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Germany is preparing for the end of Russian gas. It could be as early as Monday – Economics

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Russia’s main gas pipeline to Europe, the Nord Stream gas pipeline, will be shut down for ten days for maintenance starting July 11, but Germany is already bracing for the possibility that Vladimir Putin will seize the opportunity to immediately shut off the supply.

The German government has an emergency plan that includes rationing and bailouts of companies, but according to Bloomberg, the consequences of this will most likely mean a deep recession in Europe’s largest economy with consequences for the entire continent.

“Are we concerned? Yes, we are very concerned. It would be naive not to worry,” Christian Kuhlmann, CEO of German chemical giant Evonik Industries AG, told the agency.

More than a third of Germany’s gas comes from Russia, and the Kremlin could use that advantage to avenge sanctions imposed by Europe after the war in Ukraine.

“Russia has a limited number of assets that it can use. They are trying to make the most of the remaining tools,” says Olga Khakova, Deputy Director of the Atlantic Council’s Global Energy Center.

Germany gradually prepared its 80 million citizens for the opportunity to face hardship. Chancellor Olaf Scholz even compared the current situation to the peak of inflation in the 1960s and 1970s and warned that it was not something that could be overcome quickly.

The impact of the lack of energy is already beginning to be felt: Munich has lowered the temperature of public swimming pools, Cologne has reduced the intensity of street lighting, and Hamburg plans to supply hot water only at certain times of the day.

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The Scholz government is trying to speed up legislation that would allow him to buy stakes in struggling energy companies like Uniper to buy them out. Uniper, Germany’s largest buyer of Russian gas and the main state supplier, warned on Friday that it was running out of cash.

Klaus-Dieter Maubach, CEO, says the company will soon have no choice but to start using gas reserves, raise prices for consumers and cut supplies.

The government has already promised to intervene. “We will not allow systemically important companies to go bankrupt and, as a result, sink the global energy market,” Economy Minister Robert Habek said in response to Uniper warnings.

To avert a crisis, Germany will also backtrack on its environmental commitments by reopening coal-fired power plants to generate electricity, allowing the country to cut its gas use for power generation by 52% over the next 12 months, according to Bloomberg estimates.

If Germany decides to declare a “state of emergency”, the regulator can now control distribution. Homes and critical structures such as hospitals are protected, but the industry may be facing limited supplies and consumers may have to lower the temperature of heaters and water heaters.

Germany’s goal is to fill warehouses by 90% by November. At the moment they are 63%, and with the suspension of Nord Stream, this value should decrease, which will give the country only 86 days to reach its goal.

The German Government is well aware of the difficulties of achieving this goal. “It was a serious mistake to let Germany become so dependent on one country for energy supply, and that country was Russia. This dependence on Russian gas has been built over decades and we are trying to change that in months,” Habek lamented.

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Vladimir Putin has delayed the invasion of Ukraine at least three times.

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Putin has repeatedly consulted with Russian Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu about the invasion, Europa Press told Ukraine’s chief intelligence director Vadim Skibitsky.

According to Skibitsky, it was the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB), which is responsible for counterintelligence and espionage work, that put pressure on Gerasimov and other military agencies to agree to launch an offensive. .

However, according to the Ukrainian intelligence services, the FSB considered that by the end of February sufficient preparations had already been made to guarantee the success of the Russian Armed Forces in a lightning invasion.

However, according to Kyiv, the Russian General Staff provided the Russian troops with supplies and ammunition for only three days, hoping that the offensive would be swift and immediately successful.

The head of Ukrainian intelligence also emphasized the cooperation of local residents, who always provided the Ukrainian authorities with up-to-date information about the Russian army, such as the number of soldiers or the exact location of troops.

The military offensive launched on February 24 by Russia in Ukraine caused at least 6.5 million internally displaced persons and more than 7.8 million refugees to European countries, which is why the UN classifies this migration crisis as the worst in Europe since World War II (1939-1945). gg.). ).

