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Useful voice gets a place in political debate and can be true

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Useful voice gets a place in political debate and can be true

Despite the fact that public opinion polls in the latest polls on the intention to vote for the presidency of the Republic present slightly divergent figures, all credible polls show that a victory for Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) in the first round is quite possible. In this context, the importance of the so-called “useful vote”, that is, the vote cast by a voter who did not give preference to a candidate, but makes a choice with the aim of ending the dispute without the need for a second round, increases.

According to a poll published last Saturday by Ipespe, 68% of voters prefer the result to be determined in the first round. This movement has already been discovered by the campaign of Ciro Gomez (PDT), a candidate who has even lost supporters within his own party and militants who have sided with him in recent years. These are the people who defend the vote for Lula in an election that was intended from the start as a “plebiscite” between the PT and the current president, Jair Bolsonaro (PL).

:: Ipec: Lula is gaining momentum and can win in the first round ::

According to political science professor Myra Goulart of the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ) and the Federal Rural University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRRJ), the two components add up to the growth of the “useful vote” movement in presidential elections. 2022 The first is something that has been around for a long time and is associated with the rejection of politics by a large part of the population. The other is the threat posed by Bolsonaro’s candidacy.

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“There are those voters who see politics as a waste of time, who say, ‘I don’t want to leave the house to vote again’, this is nothing new. But there is also a concern that the results of the survey will not be respected. We have normal elections, we have an extremist with electoral vitality, Bolsonaro. In 2018, this happened for the first time: a far-right candidate with vitality. This has never happened in the new republic,” he points out. outside.

For Goulart, Lula’s eventual victory in the first round will reduce the chances of contesting the results – a constant threat from Bolsonaro for a long time to come, as the presidential election will come at the same time as the election of thousands of parliamentarians across the country. In theory, if he puts into practice the idea of ​​disagreeing with the results of the polls, Bolsonaro will not find a response, since the election of Lula would happen on the same day as the victories or re-elections of deputies, senators and even governors. who also win without having to vote in the second round. In this context, useful voting becomes important.

“Useful voting is common all over the world. Elections have room for new proposals, ideas, programs. it is likely that the closer to the final stage, votes for candidates who are not electorally viable will tend to migrate to other candidates,” he explains.

Political scientist Claudio Couto of the Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV) is betting on vote migration in these last days of the campaign, especially in the case of potential Ciro voters. In his opinion, part of the supporters of the pedetist should migrate to Bolsonaro, but most of those who change their vote at the last minute should stick to Lula, who can thus confirm the victory in the first round.

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Kouto in charge of the channel “There is no salvation outside politics” on Youtube, notes that “this is an election different from others, and there is a lot at stake.” He recalls that the trend towards useful voting is more or less characteristic of the final stretches of pre-election disputes. However, the motivation is greater than usual this time around, and Bolsonaro’s repulsion could strengthen this move.

“When we look at polling data, we see that at least half of Ciro voters, when asked, say they can change their vote. Simon Tebet has the same number. In the case of Lula or Bolsonaro, this percentage is much lower. between 10% and 20%. A last-minute change associated with a stronger candidate is much less likely to change when voting for a weaker candidate at the electoral level,” he comments.

What should be the position of the PT campaign?

In Couto’s opinion, Lula’s campaign must work subtly to attract the votes of those who are undecided, or people who have favored other candidates. He explains that it’s important to avoid a campaign that says something along the lines of “don’t vote for Ciro or Simone because they don’t stand a chance, but I do,” as it could alienate voters and make new alliances more difficult to form. in a possible second round.

“We must proceed from the simplest premise: every candidate is looking for votes, and for this it is necessary to present yourself as the best option, and not speak negatively about the preferences of this voter. Say: “Vote for me.” have a knack for it,” he notes.

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Mayra Gular adds by emphasizing the need to emphasize that this is not a “normal” election. In other words, it is necessary to reinforce the thesis that we are talking about the democratic institutions of the country.

“It should be clear that we are facing not only Bolsonaro’s authoritarian escalation, but also economic behavior that is devastating public policy, education, health care, infrastructure. There is a possibility that the country will enter a state of turmoil. opportunity should be a great banner that can unite voters and lead Lulu to victory in the first round,” he concludes.

Editing: Rodrigo Durao Coelho

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Politics

Lula heads to political stronghold to launch runoff campaign, Bolsonaro focuses on Minas – Money Times

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Lula heads to political stronghold to launch runoff campaign, Bolsonaro focuses on Minas – Money Times
The campaigns actually kick off with travel and street events after the two Planalto candidates focused on getting support in the days after the first round and after the first two polls about the controversy (Image: REUTERS/Ueslei Marcelino).

