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Markets are heating up: Political and fiscal risks should put pressure on the stock market today, and Ibovespa may again recover from the positive position abroad.

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Markets are heating up: Political and fiscal risks should put pressure on the stock market today, and Ibovespa may again recover from the positive position abroad.

A brazilian stock exchange you have a whole day ahead of you. In the absence of key indicators abroad Ibovespa must turn my gaze to the president Chamber, Arthur Lear (PP-AL), and the President of British Columbia, Roberto Campos Neto, at the XP event in this Tuesday (24)… Find out what’s driving the market Today:

Brazil no direction

Classic photo Yanio Cuadros, the former president of Brazil, clearly shows the current situation in the country. A head to one side, a foot to the other, and a foot pointing in a third direction show how good things are.

Source: Senate Agency.

The election year has already changed the political climate, and the choice is weighed against a precise scale. Call “Creative economy” find a place in Budget this dampens market sentiment and jeopardizes spending ceilings.

Budget space

A PEC court orders, which involves the payment in installments of debts that the government has to the judiciary, began with area of ​​BRL 89.1 billion… government expected spend 57 billion reais in the precatorium and already offers to remove from the ceiling only the “superfluous”, that is R $ 30 billion

The offer occupies an important place in Budget to “fit in” the Auxílio Brasil, formerly called Bolsa Família, costs an average of 300 Brazilian reais. The package of good offices offered by the president of the republic, Jair Bolsonaro, before the elections, is very poorly received by investors due to the fact that he does not save government accounts.

In addition, the growth of tensions with the powers does not give respite to the Brazilian market. President of the Senate, Rodrigo Pacheco (DEM-MG), already stated that tax reform it does not improve the Brazilian system and does not need to be approved by the House of Representatives.

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In the last trading session Ibovespa by the end of the day, a decrease of 0.49% to 117,471 points. O cash in dollars just backed off 0.05% and R $ 5.3820

watch today

Arthur Lyra (PP-AL) attend an XP event this morning. The parliamentarian is expected to comment on the growing discrepancy between Federal government, O STF this is National Congress

Moreover, Roberto Campos Neto also participates in the same event, but in the late afternoon. Promotion inflation is in the focus of attention of the Central Bank, and Campos Neto should provide more details on the monetary policy of this institution.

blue sky outside

On last monday (23), a FDA, a Anvisa American, approved for widespread use vaccine gives Pfizer e BioNTech… The news filled markets with optimism (see below) and sent a positive signal that the pandemic could end.

The delta option clicks on the negative side to reopen. However, research shows that the effectiveness of the vaccine and a possible third dose will be sufficient against new options, which added even more optimism to the exchanges.

the most anticipated

O Jackson Hole Symposium Next Friday (27) should spark a debate about economic recovery countries and prospects for the coming years. O The federal reserve have already signaled the disappearance of stimuli, the so-called taperinglater this year. What to expect from the symposium you can check in Matthew Spiess column by clicking here.

watch today

Since there are no further indicators ahead, investors should stick to to data on sales of new buildings in the USA this is us oil reserves

See also  Bolsonaro arrives for a political rally in RJ with the military leaders on the platform.

Scholarships around the world

The main indices in Asia ended the trading session on Tuesday mostly higher. The optimism of the New York stock exchanges last Monday (23) was due to the full approval of the Pfizer vaccine by the US regulator.

Europe has already begun without a definite direction. The upbeat post-vaccination mood was positive, but recent gains from the last two trading sessions have limited another high day.

Finally, New York futures point to a bullish opening, motivated by the full approval of the Pfizer vaccine by the FDA, US Anvisa. There are still high hopes for a meeting of central bank directors at the Jackson Hole symposium next Friday (27).

agenda

  • FGV: IPC-S Capitals of August (8h)
  • FGV: Economic Climate in Latin America in the Third Quarter (8h)
  • Ipea: Inflation forecast with data until July this year and forecast for the end of 2021 (10h)
  • Chamber of Deputies: Arthur Lyra (PP-AL), President of the House, lecture at the XP event (10:30)
  • USA: New Home Sales in July (11:00)
  • USA: Oil reserves (17:30)
  • Central bank: British Columbia President Roberto Campos Neto Lecture at XP Event (18 hours)

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Politics

The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Politics

Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.

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Goal.com

The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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Politics

The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022

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Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

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“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

See more news, photos and videos at www.ansabrasil.com.br.

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