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With the coming of the majority

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With the coming of the majority

The early elections in 2022 will be very different in their impact and instability from the parliamentary elections in 2019. First, whoever they are, the leaders of the two largest parties will ask, in contrast to what happened in their last ballot, for an absolute majority. to the country. Whether it is a parliamentary stalemate that has fallen victim to a “ruse” or fear of a post-election political swamp, the PS secretary general and eventual PSD leader will do whatever it takes to appeal for a useful vote. in their parties. Costa because of boredom and incompatibility with the left, and also because of the statements that oblige him to never need a PSD. Rio needs a solid result after three national defeats and depends as little as possible on Chega in parliament. Rangela for his sincere belief that he can win elections and become prime minister.

This is, in fact, the second and main difference between the legislatures that came here from the last ones that the country has gone through: this time the cycle of power can really be reversed. And in the realm of governance, where PS risks facing a surprise identical to the one in Lisbon, not being the most popular, as is the case with party leaders, where everyone but Ventura and Kotrim may face an internal dispute the next day.

This will not be enough even for Antonio Costa, the central pinnacle of Portuguese politics for the past six years. He is considering various scenarios. If he wins the election without an absolute majority, will he be able to sit down again with the left bloc and the PCP? After maintaining this budget? Perhaps. If Jeronimo de Sousa and Catarina Martins left the stage, other personalities would take care of the return, with more freshness and less inconsistency. If the alternative is a right-wing government backed by Chega, neither the blockists nor the communists can afford to allow this.

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But if André Ventura grows less than expected, with PSD and CDS benefiting from tougher leaders, Costa will face a less obvious and more awkward situation. On the one hand, he no longer has the strength to turn over the second place; on the other hand, his favorite has a relationship with leftist parties that the prime minister no longer enjoys. Pedro Nuno Santos will come and the “trick” will again be united by ideology, harmony and novelty. The left will regain its breath of power, and the right will receive resistance. There will definitely be a written agreement.

If, on the other hand, BE and PCP are so weakened by the overthrow of PS that their votes will not be enough to support the new left government, there is another scenario that needs to be studied and analyzed, which could create problems for the two largest parties in the political system. : useful voting was so focused on PS and PSD that both were forced to understand each other. Under pressure from European funds, the uncertainty of the pandemic, and Brussels and Belém, fearing a country without stability, socialists and social democrats may find themselves in a strange situation when they sit at the same table after a decade of intense polarization in Portugal. There is nothing impossible in the unpredictability of this trip to the polling stations. With the arrival of the majority, a procession of the Central Bloc may well appear. I don’t know if Costa, after consistently abandoning the SDP and the right after six years of opposition, will be able to deal with this situation. But I know that only two men would smile at him: Rui Rio, who will fulfill his dream in the center, and Andre Ventura, who will lead the opposition in this center.

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Politics

The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.

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The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022

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Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

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Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

See more news, photos and videos at www.ansabrasil.com.br.

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