Economy
How airline prices will evolve without change fees
Over the past 48 hours, we’ve seen what is arguably the most positive change in US airline policy in decades – change fees (for most routes and fare types) have been permanently canceled. Alaska, American, Deltaand United!
While most of us can probably understand why this policy makes sense right now, how it will evolve over time, and will this change really be permanent as promised? I thought I’d share my thoughts on how I see the development of this situation …
Airlines need to waive the change fee right now
I think almost everyone can understand why the airline cut makes sense now and for the foreseeable future:
- Airlines are trying to convince people to book tickets in the future, given how uncertainty is.
- We’ve seen airlines introduce travel waivers, but these were temporary and in some cases quite confusing.
- In the next couple of years (at least), consumers will need flexibility, and these policy changes address that issue.
Airlines must offer flexibility to consumers now
What happens when the journey recovers?
Consumers are in control right now. A logical question arises: what will happen when the aviation industry recovers. Historically, US airlines have made billions of dollars a year from surcharges, and they are not charities, so surely they are not going to give up the change fees out of the goodness of their soul?
If you ask me, this new policy change might make sense in the long run and reflect a broader shift in airlines’ approaches to ticket pricing.
There are several factors to consider here:
- Over the past few years, airlines have introduced basic economy class fares to better compete with carriers’ ultra-low fares; these rates cannot be changed or canceled
- Even before the pandemic, airline tickets were as cheap as ever, adjusted for inflation.
- However, airlines have increased their shift fees over time to such an extent that, in many cases, the shift fees were more expensive than the cost of the ticket.
Let me give you an example of airfares pricing that perhaps demonstrates this. As an example, take an American Airlines one-way flight from Tampa to Miami, the prices of which are as follows:
- Basic Economy Fares are $ 38.
- The fare for the main cabin is $ 73 (1.9x Basic Economy).
- The cost of the flexible fare in the main cabin is $ 262 (6.9 times higher than the basic economy class).
- The fully flexible main cabin fare is $ 414 (10.9 times the base Economy Class).
Airlines have worked hard to create fare types for almost any customer, but is there something missing here? What if the consumer wants flexibility at a reasonable cost? Is it logical that the cheapest flexible fare in the main cabin is almost seven times more than in Basic Economy and more than three times more than in the main cabin?
One of the advantages of the main cabin over the basic economy class is that the ticket can be changed for a fee. But this is a useless bonus when the change fee is $ 200 and your ticket costs less than that.
I think that by abolishing change fees, airlines are getting creative with this issue.
Airline pricing is sometimes not so rational
Basic Economy Class will be the new “normal” fare.
Once travel is re-established, airlines may indeed retain the waived non-Basic Economy flight change fees. The catch is that the difference in prices between the “normal” economy and the underlying economy is likely to widen over time.
To be honest, I cannot blame the airlines for this. There is currently no fare for the “big three” US carriers that offers you the flexibility without having to pay exponentially for your ticket. In the long run, we may see an increase in the premium for “regular” economy class by an additional $ 25 per ticket or something.
I think that the general intention of this was made clear by American airlines yesterday. In announcing the cancellation of change fees, American Airlines also announced that base class passengers will be less constrained and will be able to pay for seat assignments, upgrades, priority boarding and more.
In other words, if the base economy fare is less restrictive and offers a shared experience, it is much easier for airlines to argue that “regular” economy class is a combined experience for which you should be willing to pay a higher premium.
Expect the cost of “buying” from the underlying economy to rise.
Bottom line
The airline’s elimination of replacement fees is a positive development, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it continues in the long run. However, once travel truly recovers, I expect that the price differential between basic economy and “regular” economy will continue to widen to reflect the fact that regular tickets offer more flexible travel options.
In the end, this is okay and completely fair to me, as the absence of any middle ground between non-refundable tickets and exponentially more expensive fully refundable tickets seemed like a missed opportunity.
How do you see the development of airfare when the change fee is canceled?
Economy
What factors impact financial markets?
The global financial markets are now hugely complex, with traders and analysts around the world looking closely for signs of movement. What are some of the most important factors to be aware of that impact the financial markets?
Geopolitical events
With news breaking from different countries throughout the day, many different stories could affect the markets on any given day. For instance, economic indicators such as the European Central Bank’s inflation rates and gross domestic product numbers released by each country can determine which direction the markets take. Stocks, currencies and other financial instruments can all vary depending on these areas.
Major events such as war breaking out, natural disasters and elections also have an effect. When we look at the commodities market, climate change is an issue to bear in mind, with unusual weather sometimes causing scarcity or abundance of a certain product.
An interesting aspect of the modern financial world is the way that the different markets are linked. This means that any important event or news story that affects one area could easily affect another, even if the link isn’t obvious at first sight. We can also see how local shocks and events can quickly have an effect at a global level.
The financial crisis of 2008 is a good example, as it started with a serious downturn in the US housing market. Although this appeared to be a localized issue at first, it soon revealed some major issues with the global banking setup that caused problems around the planet affecting millions of people and diverse industries.
