Economy
Interest rate hike in 2022 is “very unlikely”, but possible | Money-credit policy
The changing environment for monetary policy in the euro area is now confirmed. After the European Central Bank (ECB) announced in a statement that the pace of debt purchases in January was slowing, and after an upward revision of its inflation forecasts for next year, its president, Christine Lagarde, admitted that while this is “very unlikely” An increase in the interest rate as early as next year cannot be completely ruled out.
The meeting of the ECB’s governing board this Thursday was expected with great expectations, as it was the moment determined by the institution itself to formulate in more detail its plans to gradually remove monetary stimulus in the euro area. Moreover, the meeting took place the day after the Fed’s signal. the possibility of three increases in interest rates in 2022 and at the same time as in London, the Bank of England announced a 0.25 percentage point increase in its benchmark interest rate.
Also under pressure to respond to a rise in inflation to 4.9% in November, the ECB opted for a less drastic change of course, of course, although governors also indicated that they are now more concerned with sustainability. have been seen since the beginning of this year.
In a statement after the meeting, the ECB announced that in the first quarter of next year it will implement its emergency program related to the purchase of pandemic assets, “at a slower pace than in the previous quarter.” Currently, under this program, the ECB buys about 80 billion euros in assets (mainly government debt) per month.
It has already been determined that these most voluminous debt purchases will be completed in March 2022, and this deadline remains, but the slowdown in the growth rate, which is now adopted in the last three months of the program, is already the ECB’s response. higher than expected inflation rate in the euro area…
Then, during a press conference, the President of the ECB announced that the bank’s forecasts for inflation in the euro area had been significantly revised upward. An average inflation rate of 2.6% is expected this year, up from 2.2% in September. In 2022, inflation will not decline as quickly as the central bank previously expected, but will average 3.2% instead of 1.7%. For 2023 and 2024, inflation is now projected at 1.8%, close to the 2% target and above the 1.5% forecast for 2023 made in September.
Finally, Christine Lagarde was far less adamant than she was about keeping the ECB’s benchmark interest rates at current historic lows for an extended period of time. While noting that a rate hike as early as 2022 is “very unlikely,” the truth is that the door has not yet been closed to that scenario.
“In the current circumstances, as I said earlier, it is very unlikely that we will raise interest rates in 2022, it remains. But we have to be very careful about what the data tells us. And we will do that at every monetary policy meeting we have, and even longer when we have new forecasts, ”Lagarde said when asked about what guarantees she could provide to ensure that interest rates rates also did not start to rise in the zone. next year, similar to what seems inevitable in the US.
The high level of uncertainty about the evolution of the economy and inflation was repeatedly mentioned at the press conference, and Christine Lagarde argued that, therefore, the ECB would have to maintain a high level of flexibility in the conduct of monetary policy. “Given the uncertainty, we wanted to have as much flexibility as possible. We are going to reassess the situation and, judging by the available data, we will be correcting in any direction, ”he said. And he explained with regard to inflation: “[A zona euro] it really does go towards the goal, but considering that it is 2%, we have not reached the goal yet. “
In an effort to allay fears of removing stimulus too quickly, the organization led by Christine Lagarde has sought to ensure the central bank’s presence in the eurozone government debt market for quite some time. In compensation for the slowdown in purchases in the coming months, the ECB extended until the end of 2024 the period during which it will reinvest debt securities acquired under the pandemic emergency program, that is, whenever a government bond (Portuguese) is held by the ECB reaches maturity, the central bank buys out the same amount of debt from the same country.
In addition, the ECB announced that in the case of the regular asset purchase program (which was already in place before the pandemic), the monthly purchases of which are currently 20 billion euros, will be increased to 40 billion euros. in the second quarter of 2022, then up to 30 billion in the third quarter and back to 20 billion thereafter.
The ECB says these acquisitions will continue until inflation is guaranteed to hit the 2% target over the medium term and that they will stop “just before the ECB starts raising its key interest rates.”
At a press conference, Christine Lagarde said that “the announced package of measures was supported by the overwhelming majority of the council members,” although “some of these members did not agree with some elements.”
