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Newspaper | Governments will have to learn to deal with new law, experts say

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The profile of parties considered right-wing has changed. Both re-elected ES Governor Renato Casagrande and President-elect Lula will have to start a dialogue with politicians from this group who won elections in 2022.

Summit Pedra Azul 2022
Natuzza Nery, João Gualberto and Jairo Nicolau took part in the discussion at the Pedra Azul Summit. (Fernando Madeira)

Published November 18, 2022 at 8:39 pm

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The profile of right-wing parties has changed over the years, and opening fronts of dialogue with politicians from this group, elected in the 2022 elections, will be one of the main tasks for the leaders who will command Brazil and States, especially Espirito Santo, as of 2023.

The analysis was carried out by political scientists Jairo Nicolau and Joao Gualberto and GloboNews journalist Natuzza Neri as part of the panel “What to expect from the new composition of forces in Brazil and in the States”, during the event Newspaper Network Pedra Azul Summit 2022, this Friday (18).

Nicolau, a professor at the Getúlio Vargas (FGV) Foundation and an expert on electoral systems, noted that, even without knowing how to clearly define what it means to be right, many people define themselves in this way in Brazil Currently. For him, this shows that Brazil changed because until a few years ago people preferred to call themselves from the center.

Summit Pedra Azul 2022
Jairo Nicolau analyzed the new political context in Brazil during the Pedra Azul Summit 2022. (Fernando Madeira)

The professor adds to this the numbers collected by the right in the elections, which go beyond the 58 million votes for the incumbent. Jair Bolsonaro (PL) in the second round. For him, the result of the first round “became a mega victory for the right” and is presented by ” National Congress even more conservative,” Natuzza stressed.

According to Nikolaou, the group elected by the right National Congress in the first round of the 2022 elections, it is 36% of the total, if we take into account only the right-wing Bolesonaros – PP, LP and Republicans. Another 24% of those elected by right-wing parties are considered more traditional.

On the contrary, those who are elected by the PT and the allied parties of the elected president, Luis Inacio Lula da Silva (Portugal), will hold 24% of seats in Congress from 2023.

Summit Pedra Azul 2022
Natuzza Neri spoke about the behind the scenes of national politics. (Fernando Madeira)

“There was an inflection on the right in Brazil🇧🇷 There is a lot of uncertainty (about the future) and the challenge is to look to the right Brazilbarn. And think Brazil you should think about Brazil key to the conservatism of various shades that dominates Congress and will have a very different relationship (with the government) than the old right, this collaborative, good-natured square that still has some with that vision,” summed up the professor from FGV.

Natuzza also emphasized that the next governments will have to face another problem, not related to polarization, which has always existed in elections. BrazilAyras, but because of the “heavy radicalization” that occurred after the 2018 elections, which led to the fact that family members stopped talking and people stopped making friends. “The hate component is very much on the agenda politicsbut also on the personal and family agenda,” he added.

In the EU, the law also gained strength

Analyzing the post-election scenario, Joao Gualberto also agreed with other participants in the discussion and emphasized that the new fact is that in Brazil who have an identity, define themselves as right-wing and vote right-wing, proudly say they belong to the conservative right.

According to him, some of the milestones that unite this right are that it does not believe in research, in electronic ballot boxes, and in the Federal Supreme Court (STF), and also has heteronormative protection for the family, among other things.

Regarding the specific scenario of Espírito Santo, the political scientist emphasized that the state is conservative and Bolsonarist, elected some representatives with emphatic votes to National Congress and for the Legislative Assembly mainly because they are Bolsonaro’s allies, because they defend Bolsonaro’s ideologies.

Summit Pedra Azul 2022
Joao Gualberto analyzes the problems after the state elections. (Fernando Madeira)

As an example, he cited three PL-elected: Senator-elect Magno Malta, Federal MP-elect Gilvan da Federala, and State MP-elect Captain Assumsao.

On the other hand, Espírito Santo has a peculiar situation in relation to the state government, since the dispute has reached the second round, caused by the power of the right-wing Bolesonaros, but the governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) was re-elected despite running against Bolsonaro candidate Carlos Manato (PL).

The political scientist attributed Casagrande’s victory to the strategy of drawing up a right-left list – he was supported by 11 parties, from the PT to the PP – and in the second round his allies asked for votes for him. and Bolsonaro. At the same time he became known as Vote for CasaNaro.

While guaranteeing his victory, this alliance could also be a problem for Casagrande in his third term at the helm of Palacio Anchieta, according to Joao Gualberto, as the next term will have a different structure from the previous two terms.

This is because, in addition to electing representatives of Bolsonaris with a broad vote, the voters of Espírito Santo also gave the largest number of votes to the PT Chamber of Deputies, Hélder Salomao, and placed among the most voted in the Legislative Assembly the former mayor of Vitoria, João Coser. (PT) and City Council member Camila Valadao (Psol).

This new government, the political scientist concludes, “has a little more interest from the conservative right than previous ones, but it also goes with the interests of the governor’s traditional alliances.” Lulawith the right winning the polls in 2022.

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.

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Goal.com

The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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Politics

The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022

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Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

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Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

See more news, photos and videos at www.ansabrasil.com.br.

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