At the moment, 17.7 million Ukrainians are in need of humanitarian assistance, and 9.3 million are in need of food aid and housing.

The UN has presented as confirmed 6,755 civilian deaths and 10,607 wounded since the beginning of the war, stressing that these figures are much lower than the real ones.

See also  The Russian army announced the destruction of 45,000 tons of Ukrainian weapons sent by NATO
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Life sentence for former Swedish official for spying for Russia

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A Stockholm court on Monday sentenced a former Swedish intelligence officer to life in prison for spying for Russia, and his brother to at least 12 years in prison. In what is considered one of the most serious cases in Swedish counterintelligence history, much of the trial took place behind closed doors in the name of national security.

According to the prosecution, it was Russian military intelligence, the GRU, who took advantage of the information provided by the two brothers between 2011 and their arrest at the end of 2021.

Peyman Kia, 42, has held many senior positions in the Swedish security apparatus, including the army and his country’s intelligence services (Säpo). His younger brother, Payam, 35, is accused of “participating in the planning” of the plot and of “managing contacts with Russia and the GRU, including passing on information and receiving financial rewards.”

Both men deny the charges, and their lawyers have demanded an acquittal on charges of “aggravated espionage,” according to the Swedish news agency TT.

The trial coincides with another case of alleged Russian espionage, with the arrest of the Russian-born couple in late November in a suburb of Stockholm by a police team arriving at dawn in a Blackhawk helicopter.

Research website Bellingcat identified them as Sergei Skvortsov and Elena Kulkova. The couple allegedly acted as sleeper agents for Moscow, having moved to Sweden in the late 1990s.

According to Swedish press reports, the couple ran companies specializing in the import and export of electronic components and industrial technology.

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The man was again detained at the end of November for “illegal intelligence activities.” His partner, suspected of being an accomplice, has been released but remains under investigation.

According to Swedish authorities, the arrests are not related to the trial of the Kia brothers.

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Ukraine admitted that Russia may announce a general mobilization

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“They can strengthen their positions. We understand that this can happen. At the same time, we do not rule out that they will announce a general mobilization,” Danilov said in an interview with the Ukrainska Pravda online publication.

Danilov believed that this mobilization would also be convened “to exterminate as many as possible” of Russian citizens, so that “they would no longer have any problems on their territory.”

In this sense, Danilov also reminded that Russia has not given up on securing control over Kyiv or the idea of ​​the complete “destruction” of Ukraine. “We have to be ready for anything,” he said.

“I want everyone to understand that [os russos] they have not given up on the idea of ​​destroying our nation. If they don’t have Kyiv in their hands, they won’t have anything in their hands, we must understand this,” continued Danilov, who also did not rule out that a new Russian offensive would come from “Belarus and other territories.” .

As such, Danilov praised the decision of many of its residents who chose to stay in the Ukrainian capital when the war broke out in order to defend the city.

“They expected that there would be panic, that people would run, that there would be nothing to protect Kyiv,” he added, referring to President Volodymyr Zelensky.

The military offensive launched on February 24 by Russia in Ukraine caused at least 6.5 million internally displaced persons and more than 7.8 million refugees to European countries, which is why the UN classifies this migration crisis as the worst in Europe since World War II (1939-1945). gg.). ).

See also  The Russian army announced the destruction of 45,000 tons of Ukrainian weapons sent by NATO

At the moment, 17.7 million Ukrainians are in need of humanitarian assistance, and 9.3 million are in need of food aid and housing.

The Russian invasion, justified by Russian President Vladimir Putin on the need to “denazify” and demilitarize Ukraine for Russia’s security, was condemned by the international community at large, which responded by sending weapons to Ukraine and imposing political and economic sanctions on Russia.

The UN has presented as confirmed 6,755 civilian deaths and 10,607 wounded since the beginning of the war, stressing that these figures are much lower than the real ones.

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