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Oil falls below pre-war levels for the first time. But gasoline is still more expensive

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Oil falls below pre-war levels for the first time.  But gasoline is still more expensive

A barrel was quoted this Thursday at $93.2 a barrel, the first time it has reached a lower price than on the eve of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Fuel prices in Portugal are also falling, but remain more expensive than then. The devaluation of the euro is one of the reasons. But there’s more math

Crude oil hit $93.2 a barrel midway through this Thursday in the Brent Index, commonly used as a benchmark for Europe. This is the first time that the price has fallen below the level it was before the Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24th. Fuel, however, is still much higher than then.

Oil in a sharp fall

Over the past month (since July 7, when it closed at $113.5), oil has fallen in price by 18%. And from the high of this year (March 7, when it reached $139.13 per barrel), the drop is 33%.

But the mark reached today is relevant, because it is over the past five months that the war in Ukraine has lasted that the price was lower for the first time on the eve of the invasion: on February 23, a barrel of oil cost $ 94.05.

Today is cheaper.

But not fuel.

Diesel remains 10% more expensive… even after tax cuts

However, the fall in the cost of oil does not have a proportional effect on the cost of fuel in Portugal.

The values ​​currently practiced in Portugal are below the highs reached since the start of the war: the final price of plain diesel this Wednesday averaged 1.826 euros per liter in Portugal, 27.4 cents less than the maximum of 2.1 euros per litre. June 23; The price of regular gasoline 95 this Wednesday was 1889 euros per liter, which is almost 30 cents less than the maximum of 2188 euros per liter practiced on June 10th.

However, prices remain higher than before the Russian invasion of Ukraine:

This increase is not large only because the government, in the meantime, has reduced the tax on petroleum products (ISP), which was extended until the end of August. As explained in the message of the Ministry of Finance in early July, “the reduction in the tax burden will be 28.2 cents per liter of diesel fuel and 32.1 cents per liter of gasoline.”

In other words, were it not for the temporary tax cut, today’s fuel would be at the following prices:

In other words, although oil is already below what it was before the war, the price of diesel would have been almost 23% more expensive if the government had not lowered the ISP.

Why isn’t the fuel dropping? Euro factor (and adjusted)

The first reason is the euro, which depreciated about 9.3% against the dollar on the eve of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Thus, if the price of Brent is lower than in dollars, then when converted into euros, it remains 9% more expensive.

This explains António Comprido, president of Apetro, an association representing oil companies in Portugal. “There is an exchange rate aspect,” he points out to CNN Portugal, “we cannot compare the price of a barrel of oil in dollars with the price paid for fuel in euros.”

However, this devaluation of the euro only partly explains the difference between the increase in fuel and the current leveling off of oil compared to the pre-war period. This is where António Comprido argues with a rationale that has been repeated over the past few months: fuel distributors are not buying crude oil (valued by the Brent index), but petroleum products. And they differ in different ways.

“The price of fuel is not tied to the price of a barrel,” replies the president of Apetro. “It so happened that the price of petroleum products rose much more than oil. This happened because in Portugal we used a lot of refined products that came from Russia. The embargo on Russian oil has a direct impact.”

Will prices drop further?

The evolution of international markets suggests a further decline in final fuel prices next week, maintaining the trend of the last month and a half. “Since mid-June, there has been a drop in prices,” António Comprido emphasizes.

As for the development after next week, the volatility of the last few months does not allow one to be sure. World oil prices fluctuated as a result of sanctions against Russia, diversification of supply sources, production announcements by producing countries and economic expectations.

Fears of an economic recession next year in the United States and perhaps in some European countries are one of the factors that led to the fall in oil prices. The less economic growth, the less energy consumption. Soon the demand for oil will decrease.

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Economy

What factors impact financial markets?

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The global financial markets are now hugely complex, with traders and analysts around the world looking closely for signs of movement. What are some of the most important factors to be aware of that impact the financial markets?

Geopolitical events

With news breaking from different countries throughout the day, many different stories could affect the markets on any given day. For instance, economic indicators such as the European Central Bank’s inflation rates and gross domestic product numbers released by each country can determine which direction the markets take. Stocks, currencies and other financial instruments can all vary depending on these areas.

Major events such as war breaking out, natural disasters and elections also have an effect. When we look at the commodities market, climate change is an issue to bear in mind, with unusual weather sometimes causing scarcity or abundance of a certain product.

An interesting aspect of the modern financial world is the way that the different markets are linked. This means that any important event or news story that affects one area could easily affect another, even if the link isn’t obvious at first sight. We can also see how local shocks and events can quickly have an effect at a global level.

The financial crisis of 2008 is a good example, as it started with a serious downturn in the US housing market. Although this appeared to be a localized issue at first, it soon revealed some major issues with the global banking setup that caused problems around the planet affecting millions of people and diverse industries.

Speculation and investment trends

The previous factors all point toward the markets changing, and there’s no shortage of traders around the world waiting to see what happens next and how they can benefit. This means that we need to take into account other issues such as speculation and investment trends in the markets.

