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0:59 – Is Portugal one of the countries where owning a house is getting more expensive?

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0:59 - Is Portugal one of the countries where owning a house is getting more expensive?

The chart goes back five years ago, to the first quarter of 2017, and shows the relative position of 46 OECD countries in real home price growth compared to 2015. In 2017, Portugal is always in the top ten groups and ends the series in 5th place, behind only Hungary, Iceland, the Czech Republic and New Zealand.

Now with more affordable homes than in 2015, Brazil, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Italy, as well as India and Indonesia – although in these last two cases, the most recent data is still from the 4th quarter of 2021. The rest of the countries with values ​​for the 1st quarter of 2022, including Portugal, have indices above 100, that is, the real cost of housing has risen in price.

The real cost of housing takes into account the nominal value of housing and household consumption spending in each country. The two indices are seasonally adjusted and compared to a baseline (2015 = 100).

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Change in the real cost of housing
Compared to 2015 (base 100)

OECD

Portugal (165.2) has a much higher index than the OECD average (134.3) and the eurozone average (127.7) in Q1 2022. The Portuguese line has been deviating from the consistent behavior of these two benchmark averages since 2015 (see above).

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House face value index
In Portugal and in the OECD (2015 = 100)

OECD

The selling price of houses in Portugal has risen since the late 1980s – a long series of house price data from OECD starts in 1988 – before the crisis substandard in 2007. Until 2013, years of crisis and falling prices followed.

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The nominal value of housing, which includes the sale price of new and used homes, has risen for eight years in a row. Also in this case, Portugal has a much higher index (168.8) than the OECD average (145.2) compared to 2015 prices (=100).

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Rental price index
In Portugal and Eurozone (2015 = 100)

OECD

The rental price index also compares annual values ​​with 2015 (=100). The Portuguese indicator has always been below the Eurozone average until 2013. After updating the oldest rental rates, the national market has leveled off with the average of 19 countries, and over the past two years, the Portuguese index has been even higher than the partners of the single currency. . In other words, rent in Portugal was more expensive than in other countries in the same group.

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Economy

Is your loan reviewed in October? Get ready. Installment increase can be up to 45%

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Is your loan reviewed in October?  Get ready.  Installment increase can be up to 45%

Euribor rates rose sharply in September and will severely penalize those whose mortgages are renegotiated next month. View simulations

October should be a month of pleasant surprises for most Portuguese. Most of them will receive 125 euros in state support to cope with the effects of inflation. Those with children under the age of 24 will receive 50 euros for each child. And pensioners will receive a supplement equivalent to 50% of their pension.

But October has other surprises to consider financially. These are not at all positive. For many, gas and electricity prices will rise. And the Portuguese with mortgages, whose contracts will be renegotiated next month, are in for the worst of the unpleasant surprises: their house down payment will increase significantly.

This is because the overview of the contracts of those with a home loan is based on the average of the respective Euribor for the previous month, which it uses as an index. And in September, both the three-month-old Euribor, and the six-month-old, and the 12-month-old Euribor behaved the same way: they grew a lot. This is, in fact, the first time that the effect of positive euribor rates will be felt. This leads to an increase in the payment in October, which may exceed 200 euros.

But the bad news doesn’t end there, as these values ​​are expected to continue rising in the coming months. This is because the Euribor rates are closely linked to the changes in interest rates made by the European Central Bank, and this Wednesday the body controlled by Christine Lagarde. gave an indication of a new increase in October, which may reach even 0.75 points.

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Increases from 95 to 200 euros

Contracts indexed to the six-month Euribor, which make up the largest share of home loans in Portugal, will for the first time feel the impact of the rate in positive territory, where it has remained since June 6. And this is the second review this year.

This means that for a loan of 150 thousand euros for 30 years with a spread of 1% and an average Euribor rate for September, the monthly payment will be 600.51 euros, which is 146.44 euros more than has been paid since the last loan review. . Corresponds to an increase of 32%.

The six-month average Euribor rose from 0.466% in July to 0.837% in August, and in September it stands at 1.596%. The six-month Euribor has been negative for six years and seven months (from November 6, 2015 to June 3, 2022).

installment in October

150 thousand euros, 30 years, spread 1%

Euribor 6 months

pays

454.07

go pay

600.51

Increase

146.44

Those who have contracts indexed to 12-month Euribor and who will experience an increase in interest rates for the first time in 2022 will experience a larger increase. Since the contract is renegotiated from year to year, its holder will have to pay plus 201.72 euros in installments at home when you have to deliver 651.16 euros to the bank. In the last 12 months I have paid 449.44 euros. Corresponds to a 45% increase.

After soaring to 0.005% on April 12, positive for the first time since February 5, 2016, the 12-month Euribor has been above 0% since April 21. Its average also rose from 0.992% in July to 1.249% in August. And in September, the average figure is already at the level of 2.33%.

