Consider where we are as a country now.
* Floyd’s death has triggered (in large part) peaceful protests throughout the country, not only about police brutality but also about the deep and lasting racial inequalities that exist in American society. (See these six charts which show the reality of inequality strongly.)
* Biden owes his status as a presumptive presidential candidate almost entirely to black voters – especially in South Carolina. Biden’s campaign wobbled badly – he finished 4th in Iowa, 5th in New Hampshire and 2nd in Nevada – before February 29th at Palmetto State. According to the results of the poll, black voters constituted the majority (56%) of South Carolina’s main voters and exceptionally (61%) for Biden. His win in the state pushed him to a series of victories at Super Tuesday – only three days later – and, at the time, the nomination was his.
South Carolina Rep. Jim Clyburn, whose endorsement of Biden a few days before the main election, without question, was the turning point of the race, was asked about Biden choosing a black woman as his partner on Wednesday morning in a conversation with Jonathan The Washington Post. Capehart. “The only thing that needs to be in this process right now is to win,” Clyburn said. “That is to win. This will be a plus to have African-American women. It will be a plus to have a Latin. It will be a plus to have a woman.”
True enough! But there are compelling reasons to be made that Biden’s best chance of winning the White House is by choosing a black woman as her partner.
Remember that one of the main reasons why Hillary Clinton lost the 2016 election to Donald Trump was because black voters fell as a percentage of the overall turnout from 2012 and he won them less than President Barack Obama had.
For all the focus on the Midwest and white industry, non-college educated voters who went with Trump, had Clinton been able to push the number of black voters to the level during Obama’s two victories, he would almost certainly have won.
Now, just putting people of color on a ticket doesn’t mean you win black votes or make sure they produce large amounts. But politics at the presidential level is often about symbolism. And who Biden chooses as his vice president will be his best chance to reveal how he views his party, the country and the world – and what he prioritizes among the many, many problems facing the US today.
Back to Biden chosen by Obama in 2008. Concerns among voters at the time were that a relatively inexperienced senator – Obama had been in the room for two years when he began running for president – might have had too much learning curve as president. So Obama chose Biden, a man who had spent his entire adult life in politics and Washington, sending a symbolic message that there would be a steady hand behind the wheel. George W. Bush made the same calming choice as Dick Cheney in 2000. Trump chose Indiana Governor Mike Pence as a vice presidential candidate as a nod to the formation of the party – although, if you think about it, it’s clear that it was just a nod. , not an actual effort to incorporate the views and approaches of establishment into his presidency.
Biden, if you listen carefully to his speech in Philadelphia on Tuesday, seems to indicate the need for big action – and different choices – when talking about the race problems that are still burning in this country. Here’s the key part of what he said (bold is mine):
“That will require more than just talking. We talked before. We have protested before. “
“Let’s vow to make this, finally, an era of action to reverse systemic racism with old and concrete changes.
“That action will not be completed within the first 100 days of my presidency – or even the entire term of office.
“That is the work of a generation. “
Choosing a black woman one generation (or more) younger than Biden will send a signal about how committed she really is to changing racial dynamics in this country. (This will be the first time a black woman has become a vice-presidential candidate for one of the major parties.)
And lucky for Biden, he has a number of African-American women who will make an excellent choice.
Even before Biden’s ugliness “you’re not black” and the rebellion after the murder of George Floyd, California Senator, Kamala Harris (age 55), who was the first African-American and Indian-American to be elected to the Senate from California, was at the top of the VP ranking me. Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (50 years old) and Florida Rep. Val Demings (63 years old) is in the Top 6. Now? It’s hard to see three people more likely to be a choice. (Stay here for me new ranking on Thursday!)
Biden said he hopes to make a decision about his partner before August 1. In fact, the decision may have been made – or at least significantly narrowed – by the events of the past 10 days.