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Marcelo wants the OE to lead the election “soon, soon, shortly after”. What would be the fastest date? | State budget for 2022
Are we already in the midst of a political crisis?
State budget for 2022 voted overall on Wednesday in parliament… It is safe to say that this will not be possible as the BE and PCP have already voted against. PS abstained only from PAN and two unregistered MPs, Joacin Qatar Moreira and Cristina Rodriguez. Both Jeronimo de Sousa Like Katharina Martins, they voted very hard against, seemingly leaving them no room to change their position until OE voting day in general on Wednesday.
The president of the republic has already announced that he is ready for the scenario of the leadership of the OE and the dissolution of parliament, but without the need for the resignation of the prime minister. On Sunday, margin Marcelo refused a scenario in which the chief executive, in the twelfth, appears in two different scenarios: one in which the Assembly of the Republic is dissolved, the second, which the President of the Republic will unleash, relying on OE2022 (his beloved), the other is about the resignation of the government after the fall budget, “which, according to the president, has exacerbated the critical situation.”
What does it mean to call early elections?
As Marcelo already had the opportunity to say this Monday“If it is not possible at all” to approve the OE, it “will begin shortly, shortly after the process”, primarily after consultation with the President of the Assembly of the Republic, the Prime Minister, political parties. with a seat in parliament and in the Council of State (mandatory steps in accordance with the Constitution).
When, then, can there be early elections?
If OE fails on Wednesday, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa from Thursday you can call Belen the entities that should be listening, and these auditions could last, in no time, until the end of next week. You can sign and publish a decree dissolving the president at the end of next week – let’s say Friday.
How long does it take between the announcement of the dissolution of parliament and the day of visiting polling stations?
A Law on Elections to the Assembly of the Republic Article 19 states that the President of the Republic “shall set the date for the election of deputies to the Assembly of the Republic at least 60 days in advance, or, in the event of dissolution, at least 55 days in advance”. Let’s start counting from the day when the crisis occurs, but when the presidential decree on the dissolution of the Assembly will be published. Thus, the elections can be held from December 30, in other words, the most natural thing is that they were in early January.
This is the most concise scenario, which means most likely this month as, by the way, Marcelo already admitted a few weeks ago: “If the OEs failed, the government could hardly continue to govern with this year’s OE, divided by twelve, and without European funds. So, most likely, these were elections, which means that there are 55 days between the announcement and the elections, ”he concluded, postponing early elections“ until January, ”because there will be no elections on holidays. And “that meant the government in February and the new budget in April.”
They exist recent precedents for early elections?
Yes, there have been three cases in the last 20 years. In 2001, then Prime Minister António Guterres resigned after a poor performance in local government, which resulted in legislative elections being postponed by two years from the regular calendar. In 2004, the then president of the republic dissolved parliament after seven months of the rule of Pedro Santana López, which also necessitated early elections. In 2011, then Prime Minister Jose Socrates resigned following a request for financial assistance from troikabut, unlike the two previous cases, he re-applied for this position.
How was it in previous cases of early elections?
Antonio Guterres resigned on December 16, 2001, and elections were held on March 17 of the following year. Jorge Sampaio announced that he wants to dissolve Parliament was on November 30, 2004, and elections took place only on February 20, 2005, that is, also almost three months later. In the case of Socrates, the process went a little faster. Prime Minister resigns March 23, 2011 and Kawako Silva set elections for June 5th.
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World
Vladimir Putin has delayed the invasion of Ukraine at least three times.
Putin has repeatedly consulted with Russian Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu about the invasion, Europa Press told Ukraine’s chief intelligence director Vadim Skibitsky.
According to Skibitsky, it was the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB), which is responsible for counterintelligence and espionage work, that put pressure on Gerasimov and other military agencies to agree to launch an offensive. .
However, according to the Ukrainian intelligence services, the FSB considered that by the end of February sufficient preparations had already been made to guarantee the success of the Russian Armed Forces in a lightning invasion.
However, according to Kyiv, the Russian General Staff provided the Russian troops with supplies and ammunition for only three days, hoping that the offensive would be swift and immediately successful.
