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The Fed raises interest rates by 75 points. Such aggressiveness has not been seen for 28 years – Monetary Policy

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The Fed raises interest rates by 75 points.  Such aggressiveness has not been seen for 28 years - Monetary Policy

The US Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate by 75 basis points, which thus moves into a range of 1.5% to 1.75%.

The US central bank began a cycle of raising key interest rates in March last year, increasing them by 25 basis points. At the next meeting in May, it increased even more: by 50 basis points. At the time, he ruled out the option of a 75-point increase, and the consensus pointed to two more increases, 50 basis points each, at the June and July meetings.

It turns out that since the end of last week, bets began to rise that the Fed could go 75 basis points to try to contain inflation – which in May unexpectedly updated the maximum of the last 40 years (at 8.6%). , as the peak is estimated to have passed.

This is exactly what happened, making it the biggest increase since 1994.

In addition, the Fed has signaled that it will continue to raise interest rates this year at the fastest rate in decades, while trying to slow the economy and fight inflation.

Central bank governor Jerome Powell has already said that the Fed may raise interest rates at every meeting this year, but the size is larger than originally expected.

However, the scatter plot – a map showing how each central banker views interest rate changes – points to a 50 basis point increase in interest rates at all other Fed meetings this year, that is, in July, September, November and December. .

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According to the scatter plot, the Fed points to a discount rate of 3.4% at the end of 2022, 3.8% at the end of 2023 and 3.4% at the end of 2024.

However, the Federal Reserve changed the reference to the 2% inflation target from “expected” to “mandatory”.

Powell has already spoken at the usual press conference after the announcement of the monetary policy decision and stressed that inflation is too high and that there is a tendency for inflationary pressures to increase further.

The Fed chairman said a 75 basis point increase should not be the norm, but he did not rule out such a possibility at the July meeting (pointing to a 50 or 75 basis point increase at that meeting).

Jerome Powell also said that after the likely hike in key interest rates, the federal funds rate should also move to a more normal basis at the next meeting, which will allow central banks to consider the necessary measures from there.

The rise and fall of interest rates in recent years

After about seven years of no change in interest rates (they were cut in December 2008), which remained at historical lows between 0% and 0.25%, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates nine times between the end of 2015 and December 2018 .

The Fed made its first hike (by 25 basis points) in December 2015 and then raised the discount rate again by 25 basis points in December 2016. This was followed by three more increases of 25 basis points in 2017 and four more increases in 2018.

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However, in July 2019, he made his first cut since December 2008. That is, after 10 and a half years, he returned to the policy of stimulating the economy, at the moment of deceleration.

Powell said this 25 basis point cut in the federal funds rate in July would not be the beginning of a long cycle of cuts. But in September of that year, interest rates fell again, and this happened again at the October monetary policy meeting when they returned to the 0% to 0.25% range. And so it continued until March of this year, when a new cycle of ascents began.

(news updated at 20:16)

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Economy

What factors impact financial markets?

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The global financial markets are now hugely complex, with traders and analysts around the world looking closely for signs of movement. What are some of the most important factors to be aware of that impact the financial markets?

Geopolitical events

With news breaking from different countries throughout the day, many different stories could affect the markets on any given day. For instance, economic indicators such as the European Central Bank’s inflation rates and gross domestic product numbers released by each country can determine which direction the markets take. Stocks, currencies and other financial instruments can all vary depending on these areas.

Major events such as war breaking out, natural disasters and elections also have an effect. When we look at the commodities market, climate change is an issue to bear in mind, with unusual weather sometimes causing scarcity or abundance of a certain product.

An interesting aspect of the modern financial world is the way that the different markets are linked. This means that any important event or news story that affects one area could easily affect another, even if the link isn’t obvious at first sight. We can also see how local shocks and events can quickly have an effect at a global level.

The financial crisis of 2008 is a good example, as it started with a serious downturn in the US housing market. Although this appeared to be a localized issue at first, it soon revealed some major issues with the global banking setup that caused problems around the planet affecting millions of people and diverse industries.

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Speculation and investment trends

The previous factors all point toward the markets changing, and there’s no shortage of traders around the world waiting to see what happens next and how they can benefit. This means that we need to take into account other issues such as speculation and investment trends in the markets.

Armed with a variety of tools, including candlestick charts, traders try to identify trends such as support and resistance levels. They use the information they glean from the charts to make their moves, which can influence the general market if enough people make the same moves or if the amounts involved are significant.

Once an investment trend begins, it can have a knock-on effect that would have been impossible to predict at the outset. The example of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies shows how something that starts small can grow impressively. Cryptocurrencies have now gained enough mainstream appeal to influence and disrupt many industries, from healthcare to gaming and banking.

