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No red wave, no blue sea. A Portrait of a Deeply Divided America – News

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First of all, some context: every two years the United States holds midterm elections to determine the control of Congress, which consists of the House of Representatives and the Senate.

Thus, Tuesday’s race included 435 seats in the lower house (representatives) and 35 seats in the upper house (senate). Why 35? Because 100 senators are elected to a continuous six-year term, and only a third of them are elected every two years.

So far, the Democrats have held a narrow majority of five seats in the House of Representatives; in the Senate, a Democratic majority was secured only by a decisive vote by Vice President Kamala Harris.

At the time of writing this newsletter, the vote count is still pending – with the possibility that the Senate race won’t be decided until Dec. 6 as Georgia could remain “open” if Raphael Warnock (Democrat) and Herschel Walker (Republican) don’t score though 50% of the votes. While the Associated Press is predicting a GOP win in both houses, the race is so close that it’s hard to be sure at this point.

The only possible conclusion is that this America remains deeply divided two years after Biden was elected and in the first election since the infamous attack on the Capitol on January 6, 2021.

What else do these elections tell us?

  1. there is a deep refusal de Biden: According to a poll released today, more than two-thirds of voters who voted in the US midterm elections do not want President Joe Biden to be re-elected in the 2024 presidential election. In fact, the popularity of the current president is at a very low level. , only 41.4% approval and 53.5% disapproval;
  2. Inflation and rising cost of living have been determinants at the time of the vote – and the Democrats could not fully respond to the attacks of the Republicans on this issue.
  3. The Democratic base took to the streets: Democrats were able to capitalize on their electorate’s outrage over the Supreme Court’s decision to overrule Rowe’s decision. Wade, who secured the right to abortion, with many assume that this factor was decisive in the midterm vote. Concerns about the fragility of democracy were no less influential—remember that Biden campaigned to warn of the threat posed by Republicans and, in particular, by voters backing Donald Trump on this issue;
  4. blake houndshell, in this article The New York Times also highlights low quality of some Republican candidates in this election to explain why there was no “red wave”, noting that Mitch McConnell himself, the Republican Minority Leader in the Senate, expressed concerns about the quality of the elected.
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One thing is for sure: if the Associated Press predictions come true and the Republican Party gains control of the House of Representatives and the Senate, it will not be easy for Biden as president. Donald Trump, who promised to make a “big announcement” on November 15, may have the decisive momentum here to enter the US presidential race in 2024.

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Vladimir Putin has delayed the invasion of Ukraine at least three times.

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Putin has repeatedly consulted with Russian Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu about the invasion, Europa Press told Ukraine’s chief intelligence director Vadim Skibitsky.

According to Skibitsky, it was the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB), which is responsible for counterintelligence and espionage work, that put pressure on Gerasimov and other military agencies to agree to launch an offensive. .

However, according to the Ukrainian intelligence services, the FSB considered that by the end of February sufficient preparations had already been made to guarantee the success of the Russian Armed Forces in a lightning invasion.

However, according to Kyiv, the Russian General Staff provided the Russian troops with supplies and ammunition for only three days, hoping that the offensive would be swift and immediately successful.

The head of Ukrainian intelligence also emphasized the cooperation of local residents, who always provided the Ukrainian authorities with up-to-date information about the Russian army, such as the number of soldiers or the exact location of troops.

The military offensive launched on February 24 by Russia in Ukraine caused at least 6.5 million internally displaced persons and more than 7.8 million refugees to European countries, which is why the UN classifies this migration crisis as the worst in Europe since World War II (1939-1945). gg.). ).

At the moment, 17.7 million Ukrainians are in need of humanitarian assistance, and 9.3 million are in need of food aid and housing.

The UN has presented as confirmed 6,755 civilian deaths and 10,607 wounded since the beginning of the war, stressing that these figures are much lower than the real ones.

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Life sentence for former Swedish official for spying for Russia

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A Stockholm court on Monday sentenced a former Swedish intelligence officer to life in prison for spying for Russia, and his brother to at least 12 years in prison. In what is considered one of the most serious cases in Swedish counterintelligence history, much of the trial took place behind closed doors in the name of national security.

According to the prosecution, it was Russian military intelligence, the GRU, who took advantage of the information provided by the two brothers between 2011 and their arrest at the end of 2021.

Peyman Kia, 42, has held many senior positions in the Swedish security apparatus, including the army and his country’s intelligence services (Säpo). His younger brother, Payam, 35, is accused of “participating in the planning” of the plot and of “managing contacts with Russia and the GRU, including passing on information and receiving financial rewards.”

Both men deny the charges, and their lawyers have demanded an acquittal on charges of “aggravated espionage,” according to the Swedish news agency TT.

The trial coincides with another case of alleged Russian espionage, with the arrest of the Russian-born couple in late November in a suburb of Stockholm by a police team arriving at dawn in a Blackhawk helicopter.

Research website Bellingcat identified them as Sergei Skvortsov and Elena Kulkova. The couple allegedly acted as sleeper agents for Moscow, having moved to Sweden in the late 1990s.

According to Swedish press reports, the couple ran companies specializing in the import and export of electronic components and industrial technology.

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The man was again detained at the end of November for “illegal intelligence activities.” His partner, suspected of being an accomplice, has been released but remains under investigation.

According to Swedish authorities, the arrests are not related to the trial of the Kia brothers.

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Ukraine admitted that Russia may announce a general mobilization

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“They can strengthen their positions. We understand that this can happen. At the same time, we do not rule out that they will announce a general mobilization,” Danilov said in an interview with the Ukrainska Pravda online publication.

Danilov believed that this mobilization would also be convened “to exterminate as many as possible” of Russian citizens, so that “they would no longer have any problems on their territory.”

In this sense, Danilov also reminded that Russia has not given up on securing control over Kyiv or the idea of ​​the complete “destruction” of Ukraine. “We have to be ready for anything,” he said.

“I want everyone to understand that [os russos] they have not given up on the idea of ​​destroying our nation. If they don’t have Kyiv in their hands, they won’t have anything in their hands, we must understand this,” continued Danilov, who also did not rule out that a new Russian offensive would come from “Belarus and other territories.” .

As such, Danilov praised the decision of many of its residents who chose to stay in the Ukrainian capital when the war broke out in order to defend the city.

“They expected that there would be panic, that people would run, that there would be nothing to protect Kyiv,” he added, referring to President Volodymyr Zelensky.

The military offensive launched on February 24 by Russia in Ukraine caused at least 6.5 million internally displaced persons and more than 7.8 million refugees to European countries, which is why the UN classifies this migration crisis as the worst in Europe since World War II (1939-1945). gg.). ).

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At the moment, 17.7 million Ukrainians are in need of humanitarian assistance, and 9.3 million are in need of food aid and housing.

The Russian invasion, justified by Russian President Vladimir Putin on the need to “denazify” and demilitarize Ukraine for Russia’s security, was condemned by the international community at large, which responded by sending weapons to Ukraine and imposing political and economic sanctions on Russia.

The UN has presented as confirmed 6,755 civilian deaths and 10,607 wounded since the beginning of the war, stressing that these figures are much lower than the real ones.

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