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Attack on the Crimean bridge: causes, consequences and video in five questions and answers

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What is known about the explosion on the bridge connecting mainland Russia with the Crimean peninsula, annexed by Moscow in 2014, is under the gun of the Ukrainian army, which considers it a symbol of Russian oppression.

What happened?

This Saturday at 6:00 am (two hours more than in Portugal), a truck bomb exploded on the roadway of the bridge across the Kerch Strait from the side of the Taman Peninsula and set fire to seven fuel tanks plying along the rails. board. The report of the National Anti-Terrorism Committee, cited by the RIA-Novosti agency, says that the fire was extinguished and led to the “partial collapse” of two road sections of the bridge. No one was injured in the explosion and the fire is believed to have been extinguished.

The circulation on the bridge remains interrupted, but navigation in the strait is not completely disrupted. But material damage is visible in the published pictures.

Crimean Governor Sergei Aksyonov has already said that restoration work will begin as soon as the investigation into the causes of the explosion is completed.

Who caused the explosion?

So far, no one has claimed responsibility for the explosion. On the Russian side, Crimean parliament leader Vladimir Konstantinov points the finger at “Ukrainian vandals”, a Russian MNE spokesman speaks of “terrorist acts” instigated by Ukraine, and other Russian officials are more cautious in their statements. However, the Ukrainian army has repeatedly considered the bridge, built by Moscow in 2018, as a military facility.

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For Mykhailo Podolyak, one of the advisers to the Ukrainian president, the explosion is “the beginning.” On Saturday, Podoliak tweeted that “everything illegal must be destroyed, everything stolen must be returned to Ukraine, everything occupied by Russia must be expelled,” he added. with images of a burning bridge, the soundtrack to which was the Marilyn Monroe song “Congratulations, Mr. President”, hinting at yesterday’s 70th birthday of Vladimir Putin.

How important is the bridge?

The project of the Kerch Bridge, about 19 km long and higher than the Statue of Liberty for the occupied peninsula, became the pearl of Vladimir Putin’s infrastructure projects, described in the media of the regime as “a structure from the __ century.” Opening it in May 2018, the President of Russia emphasized its importance: “In different historical eras, even under the tsars, people dreamed of building this bridge. they went back to it [ideia] in the 1930s, 40s, 50s, and finally, thanks to your work and talent, a miracle happened, ”says The Guardian.

The construction of the bridge, which in practice consists of two parallel bridges, one railway and one road, took three years, and since its completion, according to Russian statistics, about 15 million cars will pass through it. According to RIA Novosti, the longest bridge in Europe allows the passage of 40,000 vehicles per day, 14 million passengers and 13 million tons of cargo annually.

How important is this connection with Crimea?

First, it was a symbolic element, proof of the strength of Putin and Moscow. Not only for its design (see above), but also for its alleged immunity. Just three months ago, the Russian authorities guaranteed its impregnability, because of the 20 different defense modes that covered it, including military dolphins.

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This morning’s attack reinforces the idea of ​​Russia’s military failure precisely in the region it managed to annex (without any international recognition other than its biggest allies) in 2014.

From a military point of view, it also seems to be central: the only link between the Russian mainland and the Crimean peninsula is considered vital for Russian logistics operations in the current conflict, as it is a road-rail bridge that allows not only the movement of goods, but also troops and military equipment .

According to The Guardian, the bridge has been an important supply line not only for Russian troops in occupied Crimea, but also elsewhere in southern Ukraine where Russian troops are retreating even as a “main line”. railway line to Melitopol.

Military expert Michael Clarke told Sky News that the bridge is “the only link between Russia and Crimea that does not pass through Ukraine.” And that now the Russians are faced with the need to deliver supplies “by sea to Mariupol, and then they will have to use the only serviceable railway line, which is now located not far from the Ukrainian artillery.” “This will give Ukraine two to three weeks of head start until this is corrected,” added an expert at the same station.

And now? How will Moscow respond?

There is still no clue in various public statements emanating from the Kremlin or Crimea, but the Russian leader has warned several times that he will defend all annexed territories “by all means.” fearing that Putin would admit to using tactical nuclear weapons to prove his strength and renew his offensive in Ukraine. Under internal pressure in the face of the failures of recent weeks, the Russian Telegram channel already has some openly defending it:

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Vladimir Putin has delayed the invasion of Ukraine at least three times.

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Putin has repeatedly consulted with Russian Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu about the invasion, Europa Press told Ukraine’s chief intelligence director Vadim Skibitsky.

