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PT may fail at what it did best in public policy – 10/24/2022

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Leandro Ferreira*

In the 2018 election campaign, the idea of ​​a universal basic income was present in the program of the main candidates for the presidency of the republic. At that time, Marina Silva, Ciro Gomez, Guilherme Boulos, Lula (later Fernando Haddad) and even Jair Bolsonaro mentioned that they would improve the policy of that time towards increasing the number of beneficiaries with the potential to achieve universality.

The Covid-19 pandemic played a decisive role in proving this: a highway was opened for people to receive government benefits through Emergency help, shifting incomes previously restricted to the poorest to more than half of Brazil’s population. The result of this, although poorly planned and poorly designed, is Help for Brazil, with vast resources and more beneficiaries than the Bolsa Família, not least because of rising poverty. Complete this script ruling of the Federal Supreme Court of 2021 on the regulation of federal law 10.835/2004 on the basic income of a citizenwhich Bolsonaro, strictly speaking, did not do with Auxilio Brasil and can still be questioned in court.

For the 2022 election results, this issue is even more relevant. It is understood that Bolsonaro is using the advantage of being in government to try to change the course of elections with public money. Proof of this are the advance payments of benefits and, in particular, the party Auxílio Brasil. It is necessary to react as soon as possible at the political level, in addition to judicial measures.

There is a clear erosion of support for former President Lula among the poorest segments of the population: false information is actively circulating among the beneficiaries that the current 600 reais will return to the nominal level of the Bolsa Família (about 190 reais), the name of which PT does not name. surrenders in his communication and insinuations that his election will mean the end of the party, contrary to what those who need it want.

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Lula and PT, who received a well-deserved trophy for fighting poverty, correctly criticized the party. It is about the financialization of social policy and the opening of space for the market to become a provider of social policy. But what alternative is presented so far? The GOT proposal for a supplementary allowance for children aged 0-6 years has hardly had any impact and would not lead to a significant increase in the average allowance as long as it is within this range. Contrasting the possibility of having fixed, liquid, and secure capital in the hands of the poorest strata with the praise of past conventions and over-purposefulness does not seem to work.

An amount similar to that authorized by the consignee is used to settle rent arrears, bills or arrears, including in the informal market or between family members. Covers unexpected medical expenses during difficult times. It serves to improve living conditions from the door to the inside, through the acquisition of appliances and furniture. The liberal view believes that this resource is useful for creating or improving the conditions for the production of something that guarantees the family’s perpetual livelihood.

After all, it must be understood that the poorest also want and need access to the living conditions enjoyed by the upper classes, including access to credit. The problem is that in order to gain access to them, those who go through processes of vulnerability are exposed to the fury of the Bolsonaro government of the worst in the financial market. Interest on interest, which means not only worsening the financial future of these families, but also great risks for the whole society, which will see an increase in its army of debts. Even Milton Friedman, named on Bolsonaro’s program in 2018, would not bet on this path. The economist, idolized by liberals, some of them in government, understood that overcoming poverty meant promoting the common good, not predatory debt.

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It would be better to offer the beneficiaries of Auxílio Brasil a supplement capable of guaranteeing survival, depending on the composition of their family. This alternative can be combined with large annual payments that act as a loan but do not expose beneficiaries to the risks they pose.

Proposals to adjust income transfers are nothing new. The time to reformulate the hugely successful Bolsa Família program is now, as all public policies are in the process of being revised. It’s time to finally move to a basic income, universal and unconditional. This is a lesson learned from the pandemic and a consequence of the 2018 election. After all, the money in your pocket remains one of the most decisive factors in determining the outcome of an election. Bolsonaro knows this and is trying to win the game at home.

*Leandro Ferreira, BSc Public Policy Management USP, MA Public Policy UFABC. He leads the Brazilian Basic Income Network.

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.

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Goal.com

The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022

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Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

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“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

See more news, photos and videos at www.ansabrasil.com.br.

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