Arrival of the former judge Sergio Moro (União Brasil) to the senatorial race in Paraná, confirmed by him this Tuesday 12, opens the electoral scenario in the state and puts the other party in the open framework of the negotiations of the preliminary candidates for the Iguazu Palace, such as the governor junior mouse (PSD) and former Mayor of Guarapuava (PR), Cesar Silvestri Filho (PSDB).

Voter polls show that the scenario in Parana is still open. Moro came out ahead in the June 17 real-time big data study, 30% to 23% compared to Diaz. An Ipespe poll released last week shows Diaz in the lead with 31% voting intent, compared to Moro’s 24%.

The rejection of the former judge in the state is nearly double that of the senator who acted as his political godfather and brought Moro to Podemos with an eye on the Planalto dispute last year. According to an Ipespe poll, the former minister is rejected by 31% of voters in Parana, and 17% say they don’t vote for the senator at all.

União Brasil, who Luciano Bivar as a presidential candidate, he did not specify whom he would support in government. The acronym continues to maintain an open dialogue with Governor Ratinho Junior, a candidate for re-election and a platform for the president. Jair Bolsonaro (PL) in the state. Government officials see this approach as unworkable, as they believe Moro would not be able to act close to the president’s ally.

Among the alternatives for União Brasil is the possibility of repeating the agreement reached with PSDB in São Paulo. Moro met yesterday with Cesar Silvestri Filho, Tucano’s tentative government candidate, who, like the former judge, left Podemos this year.

If there is a hit, Moreau may end up taking the stage with the former governor. Beto Richa (PSDB), who was a defendant in Lava Jato and is now looking for a federal deputy. The former judge also met with São Paulo Governor Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) this week to present the name of his wife Rosangela Moro (União Brasil) to the Chamber of Deputies.

The place on the Ratinho plate is full. The governor has a broad base in the Legislative Assembly, whose president, Adémar Traiano, is also a member of the SDP. In addition, Ratinho is skyrocketing in the polls for Palacio Iguazu – in the last poll in June he had 42% compared to 16% for Roberto Requiao (Portugal).

federal deputy Paulo Martins (LP), from Bolsonaro’s party, state deputy Guto Silva (PP) and Alvaro Diaz are fighting for a seat in the Senate with the governor. Government elections are expected to echo national polarization, and Podemos may find no room for growth in the polls if he nominates his own senator candidate. Flavio Arns (Podemos) appears with 5% of the votes.

Martins expects Bolsonaro to decide whether he will keep the dual platform in Paraná as the federal MP Filipe Barros (LP-PR) also supports a preliminary candidacy for the government. Gutu Silva was appointed leader of the government in the Chamber by Ricardo Barros (PP).

Moro’s choice in favor of Paraná was made after the Electoral Court prohibited the transfer of the former judge’s electoral home to São Paulo. Born in Maringa (PR), the party is betting that former minister Bolsonaro can win votes in Curitiba, the city where he rose to prominence for his role in Lava Jato. The ex-judge even participated in events with Diaz and Podemos leaders, in addition to being present at the ex-prosecutor’s campaign launch. Deltan Dallanol (We can) to the Chamber of Deputies.

Moro, however, changed his party to União Brasil on the last day of the party window without informing Díaz and the Podemos leadership. On this occasion, Diaz even said that the abbreviation “is not responsible for Sergio Moro’s exit from the election race” and that “the greatness of the party is not measured by the electoral fund.”WITH INFORMATION FROM EDERSON HISING, SPECIALLY FOR THE STATE