In the US, where inflation hit 6.8% in November, the highest since 1982, there was a sharper reversal in monetary policy this Wednesday. The United States Federal Reserve System (FRS) acted significant changes in your monetary policy, announcing an acceleration in the rate of decline in asset purchases and planning for the first increase in interest rates in the middle of next year.
The Fed has decided that the reduction in monthly purchases will now be $ 30 billion every month (currently € 15 billion), which means that by the end of March the procurement program could be completed.
In addition, members of the Fed’s monetary policy committee predict that there will be three interest rate hikes shortly next year, with three more hikes expected in 2023 and two more in 2024. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell when asked when the first rise will take place. Interest rate hikes can be expected, said he did not anticipate a “very long wait” between the end of the debt buyout program and the first rate hike in the US.
“Internet specialist. Evil entrepreneur. Troublemaker. Analyst. Tv aficionado. Thinker. Passionate explorer. Bacon guru.”
Economy
What factors impact financial markets?
The global financial markets are now hugely complex, with traders and analysts around the world looking closely for signs of movement. What are some of the most important factors to be aware of that impact the financial markets?
Geopolitical events
With news breaking from different countries throughout the day, many different stories could affect the markets on any given day. For instance, economic indicators such as the European Central Bank’s inflation rates and gross domestic product numbers released by each country can determine which direction the markets take. Stocks, currencies and other financial instruments can all vary depending on these areas.
Major events such as war breaking out, natural disasters and elections also have an effect. When we look at the commodities market, climate change is an issue to bear in mind, with unusual weather sometimes causing scarcity or abundance of a certain product.
An interesting aspect of the modern financial world is the way that the different markets are linked. This means that any important event or news story that affects one area could easily affect another, even if the link isn’t obvious at first sight. We can also see how local shocks and events can quickly have an effect at a global level.
The financial crisis of 2008 is a good example, as it started with a serious downturn in the US housing market. Although this appeared to be a localized issue at first, it soon revealed some major issues with the global banking setup that caused problems around the planet affecting millions of people and diverse industries.
Speculation and investment trends
The previous factors all point toward the markets changing, and there’s no shortage of traders around the world waiting to see what happens next and how they can benefit. This means that we need to take into account other issues such as speculation and investment trends in the markets.
Armed with a variety of tools, including candlestick charts, traders try to identify trends such as support and resistance levels. They use the information they glean from the charts to make their moves, which can influence the general market if enough people make the same moves or if the amounts involved are significant.
Once an investment trend begins, it can have a knock-on effect that would have been impossible to predict at the outset. The example of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies shows how something that starts small can grow impressively. Cryptocurrencies have now gained enough mainstream appeal to influence and disrupt many industries, from healthcare to gaming and banking.
It’s important to understand how the leaders of a company operate and how they have faced challenges in the past. If we look at banking and the Bank of New York Mellon in particular, we can see that its history can be traced back to 1784, so it has overcome all the major events that have occurred since then. With some of the biggest names in the business world making up its key institutional investors, this is a company that we would expect to react effectively to changing markets.
Regulatory changes and company results
Just about every industry represented in the financial markets has laws and regulations that govern it. This means that the fear of harsher new laws is an almost constant threat. Meanwhile, the hope that beneficial changes to the regulations help businesses prosper is the other side of this matter that investors keep a close eye on.
Let’s not forget the role played by the profit and loss results produced by major companies. It’s clear that these results have an almost immediate effect on their stock prices. However, we should also bear in mind that this effect can reach other areas of the economy. A surprising set of results for a large business can produce shock waves that travel around the market.
What impact do they cause?
From the wide variety of examples that we’ve looked at here, it’s clear that the impact isn’t going to be the same in every case. While one set of circumstances might snowball and cause a huge impact, another might cause a limited impact before the news disappears as other events overtake it.
Having said that, one of the key issues that they cause is a higher degree of market volatility. We can see how this works by looking at an area such as the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The markets became a lot more volatile as the different aspects of the pandemic became clear. Streaming companies, healthcare companies and video conferencing technology firms made huge profits, while airlines and hotels were among those to lose out massively.
Working out the overall impact of a particular situation is almost impossible to do now. With so many traders looking over the latest news stories and numbers with advanced tools, the original impact can quickly grow or simply disappear. Therefore, the key for investors is to understand emerging trends and react to them before it’s too late.
