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Brazilian Political System: The Third Way and the Majin Bu effect.

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Brazilian Political System: The Third Way and the Majin Bu effect.

Following the news every day, we strive to understand what exactly is the third method and how causes Analysts are trying to convince us that only this can break the political polarization in the country.

It is impossible to assimilate this analysis without understanding the political system of Brazil, whose constitution, adopted in 1988, defined pluripartidarism as a stone clause allowing a country to violate bipartisanship between ARENA and MDB, which happened during the military dictatorship.

American political scientist Scott Mainwaring was one of the first to warn about the danger of a multi-party system in which many parties were created “without strong and stable social roots”, that is, without ties with society and, therefore, fair transformation into an institutionalized political system.

Political scientist Scott Mainwaring warned of the dangers of spreading political parties – Photo: Reproduction

As a prospect for the creation of the Brazilian political system, it was designed with the presidency of the United States in mind, but this did not happen, and we created jabuticaba, exclusively for us.

Thirty-three (33) years after the promulgation of the constitution, there are thirty-three (33) political parties registered in the country. TSEamong others eighty three (83) Parties to the formation with applications for registration awaiting signatures and / or a decision for verification, that is, Scott Mainwaring was correct in his statement.

O coalition presidential approach it was the answer that the political class found to maintain its governance among the countless representatives of the various parties seated in the chairs of the national congress. There are so many parties that the possibility that any president will rule with an absolute majority in the ideological field is unlikely, since many parties have become physiological, that is, subtitles for hire.

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Today, the government, which is based on the Liberal Social Party (PSL) and which has the largest assembly in the chamber (54 deputies), cannot even approve simple majority projects without negotiations with other parties, just imagine PEC, the number of which 308 votes are required for the passage of the project to the Senate. It is in this context that any politician elected next year will have to rule, and it is from here that I discuss the third path, which I see only as an alignment of forces without popular roots and without a political leadership that awakens into a genuine interest in his political project.

The third path, consisting of DEM, PSDB, PDT, NOVO, CITIZENSHIP, MDB, PV and even PSL, tried to consolidate as an alternative to the polarization between Lula and Bolsonaro, preaching opposition to the government and calling for protests for impeachment, but just one short request for congressional radarto make sure that the parties in question are extremely close to the government and their opposition is nothing more than a political dramatization.

Image: The manifestation of the Awpaulist Brazilian Political System: The Third Path and Effect "Majin Boo"...
Demonstration in favor of impeachment brought thousands of people to Paulista Avenue – Photo: Reproduction.

The biggest proof of this is that there was no shortage of street demonstrations and popular pressure to impeach, what was lacking is that the third way parties also operate in this way in parliament through their congressmen. Today, the President of the Chamber of Deputies, Arthur Lira (Progressists), has nothing but 133 requests for impeachment on your desk awaiting analysis.

Therefore, it would be an illusion to think that a number of parties supporting the government in Congress actually want impeachment, since it is impossible not to link the institutional, economic and social destruction of the country with which they supported this current project. The third way is already being born dead, not only because of the lack of social roots, but also because of the absence of political leaders with national identity.

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With the exception of Ciro Gomes, all other candidates for the third path campaigned by associating their names with Bolsonaro. However, given the barbarity set up by the Brazilian government during the pandemic, even João Doria is becoming an acceptable political figure given Bolsonaro’s contempt for us Brazilians.

Image: Presidential 2022 Brazilian Political System: Third Path and Effect "Majin Boo"...
The list of possible presidential candidates brings together several former fellows – Photo: Reproduction.

Here I take the liberty of maintaining what I call the “Majin Boo effect.”

In the mythology of the Dragon Ball Z anime, created by Akira Toriyama, Majin Bu was summoned by evil forces and left to devastate the entire universe until he devours a God who can purify his body and then be sealed. After 5 million years, the magician breaks the seal and frees him, a series of successive events forces “Majin Bu” to devour all of his enemies. At some point, he is captured by an evil force that conceived him, spitting out all the enemies he absorbed and returning to his original form.

The third method is nothing more than the remains of a pocket book. A political class that allowed itself to be swallowed up by an evil creature, thinking it could be controlled, but has now been thrown and spat out. On the verge of disappearing from the political scene, they try to join forces among themselves to defeat the creature whom they helped free the seal that imprisoned him. Until they can join forces, our “Majin Bu” will destroy what is left of the country.

Finally, for the third way, it remains to try to go through the center with the support of liberal sectors and media conglomerates, leaving only one observation: the third way is nothing more than a wallet without Bolsonaro.

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.

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Goal.com

The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022

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Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

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Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

See more news, photos and videos at www.ansabrasil.com.br.

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