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Pretense in International Politics (III) – Observer

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Pretense in International Politics (III) – Observer

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The nuclear program of the Islamic Republic of Iran is one of the most egregious cases of deceit in international politics. Publicly, Iranian leaders say their nuclear program is peaceful. Religious principles are invoked to convince the unwary of the peaceful intentions of the regime. Secretly, Tehran continues to do what it has always done. On May 11 of this year, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) accused Tehran of not disclosing information related to the detection of atomic particles at old and never declared objects in the context of the Joint Global Action Plan (JCPOA) inspection regime. .

The said agreement or plan stipulates that in the event of such a breach, the IAEA will have to explain to Iran the reasons for its concern and request clarification. Hence, a restraining legal sanction. The significance of this recent discovery, which confirms others and points to a cover-up scheme, is clear: Iran has not complied with the requirements imposed by said agreement. During the term of the CAPG, the IAEA demanded access to undeclared facilities and expressed its dissatisfaction with Tehran, but never definitively declared that Iranian refusals were indicative of a violation of the agreement and a perversion of its spirit. Thus, some quarrels.

In the recent past, when the IAEA was asked to officially comment on Iran’s behavior, it claimed that Tehran complied with the stipulated conditions. Where are you going, IAEA? Other “minor” issues not neglected by Britain, Germany, and France, such as the development of ICBMs capable of carrying nuclear warheads, were publicized but were never perceived as serious enough to prompt and justify the development and adoption of a much more serious reliable and comprehensive inspection regime. The unvarnished truth is that the Islamic Republic’s non-compliance with the JCPOA Agreement has always been a public secret that all parties involved have never clarified because they had no political interest in it. States, especially foreign bureaucracies and the IAEA itself, are as fond of diplomatic failures as politicians are of electoral defeats.

However, the most interesting aspect of the Iranian deception campaign has more to do with its failure than its success. As I said, the agreement was sacralized by fear of the political costs of its failure. Whoever criticized him was immediately appointed comment The media is like a crazy Trumpist or an inveterate warmonger. The nuances and the most egregious facts are rarely properly considered in public debate, such is the degree of ideological polarization. In Israel, some prominent analysts argue that the deal’s main merit is that it allows it to “buy time” and maintain the (fictitious) option of diplomatic deterrence, despite all the evidence that the passage of time only harms the national interests of the country’s Jewish state.

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Conscious of the political investment made and the costs associated with its failure, Tehran has used the sacralization of the agreement and the benevolent “use of doubt” that well-meaning diplomats and European, North American and Israeli progressives love. In other words, Tehran has taken advantage of the perceived “urgency” (ethical) of the agreement to continue to “hide” its true agenda in plain sight. The agreement, which everyone knew about, has been violated and which continues to cloud Iranian plans with ambivalence and various hesitation on the part of a large part of the international community. This is without a doubt one of the strangest cases of deception.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine tragically shows how delicate and dangerous a conflict with a nuclear power can be. The breadth of Russia’s actions in Ukraine (etc.) and the West’s restrictive caution are largely the result of Russia’s possession of nuclear weapons. Moscow is protected by a nuclear shield. North Korea, a regime completely dependent on Beijing and often acting in accordance with the instructions of the Central Committee of the PRC, repeatedly provokes Japan and the West with nuclear tests. Little can be done to contain Pyongyang. A North Korean missile could hit Seoul in minutes.

Pakistan also enjoys equal “strategic autonomy”. Of course, it was no coincidence that the remaining Taliban leadership sought refuge in Pakistan after their brethren were massacred and overthrown in the first two years of the Afghan war. The ideological affinity between Afghan and Pakistani Pashtuns explains the migration, but the fact that Pakistan is a nuclear power has certainly influenced the calculations of the Taliban and the Americans, especially given the central role of special forces bombing. Repeated violations of Pakistani airspace would certainly anger Islamabad. What does all this have to do with Iran and the failed Joint Action Plan (JCPOA)? Einstein said that “imagination is more important than knowledge.”

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Politics

The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.

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The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

See also  Idaho librarian resigns due to political climate of 'extremism' and 'militant Christian fundamentalism'
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The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022

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Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

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“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

See more news, photos and videos at www.ansabrasil.com.br.

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