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The dispute over political space causes friction between Lula’s allied parties.



published on 13.11.2022 03:55

(Source: advertising/consultant Simone Tebet)

In July, defending an alliance with former toucan Geraldo Alcmin (PSB), then-presidential candidate of the Republic Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) used the phrase, essentially a rereading of excerpts from the statements and publications of the educator Paulo Freire, which served as the slogan of the entire campaign: “I read in a book by Paulo Freire that we must unite the divergent in order to defeat the antagonists. And that’s what you need to know.” The first part of the mission ended with the victory over President Jair Bolsonaro (PL).

Dissenters – in this case, the myriad of political forces that have formed to defeat Bolsonarism – now face another challenge: finding a consensus in a transitional government that will provide a minimum of governability starting in January. This stitching turns out to be more complex than it seemed in the heat of the election victory.

At the Banco do Brasil Cultural Center (CCBB), headquarters of the interim cabinet led by an elected vice president, work has yet to begin. Many thematic groups still do not have names, and disputes over space are already causing friction between the various parties that form the backbone of the future government. While the alliance between Lula and Alcmine’s allies is portrayed in press conferences, there are already those behind the scenes who complain about the leading role of some and the lack of definition of the directions the new government intends to follow from January 2023. The main controversy concerns a core tied to the PT base, which is feeling the loss of space for the more central political forces represented by Vice President Geraldo Alkmin and Senator Simone Tebet (MDB).

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There are also complaints from the allied parties about the massive presence of PT members associated mainly with the government of Dilma Rousseff, which is not well appreciated by most of its leaders. On Friday, information that Guido Mantega, Lula and Dilma’s former finance minister, had asked the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) to postpone the election of its new president caused confusion. The former minister, regarded as one of the fathers of the “new economic matrix” that deepened the country’s ongoing crisis and finally shook the then president’s political stability, proposed a delay so that Lula’s government could point to another name for Ilan Goldfein, president of the Central Bank under Michel Temer (MDB ), appointed to this post in the multilateral organization by Bolsonaro’s Minister of Economy, Paulo Guedes.

“Who gave Mantega this delegation?” asked the politician, heard by Correio at the CCBB. Yesterday, the IDB confirmed the date of the elections and the preservation of already registered names, ignoring the proposal of the ex-minister.

development advocates

Guido Mantega is a member of the Transitional Government Planning, Budgeting and Management Thematic Group. His appointment also provoked a backlash among the allies and in the financial market, which made the reading more influential of the participation of the so-called “developmentalist” wing in the decisions of the interim cabinet. The presence of another former Dilma Treasury Secretary, Nelson Barbosa, on the economics thematic group reinforced that vision and contributed to market tension on Thursday.

Barbosa and Guilherme Mello, PT’s economic consultant associated with Unicamp, will prepare an economic policy plan for the future government, along with two PSDB experts from Fernando Enrique Cardoso: Percio Arida and André Lara Resende, mentors of the Real Plan that ended the country’s hyperinflation. There is another potential stumbling block in the transition team. Arida and Resende defend fiscal responsibility based on clear grounds and disapprove of unorthodox theories of more government intervention, despite being recognized for their creative approach to solving macroeconomic problems. Transition consultants are betting that Alkmin will play an important role in this group. The last word (or deciding vote) as the main coordinator of the transition remains with him.

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Agro and social will collide

The dispute between the left-wing parties that united the broad front that elected Lulu and the centrist allies that entered the PT’s base after the first round of elections – such as the DBR and the SDP (which joined last week) – must be resolved. repeat in other thematic groups. The political capital of Senator Simone Tebet (MDB-MS), a former presidential candidate who is part of the Social Assistance and Hunger Relief Group, is already scaring the far left of the PT. The group deals with topics close to the ideology of the legend, which would not want to lose its leading role in caring for the poorest. But Tebet will not become a minister if she herself does not want it.

The appointment of two former social development ministers from the Dilma era, Marcia López and Teresa Campello, was formulated to increase PT’s influence in the thematic group, which also includes Deputy André Quintao of Minas Gerais, who is associated with social movements. An MDB interlocutor confirmed to Correio that “there’s a hell of a lot of envy in PT” regarding the force with which Simone Tebet entered the transition. “Many are afraid to lose a place for her,” he admitted.

Another area in which the dispute over prominence will be fought will be agriculture, which has not yet been officially named. One of Lula’s top agribusiness sector interlocutors, former Agriculture Minister and Federal MP Neri Geller (PP-MT), was at CCBB on Friday to present names to the transition. He took for granted the participation of Senator Carlos Favaro (PSD-MT) and businessman Carlos Ernesto Augustin, who campaigned for Lulu in Mato Grosso. “We need to bring in those who are more balanced, who are more moderate, so that we can bring the sector closer to the government and take seats for policy discussion in terms of agribusiness development,” Geller said. .

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Bringing the “moderates” into the public policy debate on agribusiness will meet with a reaction from the left, among those who advocate greater involvement of social movements associated with family farming and cooperatives in shaping the future of the Department of Agriculture. One of the ideas being analyzed is to divide the thematic group into two, in order to take into account the two currents and avoid friction between them.

PT President and Transitional Political Relations Coordinator Glasey Hoffmann had to send a message to end the main character dispute. “The role of the council is to look for political leadership, to discuss the problems they have, to help find a solution, knowing that the decision process is diagnostic and not propositional, this is not where we discuss the government program,” she said after the meeting. . Transitional Political Council.

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario



The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.



The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022



Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

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“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

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