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GOP operators fear Trump will lose the president and Senate majority



This is Joe Biden's best path to win in 2020

Today, that view has changed drastically.

“Look, I’m very happy my boss is not in this cycle of voting,” said a high-ranking Senate aide.

Republican strategists are increasingly worried that Trump is headed for defeat in November and that he might drag other Republicans with him.

Seven GOP operators not directly linked to the presidential re-election campaign told CNN that Trump’s response to the pandemic and subsequent economic downturn had significantly undermined his efforts for a second term – and that the effect began to hurt the Republicans more broadly. Some of these operations ask not to be identified so they can speak more honestly.

Some said that public opinion polls showed Trump’s candidate following the Democratic nominee, Joe Biden reflected what they found in their personal polls, and that the trend was bleeding into the main Senate race. The GOP already has a difficult task of maintaining 23 Senate seats by 2020. The work of protecting a thin majority of 3 seats has only become increasingly difficult because the pandemic has grown. Countries such as Arizona and North Carolina, which were once thought to be home to winable Senate races, are now in danger.
See Trump and Biden’s head-to-head vote
Trump himself was alerted to the problem. Politico reported this week that two political advisers outside Trump himself, Corey Lewandowski and David Bossie, warned the President last week that his support fell in several states.

All this shows how difficult it is to run as incumbent Republicans almost anywhere in 2020. Strategists who spoke to CNN are concerned that Trump has become an obligation for Republicans who need to expand their coalition beyond the President’s core support base.

Whereas a few months ago, they were convinced of the party’s opportunities across the board, many strategists who spoke with CNN had lowered their expectations, and now spoke in terms of minimizing what they feared could be an eraser for the GOP. This made them hope for a small, rather than terrible, defeat similar to Mitt Romney’s small defeat in 2012, when Republicans lost two Senate seats, than John McCain’s performance four years earlier, when they lost eight.

“Republican candidates need something more like Romney in ’12 and less like McCain in ’08,” said Liam Donovan, GOP strategist in Washington.

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The broader fear among Republicans is that the election will be a referendum on Trump’s performance during the pandemic. Coupled with the crater economy, the effect can be devastating by suppressing the faithful of the Republic and turning off swinging voters.

That one or two blows could knock the GOP out of power in Washington – and that’s what the strategists hope the Presidential election team can successfully turn the race into an unpleasant choice between Trump and Biden.

But these efforts have become increasingly difficult against the background of a pandemic which has destroyed many of the economic benefits that the Republicans hope to base their re-election argument on.

“This is one thing that (Trump) cannot change the subject,” said Republican strategist. “This is not a political opponent, this is not working and he has never had to deal with anything like this.”

There is some evidence that Trump is not to blame for the economic downturn. In the latest CNN poll, starting in early May, Trump as a whole has a 45% approval rating. While only 42% agreed with the way he handled the pandemic, 50% still said they agreed with Trump’s economy.

The Trump Campaign believes that Americans trust the President when it comes to handling the economy and they will choose him to be the one to lead the recovery.

“The economic message is strongly echoing, especially at a time like this,” Trump campaign communications director Tim Murtaugh said. “President Trump is clearly returning us to that position. He did it once, he will do it again.”

However, the concern for Republicans outside Trump’s orbit is that if there are no signs the economy will change in November, that would be an impossible argument for Trump’s campaign.

“There is no sort of V-shaped recovery many people think he is dead in the water,” said Republican strategist.

Trump Party

In the four years since winning the GOP nomination, Trump has strengthened his position in the party. That has made it more difficult for Republicans in Congress to distance themselves from them without being hostile to their headquarters. That, said Republican operators, risks alienating voters who might consider the GOP but don’t like the President.

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“This is a very, very difficult environment. If you have a bachelor’s degree and you live in the suburbs, you don’t want to vote for us,” said an old Republican congressional campaign consultant, adding there were serious concerns about bleeding support from both elderly and independent men. who describes himself.

The party’s main concern, some of these Republican members, said that they had to hold the majority of the Senate. The task requires Senate candidates to appeal to suburban voters who turn to Democrats in the 2018 midterm elections in reaction to Trump.

But that goal is complicated by how dependent Republican candidates are on the maximum number of votes for the President, even in Trump campaign countries not hoping to win. GOP Sens. Cory Gardner in Colorado and Susan Collins in Maine could not afford to buy a depressed Trump base in their state, even when they played their independent identities to win the election.

And concern for the Republicans goes beyond endangered incumbents – including Sens Martha McSally from Arizona and Thom Tillis from North Carolina. There is even a chance, in a bad year for Trump, that the GOP seats held by the GOP in Georgia and Montana could be problematic, Donovan said.

Distance from the President

Meanwhile, the crater economy has intensified the need for Republican senators to distinguish themselves in a subtle way from Trump and his notes. Scott Reed, political director at the US Chamber of Commerce and a veteran of the Republican campaign, said that the presidential re-election campaign was “always” a referendum on incumbents and his party.

While it is a bad sign for Republicans if the economy fails to improve or another wave of virus emerges this summer, Reed said, the GOP is not always destroyed. Congress, he said, had a relative boom in popularity – 31% support in the latest Gallup poll, the highest in more than a decade – thanks in part to the passing of economic aid.