Against the background of the publication of the first polls for the second round of the presidential election, the ex-president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) will launch a new phase of the campaign in its political stronghold, São Bernardo do Campo, and the president and candidate for re-election, Jair Bolsonaro (Poland) concentrate fire on Minas Geraisa key condition in which he lost to Lula on Sunday.

Campaigns actually kick off with travel and street events after the two Planalto candidates focus on getting support in the first days after the first round and after the first two controversy polls.

See the highlights of the election scenario below.

Squid in origins

As at the beginning of the campaign in the first round, Lula begins street activities in this second round of the campaign in São Bernardo do Campo, the city in which he emerged on the national political scene as a labor leader in the 1970s. .

He will run alongside PT’s São Paulo government candidate Fernando Haddad, who got a surprise win on Sunday, losing to Bolsonaro candidate Tarcisio Gomes de Freitas (R-P), his runoff rival in the state.

Bolsonaro to Minas

As at the start of the first round of the campaign in August, the re-election candidate will hold its first campaign event in this new phase in Minas after securing the support of the state’s re-elected governor. Romeo Zema (New).

Minas was the only state in the southeast region where Lula defeated Bolsonaro on Sunday. The PT had 48.29% of the actual votes of Minas Gerais voters, while the candidate for re-election had 43.60%, 563,000 more votes than the former president.

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The state is seen as fundamental to Bolsonaro’s intentions to change the situation. After the redemocratization, all elected presidents received the largest number of votes in Minas.

first search

On Wednesday, Ipec published the first poll for the second round of the presidential election and showed that Lula has 51% of the vote against 43% for Bolsonaro.

This Thursday morning poll PoderData showed a tougher dispute: Lula with 48% and Bolsonaro with 44%.

On Thursday afternoon, the first Genial/Quaest poll for the second round of the presidential election will be released.

Research institutes have been criticized since Sunday for underestimating Bolsonaro’s electoral votes in polls released on Saturday. Lula won the first round with 48.43% of the valid votes against 43.20% for the incumbent.

UPCOMING POLLS
Genial/Quaest – Thursday, October 6
Datafolha – October 7, Friday
Ipec – October 10, second fair
Ipespe – October 11, Tuesday
LATEST Published Polls
SUB-DATA
Released October 6
Margin of error: 1.8 percentage points.
Lula (Portugal): 48%
Bolsonaro (Poland): 44%
Spaces and zeros: 6%
Undecided: 2%
IPEC
Released October 5]
Accuracy: 2 percentage points
Lula (Portugal): 51%
Bolsonaro (Poland): 43%
Spaces and zeros: 4%
Undecided: 2%

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Politics

Rubric: Politicians and politicians – Assembly with 16 newbies

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Rubric: Politicians and politicians - In 2002 the best voice

Of the 40 state deputies elected on Sunday (2), 16 will be elected to the first term in the legislature. Another 24 were re-elected. Of the 16 newcomers, two have already come on as substitutes: Carlos Humberto (Poland) for 60 days in 2020 and Pepe Kollas (PR) who was in the Assembly for the same time in 2022.

first election

Four of the 16 newcomers have never held elective office: Mario Motta (PSD), Egidio Ferrari (PTB), Matheus Cadorin (Novo) and Sergio Guimarães (Unian). For the first time, PL will have the largest bench with 11 seats. Since 1982, only MDB and PP had such benches.

MDB is compressed

The MBR elected six deputies, it had 9; PT won four out of 40 vacancies. Psol and Novo elected state deputies for the first time. Both parties already had parliamentarians in the House of Representatives, but elected by other acronyms who, already in power, migrated to Psol and Novo.

ELECTIONS

* The MDB made six state deputies (from nine) and kept the three federal representatives it already had. But he leaves the October election in disbelief. With no gubernatorial candidate and with groups divided between supporters of Carlos Moises (Republicans) and Jorginho Mello (PL), the polls even killed the party’s president, Federal MP Celso Maldaner, now without a mandate.

* The MDB has been the home of arrogant and outdated politicians for decades. Leadership does not grow in their shadow. Former mayor Antidio Lunelli, now an MP with 76,000 votes, is a more recent example. In order to survive on its own feet, the parties will have to reorganize, but for this it is necessary to sweep all patterns out of the executive branch.

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*This is the same for PP, PSDB, PT and PSD. With all due respect, the rest of the existing parties in the SC are the “New People” rice parties are always welcome in an election year, but carry stones. And stay there.

*Over time: PSD and MDB tend to support Jorginho Mello (PL) in the second round. PSDB has already joined. This is the current voice behind the scenes that the Republicans, the party of Moses, are going to support Jorginho Mello! The announcement will be made by the party’s president and re-elected state deputy, Sergio Motta. At the national level, Republicans support Bolsonaro.