According to Skibitsky, it was the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB), which is responsible for counterintelligence and espionage work, that put pressure on Gerasimov and other military agencies to agree to launch an offensive. .

However, according to the Ukrainian intelligence services, the FSB considered that by the end of February sufficient preparations had already been made to guarantee the success of the Russian Armed Forces in a lightning invasion.

However, according to Kyiv, the Russian General Staff provided the Russian troops with supplies and ammunition for only three days, hoping that the offensive would be swift and immediately successful.

The head of Ukrainian intelligence also emphasized the cooperation of local residents, who always provided the Ukrainian authorities with up-to-date information about the Russian army, such as the number of soldiers or the exact location of troops.

The military offensive launched on February 24 by Russia in Ukraine caused at least 6.5 million internally displaced persons and more than 7.8 million refugees to European countries, which is why the UN classifies this migration crisis as the worst in Europe since World War II (1939-1945). gg.). ).

At the moment, 17.7 million Ukrainians are in need of humanitarian assistance, and 9.3 million are in need of food aid and housing.

The UN has presented as confirmed 6,755 civilian deaths and 10,607 wounded since the beginning of the war, stressing that these figures are much lower than the real ones.

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Life sentence for former Swedish official for spying for Russia

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A Stockholm court on Monday sentenced a former Swedish intelligence officer to life in prison for spying for Russia, and his brother to at least 12 years in prison. In what is considered one of the most serious cases in Swedish counterintelligence history, much of the trial took place behind closed doors in the name of national security.

According to the prosecution, it was Russian military intelligence, the GRU, who took advantage of the information provided by the two brothers between 2011 and their arrest at the end of 2021.

Peyman Kia, 42, has held many senior positions in the Swedish security apparatus, including the army and his country’s intelligence services (Säpo). His younger brother, Payam, 35, is accused of “participating in the planning” of the plot and of “managing contacts with Russia and the GRU, including passing on information and receiving financial rewards.”

Both men deny the charges, and their lawyers have demanded an acquittal on charges of “aggravated espionage,” according to the Swedish news agency TT.

The trial coincides with another case of alleged Russian espionage, with the arrest of the Russian-born couple in late November in a suburb of Stockholm by a police team arriving at dawn in a Blackhawk helicopter.

Research website Bellingcat identified them as Sergei Skvortsov and Elena Kulkova. The couple allegedly acted as sleeper agents for Moscow, having moved to Sweden in the late 1990s.

According to Swedish press reports, the couple ran companies specializing in the import and export of electronic components and industrial technology.

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The man was again detained at the end of November for “illegal intelligence activities.” His partner, suspected of being an accomplice, has been released but remains under investigation.

According to Swedish authorities, the arrests are not related to the trial of the Kia brothers.

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Ukraine admitted that Russia may announce a general mobilization

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“They can strengthen their positions. We understand that this can happen. At the same time, we do not rule out that they will announce a general mobilization,” Danilov said in an interview with the Ukrainska Pravda online publication.

Danilov believed that this mobilization would also be convened “to exterminate as many as possible” of Russian citizens, so that “they would no longer have any problems on their territory.”

In this sense, Danilov also reminded that Russia has not given up on securing control over Kyiv or the idea of ​​the complete “destruction” of Ukraine. “We have to be ready for anything,” he said.

“I want everyone to understand that [os russos] they have not given up on the idea of ​​destroying our nation. If they don’t have Kyiv in their hands, they won’t have anything in their hands, we must understand this,” continued Danilov, who also did not rule out that a new Russian offensive would come from “Belarus and other territories.” .

As such, Danilov praised the decision of many of its residents who chose to stay in the Ukrainian capital when the war broke out in order to defend the city.

“They expected that there would be panic, that people would run, that there would be nothing to protect Kyiv,” he added, referring to President Volodymyr Zelensky.

The military offensive launched on February 24 by Russia in Ukraine caused at least 6.5 million internally displaced persons and more than 7.8 million refugees to European countries, which is why the UN classifies this migration crisis as the worst in Europe since World War II (1939-1945). gg.). ).

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At the moment, 17.7 million Ukrainians are in need of humanitarian assistance, and 9.3 million are in need of food aid and housing.

The Russian invasion, justified by Russian President Vladimir Putin on the need to “denazify” and demilitarize Ukraine for Russia’s security, was condemned by the international community at large, which responded by sending weapons to Ukraine and imposing political and economic sanctions on Russia.

The UN has presented as confirmed 6,755 civilian deaths and 10,607 wounded since the beginning of the war, stressing that these figures are much lower than the real ones.

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