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Political and Economic Survival: Last Hope for Kink and Time – Neither 8 nor 80

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Political and Economic Survival: Last Hope for Kink and Time - Neither 8 nor 80

In the previous column, I dealt with the theatricalization of dialectics, which stirred up the spirit of politics and economics in our country. Today I use a vector generated by the surrealism so widespread now: the need to survive.

I will try to explain this current rate observed in both areas, taking into account what may happen in the short term (this semester). After all, the contradictions that are now being revealed due to discourses and theories so different from those defended at the beginning of government may even guarantee some survival in this old electoral intention. But some unknown and uncertain remain in the air regarding the point of inflection in favor of the desired object and whether there will be enough time. The graphs and hourglass are already in the plateau and esplanade decision tables.

The dialectical process in politics consists in an unexpected bet on the once rejected “Centrão”. With the intention of providing a manageability that had not been achieved in two and a half years, the threat of political trauma that could result from the obstacle pushed the government towards this composition. Obviously, this political path will not only “save” the project from a re-election dispute, but also leave some hope for the failure of reform projects in Congress. The challenge now is to reverse political expectations (inflection point) for this “electoral clash anticipation”, while keeping in mind the relentless force of time (the hourglass is already turned).

And what is damn important in this strategy of political survival is that the possible challenges from Centrão constitute a team with a duration of 9 months. Obviously, they will leave their posts because of an individual and / or partisan desire to participate in a proportional or majority campaign. Achieving the desired effectiveness through this political bias will not be easy.

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If a political summary, despite the conflicting discourses of the past, throws such a challenge to the “new” discourse and practice of all-or-nothing risk, from the economic point of view, the task is no less titanic. The stake is risky not only in technical modeling and political engineering, but also in favor of some kind of strategy that makes changes and “saves the homeland.” Without an adequate plan and without clear guidelines for various economic agents, maintaining certain trends and / or changing numbers are not such simple achievements that turn into benefits, given that the term of office in government is just over one year.

Changes in some indicators are not like the trend caught by those working or analyzing the markets, given the current semester. Despite signs of a recovery in GDP, expectations of a reversal in inflation (growth), interest (also growth) and unemployment (the last variable to be adjusted as the growth environment changes) are not encouraging. Shows that it is safe and stable). In turn, it is assumed that the exchange rate will remain at 5 reais per US dollar due to the internal situation and what is happening abroad.

Much of these problems still depend on political willingness to push reforms along two fronts (government and parliament). Good political engineering would reduce the kind of uncertainty that is in the air. However, controversial issues, corporate interests at stake, tight deadlines and a tough campaign environment are elements that indicate possible disagreements.

Finally, after being exposed to an unusual dialectic by focusing on the continuity of 2022, the contradictions and challenges that politics and economics value today become ruthless and imperative.

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You really need to keep track of the numbers. And in an inverted hourglass.

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Politics

The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.

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Goal.com

The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022

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Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

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“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

See more news, photos and videos at www.ansabrasil.com.br.

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