*At the national level, the MDB is in a difficult position. Senator Simona Tebet, who garnered a meager 4.9 million votes but is still ahead of loudmouth Ciro Gomes (PDT), is showing signs of support for Lula da Silva (PT), but that’s personal. The executive branch must “free” state catalogs.

* The PRB Federal MP in 2018, who received 179,000 votes (the most voted out of 16 federal elected this year) and unfurled the Bolsonarist flag, Hélio Costa (PSD) has now garnered a measly 18,000 votes. Even with almost 1.5 million reais from the Electoral Fund. The average cost is 84 reais per vote. explains Freud?

* Arlindo Rincos (União Brasil) was one of the few state candidates nominated in Jaragua do Sul. From the party fund, which maintains party directories throughout the year (and is also used in election campaigns), 600,000 reais were received. He received 1623 votes. The average cost is BRL 370.00 per vote. explains Freud?

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last call

Scheduled for a runoff against PT Decio Lima, Senator Jorginho Mello (PL) and businessman and political activist Luciano Hagn are already planning a new visit by Jair Bolsonaro (PL) to the state. They assume it will be the lime shovel in Lima’s claim. And no less. In Joinville, Mello received 151,000 votes, in Blumenau, the PT candidate’s base of votes, 85,000 votes (Lima received 33,000) and in Florianopolis 68,000 votes. In “Capital”, Mello lost to Lima, who earned 75 thousand.

Influence of presidential candidates

There are irrefutable reflections on the visit of Lula da Silva in September (Florianopolis) and Bolsonaro on October 1 (Joinville). Mello advances to the second round with a huge lead of 1.5 million votes over Lima with 710,000 votes.

cousins ​​in cell

Julia Zanata (PL), who was elected as a federal deputy and had support in Jaragua do Sul and the region, and Ricardo Guidi (PSD), who was re-elected as a federal deputy, come from Crisiuma. And what’s more, cousins ​​from families that get along too well.

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Fake news dampens political and election debate, Saretta says

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Fake news dampens political and election debate, Saretta says

Congressman Neody Saretta (PT) said this Wednesday (5th) in the Legislative Assembly (Alesc) that the dissemination of information that attempts to sway voters to lie, so-called fake news, is eclipsing pre-election and political debate. “We can’t just keep discussing recruitment, I don’t know what, we have to look at the reality of people who are suffering and hardworking and who are sometimes misled by some kind of false news.”

He recalled how strongly the system and electoral justice were attacked, but despite speculation and mistrust, “the system worked, people voted for whom they wanted, polling stations opened and votes appeared there, as a citizen contributed. ”

According to him, in the second round we will have the opportunity to really discuss the proposals. “Our candidate Desio Lima did well in the elections when he got through to the second round and I’m sure he will take part in the debate about what’s best for SC and our municipalities.”

The MP said that politicians have a mission to work to improve people’s lives and that much remains to be done. “We have people who cannot afford to buy their own food, who are squeezing their salaries from everywhere to get through the month. There are many people who need more effective action from our governments.”

He hopes that the second round will discuss what is best for the population, its conditions and quality of life, “so that the state can guarantee people more services and have a larger share of the national pie, since so much is collected and little is returned.”

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Thanks
Saretta thanked the people of Santa Catarina who believed and supported her candidacy, which allowed her to remain in the Assembly for another four years and continue the work that she is doing. “I thank those who participated in the electoral process, correctly, with dignity, as it should be,” he said.

According to him, walking around Santa Catarina and talking with the population during the action, many did not understand how the state fund has free resources and people continue to wait two or three years for admission, surgery, medical care. “Karma that cannot last,” he commented.

Similarly, while traveling on the roads, whether federal or state highways, the MP was reminded of the appalling traffic conditions that put those who work with their trucks, transport goods, as well as those who travel with their family or go on foot, at risk.

“Santa Catarina needs to take a closer look at these health and infrastructure issues. I defended it and took it as a real flag of life, because I understand that the key to any government is to serve the people, and health should come first.

Saretta drew attention to the problem of huge social inequality, which depends on the actions of the federal government, which cannot turn its back on those who have the least, those who need it most. “The population cannot be prejudiced against immigrant brothers, almost all of us are immigrants in one way or another, from the present or from the past, and we, unfortunately, see the spread of discriminatory ideas when we are all equal people.”

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Juliana Wilke
Collective consulting | Bench for physical education in Alesc | 48 3221 2824 [email protected]Twitter: @PTnoparlamento | Facebook: PT without Parliament

Source: Agency ALESC – Offices

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