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Minoru Takiya: The political appeal of a dividend tax

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Creating taxes that affect companies or citizens with “above average” incomes and assets has a strong political appeal, as it is usually accompanied by beautiful speeches aimed at the social sphere, but the end result is usually unsatisfactory and often leads to real disaster. And there are plenty of sad examples in the world.

In fact, we recently ran one such political experiment in our neighboring Argentina, which favored the taxation of large fortunes. And the result could not have been more deplorable: a meager collection (well under US$3 billion in 2021), which was accompanied by a huge distaste for conserving resources and investing in the country, which means, of course, a drop in overall revenue in the medium and long term.

In Brazil, fortunately, the “above average” asset forfeiture debate has so far been limited to academic centers and social movements of dubious representation. What worries us today is the naturalization of the ability to tax the supposed “free income” of the “wealthiest”, which is profit distributions or dividends, in addition to the superficial arguments that have been used to do so.

For example, proponents say that “Brazil is one of the few countries in the world that does not tax dividends”forgetting, however, to also mention that the same country ranks second in the world in taxing the income of companies that generate these dividends, at a rate of 34% of their profits, second only to Malta (see OECD).

And when the political discourse gets a little more radical, even the worker joins the fray, declaring the unfairness of levying income tax on wages and not demanding it on dividends. In fact, the progressive income tax table is insulting, but it doesn’t even come close to what it means to have a high risk of doing business in Brazil and, if the company is successful (which few are capable of), having to surrender more than 1/3 of the accrued profits to the state. Hiding this “however” in the figure of the company, it seems that the intention of the legislator at the time was to create this type of “class conflict”.

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And as for the fact that this is the “income of the richest”, even this is not true, since this is also the income of liberal professionals who receive as a legal entity (for example, masons, carpenters, hairdressers) or small investors who have part of their savings used in the stock exchange.

Bill 2337/2021 is currently making great strides, which has already been approved by the House of Representatives and, under the current text, will apply a 15% rate to dividends to be distributed. There are some interesting offsets in this bill (such as cuts to corporate income taxes), but nothing substantial to make up for the breakdowns in communications with the government that could result, and worse, the investment aversion that this measure would cause. entails, is itself capable of generating.

For example, a permanent increase in the Selic rate and the subsequent increase in the attractiveness of investments in fixed income tend to have a strong impact on the capital market, hurting the real Brazilian economy and, in the next moment, causing tax cuts. collection. What about entrepreneurship? Well, it will be given to the bravest who still remain in this country.

Finally, the answer to the question of whether there is a benefit from creating a tax on dividends is categorical: no, definitely not, and the answer is the same for any tax that is supposed to be introduced in Brazil, since this is already a country that, if not achieved, is very close reaching the limit of the so-called Laffer curve, where an increase in the tax burden will lead to successive drops in collection. But until the state is convinced that the ideal is to reduce its size, we, unfortunately, will constantly remain hostages of this possibility.

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.

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Goal.com

The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022

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Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

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Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

See more news, photos and videos at www.ansabrasil.com.br.

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