Politics
ESG Debate Opens New Paradigms of Political Risk for Companies in Brazil
In recent years, companies have undergone significant changes in terms of exposure to social and environmental risks. Threats are now not confined to the scope of regulation (usually associated with fines and sanctions), but are becoming more diverse, which affects the reputation sphere as well as access to finance.
In Brazil, there is an increasing focus on various sectors, including but not limited to those related to the Amazon region. This is also true for those sectors that are only exposed to indirect impacts, with supply chain risks and which are becoming increasingly important. Segments such as animal protein, agriculture, mining, energy and infrastructure remain the most visible, but others such as finance, retail and technology have followed the latest global trends and also found themselves in the spotlight when they were thought to be connected. with unstable corporate policies. practice. We understand that attention has been heightened during the COVID-19 pandemic due to increased social anxiety and the constant mobilization of social movements that continue to be amplified through social media. So we do not see this trend disappearing.
As such, I have no doubt that companies that are not yet convinced of the clear benefits of adopting ESG measures are already lagging behind by this point. A growing body of literature on this subject is almost unanimous about the multidimensional benefits – or at least non-negative effects – of approaches to ESG investments in a number of areas, including reputation, portfolio expansion, and risk mitigation. One way to convince yourself of this is to look around: all developed countries are talking about this, mainly in Europe, but also in Asia and the United States.
In this way, companies can prepare for this new paradigm by developing strong and long-term capabilities, relying on outside help when needed. The ESG agenda should not be seen as a symbol and often requires a scientific approach to be truly effective. In this sense, it’s important to avoid clichés and focus on what really matters to your business plan. It is important to note that more and more efforts are now being made by regulators, especially in Europe – but certainly also in other countries, in the coming months, given the region’s role as agenda-setting in the ESG – to avoid green laundering initiatives. Thus, companies should avoid portraying old business practices wrapped in new labels and focus on innovative ways to make a difference. Engaging local communities, NGOs and experts is an interesting recipe for success.
Federal government indifference to social and environmental issues hinders ESG program
In Brazil, ESG risks have been compounded by a notorious lack of interest from the federal government in social and environmental issues, which has influenced this agenda in three main ways. First, government agencies such as IBAMA suffered from severe underfunding, which limited their ability to support companies in licensing processes and other tactical situations, including incidents.
Second, the government’s negative rhetoric has empowered illegal farmers and miners, which, along with fewer inspections, led to more fires and deforestation, which in turn had negative side effects for legitimate companies, including exporters. Third, the government has made limited efforts to develop sustainability mechanisms that limit the chances of local companies to participate in global trends. Brazil was recently excluded from a World Bank initiative to support a carbon credit program in emerging economies due to internal problems, according to an article in Brazilian media.
This means that the risks are high for companies that do not closely monitor the political situation and do not have reliable mitigation protocols. These are risks that have a particular impact on operational performance and integrity, depending on the nature of their impact.
However, it should be noted that the government’s negative attitude towards this issue also opens up opportunities in Brazil. Private actors will have the opportunity to lead and set the agenda for sustainable investment practices across multiple fronts, including environmental. Initiatives on topics such as carbon neutrality, energy efficiency and waste management are likely to be some of the most prominent examples.
We hope the environmental agenda becomes a hot topic in the 2022 election debate, reflecting the political polarization Brazil is experiencing. While President Jair Bolsonaro’s political group will likely continue to characterize the agenda as something related to the so-called “globalist conspiracy” aimed at reducing national sovereignty, forces from the center-right to the left are likely to use resilience as a central theme. their economic platforms. The topic of diesel and gas prices will be controversial, as they continue to be an important issue for voters, demanding unpopular short-term solutions. Thus, this debate is likely to be inconsistent in many ways, reflecting the difficult socio-economic situation in Brazil.
Finally, companies will find themselves caught between different economic incentives as politicians from different currents and across the political spectrum explore different aspects of the ESG agenda in order to leverage their platforms. Again, monitoring the political landscape and understanding these incentives will provide companies with the best basis for mitigating risks and constructively positioning themselves in the new corporate paradigm that has emerged.
* Gabriel Brasil is a Political Risk and ESG Analyst at the Southern Cone of the risk management consultancy Control Risks. He holds a degree in economics from the Federal University of Minas Gerais and a master’s degree in international political economy from the University of São Paulo.
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Politics
The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario
Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!
Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.
Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.
The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.
For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!
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Politics
Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.
The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.
Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.
No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.
Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.
Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.
The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.
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Politics
The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022
The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .
The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.
Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.
The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.
Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.
“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.
Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.
However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).
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