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“Ratinho Jr. worked politically to make elections easy,” political analyst says | Newspaper Folha de Londrina

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"Ratinho Jr.  worked politically to make elections easy,” political analyst says |  Newspaper Folha de Londrina

For political scientist and UFPR (Federal University of Parana) professor Emerson Cervi, Ratinho Junior’s historic and eloquent vote is the result of his political ability to unite parties and allies around his government. “This campaign was easy for the governor because he has been working in the political arena for the last four years to make it easier,” he notes. Cervi said there is no discernible managerial mark in Ratinho Jr.’s administration, but federal government works such as the second bridge between Brazil and Paraguay were promoted during the governor’s election campaign. “Management takes place in the context of erasure, but there is extreme political skill. We are still a very unequal state, but he will be in demand in this second administration for action, especially in the field of education. He leaves a trail of party-political competence in his favor,” notes he.

Also, according to the professor, the race for the Iguazu Palace was not of a plebiscitary nature, as is usually the case when the governor participates in the race for re-election, and voters ultimately evaluate his leadership. “The campaign for the re-election of the governor is carried out in small municipalities. And what Ratinho Jr. did was a promotion to the municipalities. The governor has more than half of the mayors of Paraná moved to his party, the PSD. a coalition of several parties, and the government controls local politics. Ratinho Jr. had the entire social machine to his advantage.”

Emerson Wormsy recalls that the governor has always pulled votes since he was first elected as a state deputy at the age of 21 in 2002. And at other points in his career, he suffered prejudice from the state’s economic and conservative elite when he ran for Mayor of Curitiba in 2012 and lost to Gustavo Fruet (PDT). “This economic group, which is currently with the governor, is more opportunistic than relevant for Ratinho Jr. I say this because his political career spans over two decades. The support of this group, which treated him with prejudice. opponents attacked him in this campaign with words like “rat” who came to do it in the past were conservatives.”

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With Ratinho Jr.’s easy first-round victory, the analyst believes the re-elected governor is eligible for one of two Senate seats in 2026, but Cervi doesn’t see the feasibility of a national projection to the point of aspiring to the office of President of the Republic, or vice versa, at this point. “Ratinho Jr. is not just the result of the Bolsonarist wave, he has a political career that can be long-term. But it’s hard to have a person from Parana with a national projection, because the state has only 6% of the national electorate. .”

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Politics

High prices and political and economic uncertainty dampen demand for flights in Brazil

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High prices and political and economic uncertainty dampen demand for flights in Brazil
Gabriel Abreu – From Agência Amazônia

MANAUS. The lack of certainty in the Brazilian political and economic scenario and more expensive airfare have dampened demand for end-of-year travel. Amazon residents who choose to spend Christmas and New Year out of state will feel high airfares in their pocket. And those who chose to pay the high price chose the Northeast, according to research.

Booking.com conducted an unprecedented national-only survey to understand the behavior of travelers in the country when they visit the coast. According to the study, residents of the Northeast are unanimous when it comes to relaxing with their feet on the sand and swimming in the sea. Indeed, in the ranking of the five best beaches in Brazil, four are located in the region.

This was stated by economist Origenes Martins. AMAZON AGENCY that international travel is more expensive and that now is the best time to travel to other parts of the country. According to him, the war between Ukraine and Russia directly affected the cost of tickets for international flights.

“It is quite complicated by the excessive increase in ticket prices, in addition to the exchange rate issue. The dollar, with a significant increase, as well as the problems that the countries of Europe and the United States are experiencing, due to the war between Ukraine and Russia, cause problems, even now, with the advent of winter, even with heating houses, due to lack of fuel, ”explained economist.

Zijoca Beach in Jericoacoara do Ceara (Ricardo Rollo/Reproduction)

regional option

Travel agent Olímpio Carneiro reported that the lack of policy definition caused little movement towards the end of the year and that the way out given by the Amazons are packages for jungle hotels and hotels in Manaus.

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“We are seeing very little movement this year due to the political and economic uncertainty of the new government starting January 1st, which is why many people are reluctant to travel at the end of this year. Another problem is flights, the prices of which are much higher than average, which also reduces demand, ”said Carneiro.

non-tourist perspective

Economist Origenes Martins explained that in Brazil early next year there is a possibility of change due to institutional instability, this political problem with the lack of definition of the names of government plans, structure and even what type of economic practice will be adopted.

In any case, for Brazil, domestic tourism is on the rise and causes, so to speak, a strong strain in all sectors of the economy, and prices end up affected by changes, so much so that ticket prices, even domestic ones, could be much less. because, according to the operators themselves, the number of flights has increased significantly compared to last year, which theoretically should have led to a significant reduction in prices, ”the economist clarified.