Reed said incumbents also had to voice their localized personal achievements and areas where they had been independent of Trump without explicitly alienating pro-Trump Republicans in their states.

Gardner, for example, has claimed to be the “chief architect” for a plan to move headquarters from the federal Land Management Bureau to Colorado, announced by the Trump administration last year. The first-term GOP senator has framed the decision as a bipartisan victory for Western nations, where most of the federally managed land is located, and a victory for Gardner against the Washington bureaucracy. It also has an advantage because it has nothing to do with Trump himself or the economic crisis.
And in his campaign for a fifth term, Collins relied heavily on his established political identity as an independent centrist. His latest TV ad he is touted as “the most bipartisan US senator” for the seventh year in a row by the Georgetown University Lugar Center.

This line aims to combat the most consistent line of criticism from Democrats – that Collins has voted in accordance with the Trump administration in everything from judicial appointments to health care to the release of the President on impeachment charges – without having to deny Trump himself.

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Republicans point out that while Democrats and progressive interest groups have spent millions of dollars on TV and digital advertising to fight incumbents, the GOP and its own PAC allies have not been fully involved in the air war against Democratic challengers.

“The reality is that although massively spent by liberal black money groups, the Republicans are still in a good position to hold the Senate majority in the fall,” said Jesse Hunt, spokesman for the National Republican Senatorial Committee.

The Trump campaign played down the concerns of Republican candidates, showing that the united GOP offered the best chance of winning across the board in November.

“Every candidate who wants to win will compete with the President,” said Erin Perrine, deputy director of communications for Trump’s campaign. “He has energy, enthusiasm and grassroots infrastructure. If you are a candidate, you want to be part of the movement.”

But what Republican professionals say will be very helpful if the President holds fast to the encouraging message of bringing the country back from a pandemic.

“When he did it right three days in a row, it really hit the numbers,” Reed said. “We need command performance on message discipline.”

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Portuguese historical films will premiere on 29 December.



Portuguese historical films will premiere on 29 December.

Method Media Bermuda will present the documentary FABRIC: Portuguese History in Bermuda on Thursday, December 29 at the Underwater Research Institute of Bermuda.

A spokesperson said: “Method Media is proud to bring Bermuda Fabric: Portugal History to Bermuda for its 5th and 6th showing at the Bermuda Underwater Observatory. In November and December 2019, Cloth: A Portuguese Story in Bermuda had four sold-out screenings. Now that Bermuda has reopened after the pandemic, it’s time to bring the film back for at least two screenings.

“There are tickets For $ 20 – sessions at 15:30 and 18:00. Both screenings will be followed by a short Q&A session.

Director and producer Milton Raboso says, “FABRIC is a definitive account of the Portuguese community in Bermuda and its 151 years of history, but it also places Bermuda, Acors and Portugal in the world history and the events that have fueled those 151 years.

“It took more than 10 years to implement FABRIC. The film was supported by the Minister of Culture, the Government of the Azores and private donors.

Bermuda Media Method [MMB] Created in 2011 by producer Milton Raposo. MMB has created content for a wide range of clients: Bermuda’s new hospital renovation, reinsurance, travel campaigns, international sports and more. MMB pays special attention to artistic, cultural and historical content.

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Maestro de Braga is the first Portuguese in the National Symphony Orchestra of Cuba.



Maestro de Braga is the first Portuguese in the National Symphony Orchestra of Cuba.

Maestro Filipe Cunha, Artistic Director of the Philharmonic Orchestra of Braga, has been invited to conduct the Cuban National Symphony Orchestra, as announced today.

According to a statement sent by O MINHO, “he will be the first Portuguese conductor to conduct this orchestra in its entire history.”

In addition to this orchestra, the maestro will also work with the Lyceo Mozarteum de la Habana Symphony Orchestra.

The concerts will take place on 4 and 12 March 2023 at the National Theater of Cuba in Havana.

In the words of the maestro, quoted in the statement, “these will be very beautiful concerts with difficult but very complex pieces” and therefore he feels “very motivated”.

From the very beginning, Rachmaninoff’s Piano Concerto No. 2 will be performed by an Italian pianist (Luigi Borzillo), whom the maestro wants to bring to Portugal later this year. In the same concert, Mendelshon’s First Symphony will be performed.

Then, at the second concert, in the company of the Mexican clarinetist Angel Zedillo, he will perform the Louis Sfora Concerto No. 2. In this concert, the maestro also conducts Tchaikovsky’s Fifth Symphony.

“This is an international recognition of my work. An invitation that I accept with humility and great responsibility. I was surprised to learn that I would be the first Portuguese member of the Cuban National Symphony Orchestra. This is a very great honor,” the maestro said in a statement.

“I take with me the name of the city of Braga and Portugal with all the responsibility that goes with it, and I hope to do a good job there, leaving a good image and putting on great concerts. These will be very special concerts because, in addition to performing pieces that I love, especially Rachmaninov and Tchaikovsky, I will be directing two wonderful soloists who are also my friends. It will be very beautiful,” concludes Filipe Cunha.

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