentioned candidates – and his campaign has held virtual fundraising with politicians like New Mexico Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham – the former vice president has tended to reject many political obstacles lately.

Which means things are becoming more serious.

4. How does the Democratic Party dance ‘Defund the Police?’:

What Democrats want to spend in Congress this week is about the legislation package they introduced last week aimed at reforming the police – from banning chokehold to building a national database of police violations.

What they might have to fight for – for the second week in a row – is an ongoing call from several Black activists to fully harass the police and reallocate the funds to support marginalized communities.
A very full position, politically. A ABC News-Ipsos poll released Friday showed that two-thirds of Americans oppose police denudation. But nearly 6 out of 10 (57%) of black Americans support such actions – and reallocate the money to more community-based programs.
Trying to move beyond the “defund the police” debate, House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn, a high-ranking African-American official in Congress, said this on CNN on Sunday:

“Nobody will fund the police. We can restructure the police forces. Restructure, re-imagine the police. That’s what we will do. The fact is that the police have a role to play.”

Which is politically the right place. Many people support law enforcement reform. Much less back is shaved completely.

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The question before the congressional Democrats was whether Clyburn’s position on Sunday was enough for their party activist wing.

3. Trump and the road:

On Saturday, President Donald Trump delivered the opening address at West Point. And when he left the stage, the camera catches it walking carefully down the road to the ground.

Twitter became a banana, showing Trump looking old and weak. Of course what Twitter does.

But then Trump decided to drastically strengthen his current profile – and make sure it became a much bigger story.

“The road that I went down after West Point’s speech began very long & steep, had no grip and, most importantly, very slippery,” Trump tweeted on Saturday night. “The last thing I will do is ‘fall’ on the Fake News for fun. The last ten feet I run to flat ground. Momentum!”

It’s hard to overstate the miscalculation here by Trump. Without his tweet, the video of him walking down the path is, perhaps, a little Sunday story. With that tweet, it is a BIG story on Sunday, with the potential to leak into the week that the President wants to focus on restarting his re-election campaign.

So why did he do it? Because he cannot be described publicly as a weak person or anything that is less than fully in command at all times. So even if he magnifies criticism, Trump feels as though he has to respond. (Read this about the definition of Trump’s twisted obstinacy.)

It was a political instinct that brought disaster.

2. The Trump campaign resumes:

It’s been the last few weeks of disaster for Trump and his party. (See below). The president hopes this is a week where things change, with everything leading to Saturday’s rally in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

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Meanwhile it has been tampered with (The rally was originally scheduled for Friday, June 19, known as Juneteenth, a day celebrating the end of slavery) Trump and his closest allies see the return to the campaign trail as perhaps something that can heal what upsets the political fate of the President.

Trump, once a hype man, said on Twitter Friday that “we already have ticket requests for more than 200,000 people. I hope to see everyone in Oklahoma!”
There is no doubt that Trump is driven by crowd energy, and that there will be a ton of people present on Saturday night. (No, there won’t be 200,000 people; the arena where the event is held has the capacity more than 19,000.)

But with soaring coronaviruses – in the west and southwest in particular – this week’s news coverage tends to focus, at least in part, on Trump’s policy of holding a huge general meeting at all.

Participants have been asked to sign a waiver that acknowledges the Covid-19 contract at a general meeting is a possibility. The Tulsa health director said that Saturday he hopes Trump will postpone the general meeting because of concerns about “our ability to protect anyone who is attending a large event indoors.”

However, there are no current plans to establish social distance at public meetings or wear mandate masks.

So yes, Trump is likely to get what he wants – a large crowd celebrating the country’s “transition to greatness”. But how much does it cost?

1. Press the panic button:

Late Saturday night, the Des Moines Register released a poll about the Iowa Senate race. And that was very surprising.

Democrat Theresa Greenfield took 46% in the poll to 43% for Iowa Republican Senator Joni Ernst. As a poll for J. Ann Selzer note down, that’s the first the election since Ernst ran and won in 2014 which shows he trailed electoral opponents.
While the numbers don’t indicate that Ernst will lose – the Republicans are just getting started attack / define Greenfield afterwards his main win earlier this month – they make it clear that the race that looks on the competitive edge now looks like a very real contest.