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How Lula lost the first political round of his government

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How Lula lost the first political round of his government

Photo: Ricardo Stuckert

Serial advertising in support of the re-election of an MP Arthur Lyra (PP/AL) for the presidency of the Chamber show that Lula failed to achieve its first strategic goal after winning the election: have enough political support in the National Congress to regain executive powers.

Before the first round result, center party sources warned that Lula would try to use positions in the federal government to create a base that would allow him to influence elections to the House and get a more recovery-oriented leadership. protagonist Planalto. The victory of the Conservative parties sparked a yellow light, but their conquest on October 30 opened the door to a new window of negotiations with leaders who resisted declaring themselves in opposition.

However, without resorting to any political approach, the transition group, instead of seducing the allies, began its work by presenting the idea PEC asks for a lot of money, initiating negotiations he could not afford. The first person to notice the mistake was the senator. Renan Calleiros (MDB/AL), who classified this movement as shaving.

Looking back, the analysis is simple. Lula asked Congress for a fat check and even some of his newly won prerogatives. It gave rise to hopes among deputies and senators for places in the federal administration and … disappeared. His absence for two weeks (one for the international agenda and another for sick leave) without delegating political composition powers only served to discredit the vice president-elect. Geraldo Alkmin and make it clear that PT will play a central role in the most strategic areas of public policy.deconstructing the post-election wishful thinking, thinking that there will be a coalition government with a slight left bias.

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In addition, aggressive statements against the market contributed to the revival. negative memories of past PT experiences about how to manage the household, calling the technical leadership of the party in a personal conversation, which “It’s okay that Lula wanted to redeem his background in this government, but he also wanted to redeem the government. Dilma (Roussef) it was too much!”🇧🇷 Business circles and market representatives, who are part of the network of communicating vessels connecting deputies and senators, tried to sound the alarm, it could not be otherwise.

The fact is that the new government, wanting to actually exercise power without sitting down in a chair, got into a complex labyrinth. In order to approve the PEC, will it have to make concessions in order to accommodate non-aligned parties in the formation of a new government? Can Lula carve out seats in government that serve only her friends during the first and second hours, and even then get the budgetary and enforcement resources he asks for? At least one thing is certain. Lula will create his own ministry, which will have to solve more conflicts than he would like. and is seriously at risk of starting his term having already lost his first legislative battle.

The fact is that while Lula was on the road or defended himself, the centrist parties did not seek or receive proposals for effective participation in the next government. So, Lyra had an open path to secure his re-election more easily than one could imagine, so much so that Lula’s possible support for his name or not today, in terms of results, does not matter much.

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And the scenario could get even worse for Planalto. If Lira implements the idea of ​​a bloc with the main parties in the center, the PT will not chair any of the most important parliamentary committees in the House.

And, understanding the difficulty of approving PECs, PT MPs will defend behind the scenes the use of STFs to obtain over-the-ceiling resources to pay Bolsa Surname🇧🇷 Given the circumstances of the hostility between the political world and the judiciary, one can think of a more difficult inauguration of the government than one that, after losing the political battle, resorts to the STF in order to be able to count on the resources denied by the deputies. and senators?

Thus, advertising supporting the lira shows that Lula was unable to consolidate his position in the Legislative Assembly and even lost his positions.🇧🇷 This raises the question of how the future government will organize its base, based on such an unfavorable point (there are only 133 deputies in the left coalition).

There are two scenarios.

In the first, Lula decides to rule with a minority and begins to debate agenda after agenda, trying to attract detractors by practicing big retail in Congress and keeping her legislative agenda to the minimum possible. The other is to recognize an equal in the lyre, Just like Jair Bolsonaro did.by inviting him to take a leading role in the government’s agenda and participate (or his closest group) in the development of major decisions, continuing the semi-presidency that actually exists in Brazil today.

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Lebanon fails to elect new president for seventh time due to political impasse – Middle East Monitor

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Lebanon fails to elect new president for seventh time due to political impasse – Middle East Monitor

Lebanese lawmakers on Thursday failed to elect a new president for the seventh time as the country grapples with a deepening political and economic crisis, the Anadolu news agency reported.

110 MPs out of 128 MPs took part in the voting.

Michel Moawad, a candidate backed by the Lebanese Armed Forces, won 42 votes, well short of the number needed to win in the first round, while 50 MPs voted against.

Speaker Nabih Berry scheduled the next vote a week later, on 1 December.

A candidate needs two-thirds of the votes (86 MPs) in the 128-MP parliament to pass the first round, and an absolute majority is required in subsequent rounds.

LEI: Lebanon condemns new Israeli violations of naval and air forces

Former President Michel Aoun stepped down on October 31 after serving a six-year term and lawmakers failed to agree on a successor.

Since 2019, Lebanon has been experiencing a devastating economic crisis that, according to the World Bank, is one of the worst the world has seen in modern times.

The country has not had a fully functioning government since May, with Prime Minister Najib Mikati and his cabinet having limited powers in their current interim status.

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