It’s important to understand how the leaders of a company operate and how they have faced challenges in the past. If we look at banking and the Bank of New York Mellon in particular, we can see that its history can be traced back to 1784, so it has overcome all the major events that have occurred since then. With some of the biggest names in the business world making up its key institutional investors, this is a company that we would expect to react effectively to changing markets.

Regulatory changes and company results

Just about every industry represented in the financial markets has laws and regulations that govern it. This means that the fear of harsher new laws is an almost constant threat. Meanwhile, the hope that beneficial changes to the regulations help businesses prosper is the other side of this matter that investors keep a close eye on.

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Let’s not forget the role played by the profit and loss results produced by major companies. It’s clear that these results have an almost immediate effect on their stock prices. However, we should also bear in mind that this effect can reach other areas of the economy. A surprising set of results for a large business can produce shock waves that travel around the market.

What impact do they cause?

From the wide variety of examples that we’ve looked at here, it’s clear that the impact isn’t going to be the same in every case. While one set of circumstances might snowball and cause a huge impact, another might cause a limited impact before the news disappears as other events overtake it.

Having said that, one of the key issues that they cause is a higher degree of market volatility. We can see how this works by looking at an area such as the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The markets became a lot more volatile as the different aspects of the pandemic became clear. Streaming companies, healthcare companies and video conferencing technology firms made huge profits, while airlines and hotels were among those to lose out massively.

Working out the overall impact of a particular situation is almost impossible to do now. With so many traders looking over the latest news stories and numbers with advanced tools, the original impact can quickly grow or simply disappear. Therefore, the key for investors is to understand emerging trends and react to them before it’s too late.

These details reveal how complex the global financial market is now. It’s a fascinating world, and with more information at our fingertips than ever before, it’s something that anyone can start to research and understand in their own way.

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Economy

Everything has been delivered. 10 Bugatti Centodieci are already in the hands of the owners

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Everything has been delivered.  10 Bugatti Centodieci are already in the hands of the owners

OAll Bugatti Centodieci have been delivered, the Molsheim-based brand said on Monday. Cristiano Ronaldo received the number 07 in October this year. and Bugatti has now revealed that the latest unit – #10 – is already in the possession of its owner.

“The Centodieci combines all the values ​​of the Bugatti brand in an extraordinary package: rarity, innovation, heritage, craftsmanship and unrivaled performance. The production batch of 10 units was so in demand by our customers that it was sold before the Centodieci. was even officially presented,” said Christophe Piochon, president of Bugatti.

This latest example is finished in Quartz White with carbon fiber trim on the bottom and matte grilles. The brake calipers are painted in Light Blue Sport, as is the logo on the rear that refers to the EB110, the iconic Bugatti model that inspired this Centodieci. Inside, the predominant color is also blue, as you can see in the images above.

This block is powered by the same block as the other nine instances. The 8.0-liter W16 with four turbines is capable of developing 1600 hp. In terms of performance, this allows the Centodieci to hit 100 km/h in just 2.4 seconds and reach a top speed of 380 km/h.

Recall that each unit costs the owners eight million euros before taxes.

Read also: We already know when the Bugatti Centodieci fell into the hands of Ronaldo.

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Economy

The first Dacia hybrid. “The cheapest hybrid family on the market”

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The first Dacia hybrid.  "The cheapest hybrid family on the market"

BUT Dacia revealed this Monday that the hybrid engine has been available since March on the Jogger, the Romanian brand’s model known to be available with a seven-seat variant.

The Jogger Hybrid 140, Dacia’s first hybrid, will hit dealerships in March, but customers can expect and order it as early as January.

The price has been revealed by Dacia and since it’s only available in the seven-seater SL Extreme, it starts at €28,800. The brand claims it is “the most affordable hybrid family car on the market.”

Available in six existing colors to celebrate the launch of this hybrid, there will be a slate gray version, as you can see in the images above.

Equipped with a 1.6 liter four-cylinder petrol engine with 90 hp, the Jogger is also powered by two electric motors (a 50 hp engine and a high-voltage starter-generator). The total power is 140 horsepower. The electric transmission is automatic, four-speed, connected to an internal combustion engine, and two speeds are connected to an electric motor. This combined technology was possible, according to Dacia, only due to the lack of clutch.

Combined with the energy recovery levels of the 1.2kWh (230V) battery pack and the efficiency of the automatic transmission, regenerative braking delivers all-electric traction on 80% of urban journeys and saves up to 40% of fuel compared to a combustion engine vehicle.

Read also: Dual-fuel Dacia Jogger Eco-G. We tried 5 seater and LPG…

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