And that is t-r-o-u-b-l-e for the Republican Senate who hopes to maintain their narrow majority this fall.

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Why? Because there are many seats that are seen by independent handicapers at least as fragile as Iowa.

That Cook Political Reports, for example, ranks Iowa as “leaning Republicans” along with Georgia, Kansas and Montana seats. And they rank four more GOP seats – Arizona, Colorado, Maine and North Carolina – as a lottery, which means they are the most endangered.

Do the math: That’s nine chairs. In contrast, Cook judged that only two Democratic seats – Alabama and Michigan – were competitive. And when you think that Democrats only need to get three seats to win back the majority if Biden wins the presidential election (and four if he doesn’t), you can see why the Republicans have a very bad Saturday night (and Sunday).

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Portuguese historical films will premiere on 29 December.



Portuguese historical films will premiere on 29 December.

Method Media Bermuda will present the documentary FABRIC: Portuguese History in Bermuda on Thursday, December 29 at the Underwater Research Institute of Bermuda.

A spokesperson said: “Method Media is proud to bring Bermuda Fabric: Portugal History to Bermuda for its 5th and 6th showing at the Bermuda Underwater Observatory. In November and December 2019, Cloth: A Portuguese Story in Bermuda had four sold-out screenings. Now that Bermuda has reopened after the pandemic, it’s time to bring the film back for at least two screenings.

“There are tickets For $ 20 – sessions at 15:30 and 18:00. Both screenings will be followed by a short Q&A session.

Director and producer Milton Raboso says, “FABRIC is a definitive account of the Portuguese community in Bermuda and its 151 years of history, but it also places Bermuda, Acors and Portugal in the world history and the events that have fueled those 151 years.

“It took more than 10 years to implement FABRIC. The film was supported by the Minister of Culture, the Government of the Azores and private donors.

Bermuda Media Method [MMB] Created in 2011 by producer Milton Raposo. MMB has created content for a wide range of clients: Bermuda’s new hospital renovation, reinsurance, travel campaigns, international sports and more. MMB pays special attention to artistic, cultural and historical content.

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Maestro de Braga is the first Portuguese in the National Symphony Orchestra of Cuba.



Maestro de Braga is the first Portuguese in the National Symphony Orchestra of Cuba.

Maestro Filipe Cunha, Artistic Director of the Philharmonic Orchestra of Braga, has been invited to conduct the Cuban National Symphony Orchestra, as announced today.

According to a statement sent by O MINHO, “he will be the first Portuguese conductor to conduct this orchestra in its entire history.”

In addition to this orchestra, the maestro will also work with the Lyceo Mozarteum de la Habana Symphony Orchestra.

The concerts will take place on 4 and 12 March 2023 at the National Theater of Cuba in Havana.

In the words of the maestro, quoted in the statement, “these will be very beautiful concerts with difficult but very complex pieces” and therefore he feels “very motivated”.

From the very beginning, Rachmaninoff’s Piano Concerto No. 2 will be performed by an Italian pianist (Luigi Borzillo), whom the maestro wants to bring to Portugal later this year. In the same concert, Mendelshon’s First Symphony will be performed.

Then, at the second concert, in the company of the Mexican clarinetist Angel Zedillo, he will perform the Louis Sfora Concerto No. 2. In this concert, the maestro also conducts Tchaikovsky’s Fifth Symphony.

“This is an international recognition of my work. An invitation that I accept with humility and great responsibility. I was surprised to learn that I would be the first Portuguese member of the Cuban National Symphony Orchestra. This is a very great honor,” the maestro said in a statement.

“I take with me the name of the city of Braga and Portugal with all the responsibility that goes with it, and I hope to do a good job there, leaving a good image and putting on great concerts. These will be very special concerts because, in addition to performing pieces that I love, especially Rachmaninov and Tchaikovsky, I will be directing two wonderful soloists who are also my friends. It will be very beautiful,” concludes Filipe Cunha.

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