Armed with a variety of tools, including candlestick charts, traders try to identify trends such as support and resistance levels. They use the information they glean from the charts to make their moves, which can influence the general market if enough people make the same moves or if the amounts involved are significant.

Once an investment trend begins, it can have a knock-on effect that would have been impossible to predict at the outset. The example of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies shows how something that starts small can grow impressively. Cryptocurrencies have now gained enough mainstream appeal to influence and disrupt many industries, from healthcare to gaming and banking.

It’s important to understand how the leaders of a company operate and how they have faced challenges in the past. If we look at banking and the Bank of New York Mellon in particular, we can see that its history can be traced back to 1784, so it has overcome all the major events that have occurred since then. With some of the biggest names in the business world making up its key institutional investors, this is a company that we would expect to react effectively to changing markets.

Regulatory changes and company results

Just about every industry represented in the financial markets has laws and regulations that govern it. This means that the fear of harsher new laws is an almost constant threat. Meanwhile, the hope that beneficial changes to the regulations help businesses prosper is the other side of this matter that investors keep a close eye on.

Let’s not forget the role played by the profit and loss results produced by major companies. It’s clear that these results have an almost immediate effect on their stock prices. However, we should also bear in mind that this effect can reach other areas of the economy. A surprising set of results for a large business can produce shock waves that travel around the market.

What impact do they cause?

From the wide variety of examples that we’ve looked at here, it’s clear that the impact isn’t going to be the same in every case. While one set of circumstances might snowball and cause a huge impact, another might cause a limited impact before the news disappears as other events overtake it.

Having said that, one of the key issues that they cause is a higher degree of market volatility. We can see how this works by looking at an area such as the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The markets became a lot more volatile as the different aspects of the pandemic became clear. Streaming companies, healthcare companies and video conferencing technology firms made huge profits, while airlines and hotels were among those to lose out massively.

Working out the overall impact of a particular situation is almost impossible to do now. With so many traders looking over the latest news stories and numbers with advanced tools, the original impact can quickly grow or simply disappear. Therefore, the key for investors is to understand emerging trends and react to them before it’s too late.

These details reveal how complex the global financial market is now. It’s a fascinating world, and with more information at our fingertips than ever before, it’s something that anyone can start to research and understand in their own way.

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Economy

Everything has been delivered. 10 Bugatti Centodieci are already in the hands of the owners

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Everything has been delivered.  10 Bugatti Centodieci are already in the hands of the owners

OAll Bugatti Centodieci have been delivered, the Molsheim-based brand said on Monday. Cristiano Ronaldo received the number 07 in October this year. and Bugatti has now revealed that the latest unit – #10 – is already in the possession of its owner.

“The Centodieci combines all the values ​​of the Bugatti brand in an extraordinary package: rarity, innovation, heritage, craftsmanship and unrivaled performance. The production batch of 10 units was so in demand by our customers that it was sold before the Centodieci. was even officially presented,” said Christophe Piochon, president of Bugatti.

This latest example is finished in Quartz White with carbon fiber trim on the bottom and matte grilles. The brake calipers are painted in Light Blue Sport, as is the logo on the rear that refers to the EB110, the iconic Bugatti model that inspired this Centodieci. Inside, the predominant color is also blue, as you can see in the images above.

This block is powered by the same block as the other nine instances. The 8.0-liter W16 with four turbines is capable of developing 1600 hp. In terms of performance, this allows the Centodieci to hit 100 km/h in just 2.4 seconds and reach a top speed of 380 km/h.

Recall that each unit costs the owners eight million euros before taxes.

Read also: We already know when the Bugatti Centodieci fell into the hands of Ronaldo.

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Economy

The first Dacia hybrid. “The cheapest hybrid family on the market”

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The first Dacia hybrid.  "The cheapest hybrid family on the market"

BUT Dacia revealed this Monday that the hybrid engine has been available since March on the Jogger, the Romanian brand’s model known to be available with a seven-seat variant.

The Jogger Hybrid 140, Dacia’s first hybrid, will hit dealerships in March, but customers can expect and order it as early as January.

The price has been revealed by Dacia and since it’s only available in the seven-seater SL Extreme, it starts at €28,800. The brand claims it is “the most affordable hybrid family car on the market.”

Available in six existing colors to celebrate the launch of this hybrid, there will be a slate gray version, as you can see in the images above.

Equipped with a 1.6 liter four-cylinder petrol engine with 90 hp, the Jogger is also powered by two electric motors (a 50 hp engine and a high-voltage starter-generator). The total power is 140 horsepower. The electric transmission is automatic, four-speed, connected to an internal combustion engine, and two speeds are connected to an electric motor. This combined technology was possible, according to Dacia, only due to the lack of clutch.

Combined with the energy recovery levels of the 1.2kWh (230V) battery pack and the efficiency of the automatic transmission, regenerative braking delivers all-electric traction on 80% of urban journeys and saves up to 40% of fuel compared to a combustion engine vehicle.

Read also: Dual-fuel Dacia Jogger Eco-G. We tried 5 seater and LPG…

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