These details reveal how complex the global financial market is now. It’s a fascinating world, and with more information at our fingertips than ever before, it’s something that anyone can start to research and understand in their own way.
Proud web evangelist. Travel ninja. Creator. Freelance food nerd. Passionate bacon fanatic.
Economy
Everything has been delivered. 10 Bugatti Centodieci are already in the hands of the owners
OAll Bugatti Centodieci have been delivered, the Molsheim-based brand said on Monday. Cristiano Ronaldo received the number 07 in October this year. and Bugatti has now revealed that the latest unit – #10 – is already in the possession of its owner.
“The Centodieci combines all the values of the Bugatti brand in an extraordinary package: rarity, innovation, heritage, craftsmanship and unrivaled performance. The production batch of 10 units was so in demand by our customers that it was sold before the Centodieci. was even officially presented,” said Christophe Piochon, president of Bugatti.
This latest example is finished in Quartz White with carbon fiber trim on the bottom and matte grilles. The brake calipers are painted in Light Blue Sport, as is the logo on the rear that refers to the EB110, the iconic Bugatti model that inspired this Centodieci. Inside, the predominant color is also blue, as you can see in the images above.
This block is powered by the same block as the other nine instances. The 8.0-liter W16 with four turbines is capable of developing 1600 hp. In terms of performance, this allows the Centodieci to hit 100 km/h in just 2.4 seconds and reach a top speed of 380 km/h.
Recall that each unit costs the owners eight million euros before taxes.
Read also: We already know when the Bugatti Centodieci fell into the hands of Ronaldo.
Always be the first to know.
Sixth year in a row Consumer Choice and Five Star Online Press Award.
Download our free app.
“Internet specialist. Evil entrepreneur. Troublemaker. Analyst. Tv aficionado. Thinker. Passionate explorer. Bacon guru.”
Economy
The first Dacia hybrid. “The cheapest hybrid family on the market”
BUT Dacia revealed this Monday that the hybrid engine has been available since March on the Jogger, the Romanian brand’s model known to be available with a seven-seat variant.
The Jogger Hybrid 140, Dacia’s first hybrid, will hit dealerships in March, but customers can expect and order it as early as January.
The price has been revealed by Dacia and since it’s only available in the seven-seater SL Extreme, it starts at €28,800. The brand claims it is “the most affordable hybrid family car on the market.”
Available in six existing colors to celebrate the launch of this hybrid, there will be a slate gray version, as you can see in the images above.
Equipped with a 1.6 liter four-cylinder petrol engine with 90 hp, the Jogger is also powered by two electric motors (a 50 hp engine and a high-voltage starter-generator). The total power is 140 horsepower. The electric transmission is automatic, four-speed, connected to an internal combustion engine, and two speeds are connected to an electric motor. This combined technology was possible, according to Dacia, only due to the lack of clutch.
Combined with the energy recovery levels of the 1.2kWh (230V) battery pack and the efficiency of the automatic transmission, regenerative braking delivers all-electric traction on 80% of urban journeys and saves up to 40% of fuel compared to a combustion engine vehicle.
Read also: Dual-fuel Dacia Jogger Eco-G. We tried 5 seater and LPG…
Always be the first to know.
Sixth year in a row Consumer Choice and Five Star Online Press Award.
Download our free app.
“Internet specialist. Evil entrepreneur. Troublemaker. Analyst. Tv aficionado. Thinker. Passionate explorer. Bacon guru.”
-
World3 years ago
The Gabby Petito case. Brian Landry set up camp with his family after his girlfriend disappeared
-
Top News5 years ago
Tristan Thompson reacts to Khloé Kardashian’s new appearance
-
Top News5 years ago
TLC ‘sMothered’ recap: ‘Party curled up,’ boyfriend problem
-
Top News5 years ago
Alex Cooper hosts a solo podcast
-
Top News4 years ago
2021 Ford Bronco price: Here’s how much the 2-door and 4-door cost
-
Tech4 years ago
Fall Guys is supplying out a legendary costume and Kudos as an apology present
-
Top News5 years ago
Chiara de Blasio was ‘very cold’ during the arrest of the protest: witness
-
Economy2 years ago
Everything has been delivered. 10 Bugatti Centodieci are already in the hands of the owners