Politics
There is only one candidate between Bolsonaro and Lula, the political scientist believes.
One of the main enthusiasts of the third path to Jair Bolsonar and political scientist Luis Inacio Lula da Silva Luis Felipe D’Avila states that there is a vacancy for a competition center candidacy in Brazil, but only for one. “He has a chance of prosperity only if this name is, otherwise this support will be scattered between 20% and 30%, which neither support Bolsonaro nor Lulu. The challenge now is to seek political pragmatism along with public spirit, ”says D’Avila, who last week mediated a meeting of the central presidential candidates in the presence of the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul. Eduardo Leite (PSDB), and former ministers Luis Enrique Mandetta (DEM) e Chiro Gomes (PDT).
In addition to these three preliminary candidates, Sao Paulo Governor João Doria (PSDB), who will compete in a preliminary competition with Eduardo Leite, and former judge and former minister Sergio Moro are also challenging the scepter for a third way. However, the way to the center was already more loaded: the preliminary candidacies of the host Luciano Hook and the businessman Joao Amoedo (Novo) remained on the way.
According to a CNT / MDA poll published on Monday 5th, the candidates from the center who are currently competing better for Planalto are Ciro Gomes and Sergio Moro, both with 5.9¨% – Doria has 2.1% and Mandetta … 1.8%. Lula leads the debate with 41.3%, followed by Bolsonaro with 26.6%.
However, according to the poll, 30.1% of respondents said they would not want neither the incumbent president nor the PC member to be elected in 2022 – it is on this contingent that the center puts its chips.
For D’Avil, in contrast to 2018, which was characterized by almost plebiscite elections on the question of who will have the most chances to remove the PT from power, the political scientist believes that the 2022 elections will be marked by a polarization between anti-pain relief and anti-pain relief. -Petism. “Those who can add this center have more chances. It is useless to try to force a party to nominate a candidate that turns out to be impracticable, because parties will be more concerned about electing deputies and senators because of the party’s fund, ”he said.
D’Avila believes that parties will regain the strength they lost in 2018, as they are today the most suitable groups for building bridges and forging large alliances or coalitions. He cites examples in Brazil and abroad of the alliance between antagonistic groups in order to defeat what they considered to be the greatest evil. This is what happened this year in a coalition formed by Jewish and Israeli Arab nationalists to overthrow former Prime Minister Benjamini Netanyahu in Israel; and Joe Biden’s 2020 U.S. victory, bringing together more moderate Democrats and Republicans. In Brazil, he refers to the 1985 elections in which the country’s democratic forces rallied around the candidacy of Tancredo Neves against the then military dictatorship candidate Paulo Maloof. “The world is tired of populism and radicalism because they don’t provide what the population wants, namely jobs and investment,” he adds.
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Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!
Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.
Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.
The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.
For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!
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The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.
Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.
No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.
Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.
Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.
The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.
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The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .
The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.
Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.
The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.
Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.
“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.
Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.
However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).
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