The head of Ukrainian intelligence also emphasized the cooperation of local residents, who always provided the Ukrainian authorities with up-to-date information about the Russian army, such as the number of soldiers or the exact location of troops.
The military offensive launched on February 24 by Russia in Ukraine caused at least 6.5 million internally displaced persons and more than 7.8 million refugees to European countries, which is why the UN classifies this migration crisis as the worst in Europe since World War II (1939-1945). gg.). ).
At the moment, 17.7 million Ukrainians are in need of humanitarian assistance, and 9.3 million are in need of food aid and housing.
The UN has presented as confirmed 6,755 civilian deaths and 10,607 wounded since the beginning of the war, stressing that these figures are much lower than the real ones.
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World
Life sentence for former Swedish official for spying for Russia
A Stockholm court on Monday sentenced a former Swedish intelligence officer to life in prison for spying for Russia, and his brother to at least 12 years in prison. In what is considered one of the most serious cases in Swedish counterintelligence history, much of the trial took place behind closed doors in the name of national security.
According to the prosecution, it was Russian military intelligence, the GRU, who took advantage of the information provided by the two brothers between 2011 and their arrest at the end of 2021.
Peyman Kia, 42, has held many senior positions in the Swedish security apparatus, including the army and his country’s intelligence services (Säpo). His younger brother, Payam, 35, is accused of “participating in the planning” of the plot and of “managing contacts with Russia and the GRU, including passing on information and receiving financial rewards.”
Both men deny the charges, and their lawyers have demanded an acquittal on charges of “aggravated espionage,” according to the Swedish news agency TT.
The trial coincides with another case of alleged Russian espionage, with the arrest of the Russian-born couple in late November in a suburb of Stockholm by a police team arriving at dawn in a Blackhawk helicopter.
Research website Bellingcat identified them as Sergei Skvortsov and Elena Kulkova. The couple allegedly acted as sleeper agents for Moscow, having moved to Sweden in the late 1990s.
According to Swedish press reports, the couple ran companies specializing in the import and export of electronic components and industrial technology.
The man was again detained at the end of November for “illegal intelligence activities.” His partner, suspected of being an accomplice, has been released but remains under investigation.
According to Swedish authorities, the arrests are not related to the trial of the Kia brothers.
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World
Ukraine admitted that Russia may announce a general mobilization
“They can strengthen their positions. We understand that this can happen. At the same time, we do not rule out that they will announce a general mobilization,” Danilov said in an interview with the Ukrainska Pravda online publication.
Danilov believed that this mobilization would also be convened “to exterminate as many as possible” of Russian citizens, so that “they would no longer have any problems on their territory.”
In this sense, Danilov also reminded that Russia has not given up on securing control over Kyiv or the idea of the complete “destruction” of Ukraine. “We have to be ready for anything,” he said.
“I want everyone to understand that [os russos] they have not given up on the idea of destroying our nation. If they don’t have Kyiv in their hands, they won’t have anything in their hands, we must understand this,” continued Danilov, who also did not rule out that a new Russian offensive would come from “Belarus and other territories.” .
As such, Danilov praised the decision of many of its residents who chose to stay in the Ukrainian capital when the war broke out in order to defend the city.
“They expected that there would be panic, that people would run, that there would be nothing to protect Kyiv,” he added, referring to President Volodymyr Zelensky.
The military offensive launched on February 24 by Russia in Ukraine caused at least 6.5 million internally displaced persons and more than 7.8 million refugees to European countries, which is why the UN classifies this migration crisis as the worst in Europe since World War II (1939-1945). gg.). ).
At the moment, 17.7 million Ukrainians are in need of humanitarian assistance, and 9.3 million are in need of food aid and housing.
The Russian invasion, justified by Russian President Vladimir Putin on the need to “denazify” and demilitarize Ukraine for Russia’s security, was condemned by the international community at large, which responded by sending weapons to Ukraine and imposing political and economic sanctions on Russia.
The UN has presented as confirmed 6,755 civilian deaths and 10,607 wounded since the beginning of the war, stressing that these figures are much lower than the real ones.
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