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Gosil’s debut at B3 may be associated with political risk – 09.03.2021

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Gosil's debut at B3 may be associated with political risk - 09.03.2021

In 36 years, Gocil has become one of the largest private security companies in the country with sales of over R $ 1.2 billion and over 24,000 employees. In recent years, however, the company has become increasingly associated with the relationship between founder Washington Cinel and political figures – some even hostile – such as President Jair Bolsonaro and Sao Paulo Governor João Doria. For example, Chinel often meets with businessmen and the president at home. The company is now planning an IPO in 2022. And political risks can be in the sight of investors.

This is something that does not seem to bother the president of the company, Bruno Juan. Since December 2019, at the helm of Gocil, Juan believes that Chenille plays an important role for the company as chairman and founder, but claims that he himself has full responsibility for running the business.

“He positions himself like other businessmen and says nothing about Gochil. He protects the interests of the company, and I see no resistance from investors and investment funds, ”says Juan.

Such resistance has arisen against Havan, owned by businessman Luciano Hang (affiliated with Bolsonar), who was planning an IPO this year and is targeting a market value of over R $ 100 billion. Since this value was far from being achieved, in part due to disagreements on the part of the businessman, Havan decided not to publish the information.

But the head of Gocil says the situation is different. He says he has met with representatives of more than 30 funds in recent months and that their attention is drawn to the company’s results.

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In 2020, the pandemic had a direct impact on Gocil’s results: in addition to a 3% drop in sales, the company had a 35% contract turnover, compared with a historical average of 10%. Gocil has spent nearly R $ 30 million to compensate more than 2,500 employees laid off during the pandemic.

Over the past three months, the company has managed to recover. Ebitda (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization), an important data for measuring cash generation, is set to grow from R $ 20 million in 2020 to R $ 60 million this year. João predicts 8% growth this year.

With more tailored accounts, Gocil wants to invest more in its technology services division, such as installing services such as alarms, access control, smart cameras and facial recognition, among other products. For João, this is the area with the greatest potential for expansion. He sees that the division will increase its dealership from its current 5% to 30% of sales in three years.

If it even reaches B3, the company will be the second in the private security sector on the stock exchange. In April this year, Grupo GPS went public and raised R $ 2.5 billion. Since then, GPS stock is up 37%. But João admits that an election year and the market’s reluctance to take risks could derail plans.

There is political risk, according to Carlos Eduardo Daltoso, director of variable income at think tank Eleven, but because Cinel does not make as much noise as Hang from Havana, the weight should be lower. “The leader is not involved in day-to-day work, as is the case with Luciano Hang, who is the central figure in Havana,” says Daltozo. “But the political risk is on the rise, just look at what happened to Petrobras and Banco do Brasil, which have the highest discount rates compared to private banks.”

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Information from the newspaper State of Sao Paulo.

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Politics

The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.

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The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022

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Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

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Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

See more news, photos and videos at www.ansabrasil.com.br.

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