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In a polarized election, Moro was left without a political godfather



Some notes published in the press yesterday are betting that Sergio Moro will have to forget his sorrows and get closer to Jair Bolsonaro if he wants to have any chance in his campaign for the Senate of Parana. In second place in the polls, the former judge has as his main rival incumbent senator Alvaro Diaz, who works in a similar range (criticism of the PT and corruption and unlimited support for Lava-Hato). If such an opportunity materializes, he will learn one of the classic laws of national politics: erasing the past in the name of pragmatism. The latest example of this phenomenon was carried out by former governor Geraldo Alcmin when he joined the candidacy of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

However, there are two problems.

First, Bolsonaro has already compromised with PL MP Paulo Martins, who is also running for the only seat open this year in the Upper House. To complicate matters for the former judge, Governor Ratinho Jr., also an open supporter of Planalto, is an ally of Martins.

Second problem? It is still necessary to combine this approach with Bolsonaro. The president still hasn’t forgotten how Moreau broke with the government and tried to bomb it. Bolsonaro is known to give his voters what they want to hear. And on this fundamental basis, the militants see a traitor in the former judge, since he left the Ministry of Justice to shoot. Thus, the possibility of a collision between them is small.

As we live in an election with two main candidates, another possibility for Moro will be to find Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s side. But this possibility will not even be considered. As a judge, Moreau jailed Lula on corruption charges (a few months ago, however, the STF annulled the case, clearing it up), and PT is disgusted by his name. The leaked messages exchanged on the Telegram app ended up exposing Justice’s exaggerations during Operation Car Wash, which also hurt its image in the eyes of the left and many centrist voters.

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Moro may still be the candidate of the liberated – or of those who do not want either Bolsonaro or Lula to win. But today this range is low and more concentrated than Ciro Gomez and Simone Tebet. If there were two seats in the Senate, as we will have in 2026, that might even be the right strategy. But in 2022, only one chair is at stake.

This situation is exacerbated by the movement on both sides of the political spectrum to pass the bill in the first round. With such antagonism, it is natural that the majority of voters end up choosing either Lula or Bolsonaro, and also choose their senatorial candidates from the lists supported by these candidates.

The electorate of Moro will swallow the alliance with Bolsonaro but run away from the agreement with Lula. That is why Moreau sees the possibility of an alliance with Planalto with a certain resignation and a certain remorse.

The fact is that the former referee managed to dislike the two strongest sides of the struggle. At this point in the championship, he is headed towards defeat by his former political godfather, who welcomed him to Podemos and then left for Moro to join Uniao Brasil. The break with Alvaro Diaz was perhaps one of the biggest mistakes in the recent history of national politics, as the senator said several times that he would leave the majority dispute to make way for a former minister. However, it is now too late, and the chances of winning are slim. Without Plan B, Moro would have to be ostracized and, worse, out of the spotlight. At the risk of facing some lawsuits, including from PT.

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario



The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.



The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022



Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

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Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

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