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“Spousal vote” for governments tramples state forces – 11/06/2022 – Poder



"Spousal vote" for governments tramples state forces - 11/06/2022 - Poder

Election of the isolated Bolsonarist Government of Santa Catarina and PT’s hegemony in Northeast governments show the extent to which presidential elections have played a decisive role in determining governors in some parts of the country, outweighing the balance of local forces.

This circumstance had practically no effect on the municipal elections that took place in the middle of the presidential terms.

The phenomenon of “marriage voting” for president and governor has reached a breaking point. Elections in Sao Paulo repeat in the second round to decimal places in dispute.

Elected to the government Tarcisio de Freitas, Republicans cast last Sunday (30) 55.27% of valid votes compared to 44.73% PT Fernando Haddad. In the presidential election, Jair Bolsonaro (PL) received 55.24% of the vote in the state, while Lula (PT) received 44.76%.

Tarcisio’s candidacy overcame the PSDB’s long hegemony in the state, which, in the face of a neutral position in the national elections in the first round, lost ground to a distant third with a candidate for re-election. Rodrigo Garcia.

In Santa Catarina, for the second consecutive state elections, Bolesonarism elevated a name outside the local political elite to the highest position in the state.

Jorginho Mello (Poland), a former toucan and former Assembly veteran, ran without a coalition, defeating long-lived political groups such as the PP, as well as Governor Carlos Moises (Republicans), unknown until 2018 and winning that year thanks to the Bolsonarist wave.

It was the only state where the PT x PL dispute recurred locally in the second round. Names less associated with the two main presidential candidates lost in the first vote.

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report Sheet two weeks ago showed that in the first round, 521,000 voters annulled their vote for governor in São Paulo by dialing Bolsonaro’s number, 22, at the ballot box, possibly confusing it with Tarcisio’s number, 10.

Political scientist Julian Borba, a professor at the Federal University of Santa Catarina, says voters, especially those with little information, tend to use “cognitive shortcuts” to vote in a system as complex as Brazil’s.

“One of them is the reproduction of the numbers of the presidential candidate in the ballot box. The influence of the electronic ballot box on the number of votes in subtitles has already been documented. [para o Legislativo].”

Voter intent polls show how voters have sidelined local disputes.

On the eve of the first round Datafolha showed that in the three most populous states, one in three voters could not spontaneously say for whom they would vote for governor.

The emotional appeal of the protagonists of these presidential elections tends to potentiate the marital voting phenomenon.

The strength of the Lulu vote boosted candidates in the Northeast in four states where PT had already won in 2018: Ceara, piaui, Rio Grande do Norte and, in the second round, Bahia.

The result, however, does not reflect the existence of a powerful party machine or the dominance of the acronym in local politics. In none of these states is PT the legend with the most mayors. In Rio Grande do Norte, she elected only three deputies to the Assembly.

Chosen in Bahia Jerome Rodriguez a former secretary of state, he was unknown to most of the electorate and never stood for election. His campaign slogan was “JeroLula”.

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The emphasis on national elections created obstacles for candidates who did not identify with either side, even with stronger party machines. In Rio Grande do Sul, PSDB seeks re-election Eduardo Leite, won after reaching the second round with a minimum margin of 2000 votes from third place.

However, governors who sought re-election and did not support either Lula or Bolsonaro won in states such as Minas for.

In the municipal elections two years ago, without the atmosphere of a sharpened split in the presidential elections, PT and Bolsonarist fared poorly.

In Bahia, which will end PT’s 20-year rule in state government, the party’s candidate in El Salvador was defeated with just 19% of the vote.

Across the country, the party had poor results at the time, with no victories in any capital, and its volume and the number of conquered prefectures dwindled.

President Bolsonaro killed and asked for votes for dozens of candidates across the country and was eventually defeated in major cities. The postulates that tried to glue his image to the campaign were not crowned with success either.

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario



The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.



The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022



Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

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“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

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