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“What defines elections is narratives,” says political scientist Fernando Schuler.

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“What defines elections is narratives,” says political scientist Fernando Schuler.

Political scientist and commentator Fernando Schuler, also a professor at Insper Business School in São Paulo, is one of the few scholars in the field in the country who seeks to analyze the political scenario from an independent perspective. Elections, he says, define narratives created by candidates that have little to do with the complexity of public policy. Read the main excerpts from the interview below.

In addition to the pandemic, Brazil today is facing a difficult political and economic situation. In this scenario, how does Mr. say to see the 2022 election?

The big question is what will be the agenda that will somehow predetermine the elections. We had as many economic problems in 2018 as we do today. However, the economic agenda was not the central theme of the campaign. During elections, all the complexity of the political and economic world is flattened out and replaced by grandiose narratives. In the end, one of them becomes the hegemon and wins the election.

Some analysts say the agenda will focus on important economic issues. what mister think about it?

This is what I call wishful thinking. A recent poll showed that with people supporting Bolsonaro, the agenda will focus on arguments such as “they didn’t let us govern”, “we couldn’t do what was necessary to defeat the system”, “Captain Bolsonaro deserves more one term to complete the restoration work. On the other hand, you will have a great storytelling around Lula, in the spirit of “we were happier in the past”, “Brazil had a great moment with Lula”, and “only Lula can restore everything that was destroyed. in recent years”. So I think it’s too optimistic to imagine that some kind of serious economic discussion will drive the big pre-election debate.

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What should be the agenda among the so-called third way candidates?

You will have a story by (former judge and former minister) Sergio Moro (pre-Podemos candidate) saying that “Brazil must resume the fight against corruption” and “Lava Jato was an unprecedented movement in Brazilian history that led to the condemnation of great politicians and businessmen, but it was interrupted by the political system and needs to be re-breathed.” Now, thirdly, there will also be a traditional narrative, which I would call “administrative”, typical of the liberal center, the main representative of which will be (Governor of São Paulo) Joao Doria from the PSDB. He should return to the logic that “Brazil needs a shock to capitalism”, which was the banner of (former senator and former governor of São Paulo) Mario Covas in 1989.

Given these narratives, what are the chances of Moro or Doria making it to the 2nd round?

Moro had growth when he announced his candidacy, but he had difficulty growing further. I’m not saying he can’t grow. But it’s hard. He needs a more difficult argument than being judge Love Jato. The fight against corruption is not the main task of Brazil today. In the case of Doria, I see an even bigger problem. He will have to find a way to show the mass electorate that Brazil needs a manager and a modernization program. His strongest argument is “I made a vaccine, we have butantane” and “Sao Paulo is growing bigger than Brazil”. Doria has also broken bridges with the conservative electorate, and he will need him to take Bolsonaro out of the game. It has structure, speech, and things to show. This will be quite a challenge.

See also  “Bolsonaro is a typical politician who does not like and is angry with those who do it,” says Hildegard Angel.

Information from the newspaper O Estado de S. Paulo.

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Politics

The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.

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Goal.com

The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022

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Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

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Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

See more news, photos and videos at www.ansabrasil.com.br.

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