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installment in October

150 thousand euros, 30 years, spread 1%

Euribor 12 months

pays

449.44

go pay

651.16

Increase

201.72

On the other hand, in contracts indexed to the three-month Euribor, the effect will be smaller, but closer to one hundred euros. The amount will rise to 561.96 euros, which is 95 euros more than in July. The increase corresponds to an increase of 21%.

This year, this is the third upward revision of this type of contract, they were paid another six euros in April and another 17 euros in July.

The three-month Euribor was negative between April 21, 2015 and July 13, 2015 (seven years and two months). The three-month average Euribor rose from 0.037% in July to 0.395% in August and currently stands at 1.011%.

installment in October

150 thousand euros, 30 years, spread 1%

Euribor 3 months

pays

466.10

go pay

561.96

Increase

95.86

Euribor began to rise more significantly since February 4, after the European Central Bank (ECB) admitted that it may raise key interest rates this year due to rising inflation in the eurozone, a trend that has accelerated with the start of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Christine Lagarde thinks the ECB needs to act “whatever you can do” return “inflation to 2% in the medium term,” the ECB president stressed at an event in Frankfurt this Wednesday.

According to Lagarde, if the bank does not go for a new increase in interest rates, the consequences for the economy will be more serious than the increase in the cost of credit. “Our goal is not to slow down growth, our main goal is to ensure price stability. This is what the ECB needs to achieve,” he added.

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mango. If you want to buy this set, you must be on the waiting list.

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mango.  If you want to buy this set, you must be on the waiting list.

HAda is more elegant than the “set of twins”. With just two parts, you can create an image without spending a lot of money and get an elegant result. And we’re not the only ones who think so, at least given the virtual queue created for the Mango suit, one of the most coveted sets of the season.

Read also: I had no time! One of the most coveted dresses has arrived at Mango Outlet

Sweater and pencil skirt in chunky jersey with lozenges are perfect for any occasion. It reveals both a more practical side when worn with sneakers, and a more elegant side with high boots or ankle boots.

Read also: Follow fashion trends with these six pieces of clothing.

The two parts are part of the Committed collection. This means that they have been produced using fibers and/or sustainable manufacturing processes that help reduce environmental impact.

Both are available in XSS and XXL sizes. The sweater costs €35.99 and the skirt €29.99. Invoices made gives a total of 65.98 euros.

Check out the gallery above!

Read also: Start Saving Now For These 35 Cozy Things You’ll Want To Buy

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Economy

House fees will rise from 89 to 202 euros in October for contracts with Euribor.

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House fees will rise from 89 to 202 euros in October for contracts with Euribor.

An enterprise simulation shows that a client with a loan of 150 thousand euros, for a period of 30 years, indexed to Euribor for six months and with a “spread” (bank profit margin) of 1%, starts paying from October 600.20 euros, which 146 euros more than the last review in April.

In the case of a loan with the same conditions (amount and maturity), but indexed to a three-month Euribor, the client will pay 555.25 euros, which is 89.08 euros more than in July this year.

Finally, for loans indexed to the 12-month Euribor, the mortgage payment on the loan under the above conditions will be 651.41 euros, which is 202.10 euros more than in October last year.

These values ​​have been calculated using September averages of Euribor of 1.596% for six months, 1.011% for three months and 2.233% for 12 months, according to Deco.

Today, on the last day of September, the Euribor rates rose to three and six months and fell to 12 months compared to Thursday.

The six-month Euribor rate, most commonly used in Portugal for home loans and entering positive territory on June 6, rose to 1.809% today, up 0.009 points, after rising to 1.858% on Wednesday, the highest since January 2009. .

The 3-month Euribor, which hit positive territory for the first time since April 2015 on July 14, also edged higher today when it was set at 1.173%, climbing 0.013 points after rising to 1.228% on September 27, a new high. since January 2012.

On the other hand, in 12 months, Euribor fell today, for the third time since September 9, when it was set at 2.556% minus 0.022 points against 2.625% on September 27, a new high since February 2009.

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Euribor began to rise more significantly since February 4, after the European Central Bank (ECB) acknowledged that it may raise key interest rates this year due to rising inflation in the eurozone, a trend that has accelerated with the start of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. 24 February.

On September 8, the ECB raised three key interest rates by 75 basis points, the second consecutive increase this year, as it raised three key interest rates by 50 basis points on July 21, for the first time in 11 years. the purpose of curbing inflation.

At the end of the last meeting, ECB President Christine Lagarde said that a historic 75 basis point hike in interest rates was not “the norm”, but stressed that the evaluation would be carried out from meeting to meeting.

Changes in Euribor interest rates are closely linked to increases or decreases in ECB key interest rates.

Three-, six- and 12-month Euribor rates were the lowest ever, respectively: -0.605% on December 14, 2021, -0.554% and -0.518% on December 20, 2021.

Euribor is set on the basis of the average rate at which a group of 57 Eurozone banks are willing to lend money to each other in the interbank market.

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