Speculation and investment trends
The previous factors all point toward the markets changing, and there’s no shortage of traders around the world waiting to see what happens next and how they can benefit. This means that we need to take into account other issues such as speculation and investment trends in the markets.
Armed with a variety of tools, including candlestick charts, traders try to identify trends such as support and resistance levels. They use the information they glean from the charts to make their moves, which can influence the general market if enough people make the same moves or if the amounts involved are significant.
Once an investment trend begins, it can have a knock-on effect that would have been impossible to predict at the outset. The example of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies shows how something that starts small can grow impressively. Cryptocurrencies have now gained enough mainstream appeal to influence and disrupt many industries, from healthcare to gaming and banking.
It’s important to understand how the leaders of a company operate and how they have faced challenges in the past. If we look at banking and the Bank of New York Mellon in particular, we can see that its history can be traced back to 1784, so it has overcome all the major events that have occurred since then. With some of the biggest names in the business world making up its key institutional investors, this is a company that we would expect to react effectively to changing markets.
Regulatory changes and company results
Just about every industry represented in the financial markets has laws and regulations that govern it. This means that the fear of harsher new laws is an almost constant threat. Meanwhile, the hope that beneficial changes to the regulations help businesses prosper is the other side of this matter that investors keep a close eye on.
Let’s not forget the role played by the profit and loss results produced by major companies. It’s clear that these results have an almost immediate effect on their stock prices. However, we should also bear in mind that this effect can reach other areas of the economy. A surprising set of results for a large business can produce shock waves that travel around the market.
What impact do they cause?
From the wide variety of examples that we’ve looked at here, it’s clear that the impact isn’t going to be the same in every case. While one set of circumstances might snowball and cause a huge impact, another might cause a limited impact before the news disappears as other events overtake it.
Having said that, one of the key issues that they cause is a higher degree of market volatility. We can see how this works by looking at an area such as the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The markets became a lot more volatile as the different aspects of the pandemic became clear. Streaming companies, healthcare companies and video conferencing technology firms made huge profits, while airlines and hotels were among those to lose out massively.
Working out the overall impact of a particular situation is almost impossible to do now. With so many traders looking over the latest news stories and numbers with advanced tools, the original impact can quickly grow or simply disappear. Therefore, the key for investors is to understand emerging trends and react to them before it’s too late.
These details reveal how complex the global financial market is now. It’s a fascinating world, and with more information at our fingertips than ever before, it’s something that anyone can start to research and understand in their own way.
Economy
Everything has been delivered. 10 Bugatti Centodieci are already in the hands of the owners
OAll Bugatti Centodieci have been delivered, the Molsheim-based brand said on Monday. Cristiano Ronaldo received the number 07 in October this year. and Bugatti has now revealed that the latest unit – #10 – is already in the possession of its owner.
“The Centodieci combines all the values of the Bugatti brand in an extraordinary package: rarity, innovation, heritage, craftsmanship and unrivaled performance. The production batch of 10 units was so in demand by our customers that it was sold before the Centodieci. was even officially presented,” said Christophe Piochon, president of Bugatti.
This latest example is finished in Quartz White with carbon fiber trim on the bottom and matte grilles. The brake calipers are painted in Light Blue Sport, as is the logo on the rear that refers to the EB110, the iconic Bugatti model that inspired this Centodieci. Inside, the predominant color is also blue, as you can see in the images above.
This block is powered by the same block as the other nine instances. The 8.0-liter W16 with four turbines is capable of developing 1600 hp. In terms of performance, this allows the Centodieci to hit 100 km/h in just 2.4 seconds and reach a top speed of 380 km/h.
Recall that each unit costs the owners eight million euros before taxes.
Read also: We already know when the Bugatti Centodieci fell into the hands of Ronaldo.
Economy
The first Dacia hybrid. “The cheapest hybrid family on the market”
BUT Dacia revealed this Monday that the hybrid engine has been available since March on the Jogger, the Romanian brand’s model known to be available with a seven-seat variant.
The Jogger Hybrid 140, Dacia’s first hybrid, will hit dealerships in March, but customers can expect and order it as early as January.
The price has been revealed by Dacia and since it’s only available in the seven-seater SL Extreme, it starts at €28,800. The brand claims it is “the most affordable hybrid family car on the market.”
Available in six existing colors to celebrate the launch of this hybrid, there will be a slate gray version, as you can see in the images above.
Equipped with a 1.6 liter four-cylinder petrol engine with 90 hp, the Jogger is also powered by two electric motors (a 50 hp engine and a high-voltage starter-generator). The total power is 140 horsepower. The electric transmission is automatic, four-speed, connected to an internal combustion engine, and two speeds are connected to an electric motor. This combined technology was possible, according to Dacia, only due to the lack of clutch.
Combined with the energy recovery levels of the 1.2kWh (230V) battery pack and the efficiency of the automatic transmission, regenerative braking delivers all-electric traction on 80% of urban journeys and saves up to 40% of fuel compared to a combustion engine vehicle.
Read also: Dual-fuel Dacia Jogger Eco-G. We tried 5 seater and LPG…
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