Senator Shiro Nogueira of Covid CPI: PP President Proposed to Replace Ramos in the Civil Chamber (Jefferson Rudy / Agencia Senado)
Since last week, another chair dance in the ministries has been taken almost for granted. “This time, it looks like the intent is to accommodate Centrewhose “price” for government support rises as Planalto Palace weakens politically, ”says political analyst André Cesar of Hold Assessoria. In March, the government exchanged six ministers, including Ernesto Araujo from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Fernando Azevedo e Silva from the Ministry of Defense.
- Find out how decisions by Planalto, the House and the Senate affect your investment. Sign the EXAM…
Negotiations on new changes to the Esplanade of ministries have been underway for some time, but they gained more power last week, thanks to the development of political language for 2022 g. and CPI Covid.
Important moves are marked in electoral chess. Luis Inacio Lula da Silva, Considered the main electoral opponent of President Jair Bolsonaro, he has intensified conversations with prominent figures from the Center, such as Senator Ciro Nogueira (IP), the national president of the PP. It is not by chance that it is quoted that the politician will replace General Luis Eduardo Ramos in the leadership of the Civil Chamber.
“In this sense, pointing to Ciro could have been an attempt by Bolsonaro to keep Centrão on his side,” Cesar analyzes.
The PP is currently one of the largest parties in the country. According to political scientist Thiago Vidal of the consulting company Prospectiva, it is “one of the largest parties growing in terms of national projection.” If he retains the results of the last municipal elections, the legend “will become, together with the SDP, one of the largest right-of-center parties, including in terms of the number of city halls,” he says.
For political scientist Leandro Gabiati, a partner at the consulting firm Dominium, the intention to move closer to the PP has a more immediate motive: political survival. This is a way for the government to get closer to the Senate, where it is facing a lot of resistance, in addition to the CPI, which generates negative facts for Planalto almost every day.
“The government clearly had problems in the Senate. While he notes that in the House he manages to move forward with projects and he has a strong alliance with President Arthur Lira, things are different in the Senate, ”says Gabiati. “The Senate has become a very big obstacle for Planalto,” he says.
the Ministry of Labour
The idea of re-establishing the Ministry of Labor and Employment also received a new impetus. Behind the scenes of the Palácio do Planalto, it is predicted that by Friday 23rd, a temporary rescue measure for the folder will be published in the Official Gazette.
For now, Onyx Lorenzoni (DEM), the current Minister of the General Secretariat of the Government, remains the preferred name for the leadership of the new ministry.
“The creation of the new portfolio opens up a number of opportunities to fill second and third tier positions that must be challenged by Centrão,” says Cesar. “With these moves, Bolsonaro opens up a flank that could have a herd effect, with a lot of pressure to distribute positions and even recreate another portfolio, social security.”
…