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Impeachment seems to be falling on Brasilia, but appearances are deceiving – 07/09/2021 – Demetrio Magnoli



Impeachment seems to be falling on Brasilia, but appearances are deceiving - 07/09/2021 - Demetrio Magnoli

Lead clouds. Bolsonaro’s approval ratings have dropped to 25% as high-profile financial and agribusiness companies finally leave the president. The siege ends in Congress, with KPI Covida, and in the streets, with demonstrations amid a complete pandemic. The shadow of impeachment seems to be falling on Brasilia. However, the most classic cliché is at work here: appearances are deceiving.

Impeachment requires, in addition to the crimes of responsibility that cannot be avoided, a high level of political and social consensus. Political consensus: an impressive parliamentary majority break with Planalto. Social consensus: majority rejection of the presidential figure, expressed not only in public opinion polls, but also in mass mobilizations of the population. Both preconditions are missing in the script.

In its first phase, the CPI Covid documented a vast collection of public health crimes collected by the federal government. Typically, the CPI has a mission to solve riddles. In the case of the ongoing CPI, there was no mystery: in the afternoon, the federal government left the country at the mercy of the pandemic, catastrophically exacerbating the health crisis. The task of the senators was limited to collecting evidence of crimes committed by the president and his inner circle.

The mission was accomplished – but instead of a devastating report, the political and legal basis for the impeachment of the president, the CPI turned into a maze of investigations into obscure corruption schemes in the procurement of vaccines. The new focus turns it into an electoral strategy tool. Renan Calleiros played a decisive role in the reorientation, which is by no means accidental.

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Corruption has been a constant musical note in national political life since the redemocratisation. Today, the shift in focus from a larger crime against public health to a smaller one – the corrupt gimmicks associated with the Covaxin contract serves the interests of Lula’s campaign. Until 2003, PT imagined itself to be a supporter of something else: an island of holiness in the middle of an ocean of debauchery. After the traumas of the monthly allowance and gasoline, he changed his discourse, beginning to imagine himself as a party of equals: we are no more and no less corrupt than others.

In this light, the CPI is destined to stamp corruption on Bolsonar’s forehead. His final report, delayed until the timetable, will not serve as a rift between Congress and Planalto, but will serve as an electoral alibi.

The streets are also not what they seem. Led by parties and movements that revolve around Lulizmo, anti-soreness demonstrations are designed to avoid unity. It is for this reason, along with the banner of impeachment, that organizers are raising standards against “neoliberal politics” and privatization.

Vivian Mendes of the People on the Street coalition expresses her opposition to united front tactics: “We are working to ensure that the right-wing forces do not have a say in the streets. The street belongs to everyone, but we will strive to make sure they do not have a voice or protagonism. ”Translation: street protests should prepare the election campaign by crystallizing the polarization between Bolsonaro and Lula.

Limited mobilization operation in operation. Demonstrations are large enough to have political impact, but remain limited enough not to provoke an unwanted outcome. The intention is not to stop the president, but to besiege him in his bunker in Brasilia before election day.

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The national interest is to oust the disastrous president who has surrendered the nation to the coronavirus and, threatening democracy, plans to fight inevitable electoral defeat. On the other hand, the interests of the leftist lula are to prolong the tragedy and return to the government in the first round of elections. The bankruptcy of the so-called political “center” ensures the victory of the second over the first.

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The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario



The dollar continues to reflect the political scenario

Yesterday, financial agents evaluated the opposite decision of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) regarding the so-called secret budget. In addition, a decision was made by STF Minister Gilmar Méndez to issue an injunction that would exclude the Bolsa Família from the spending cap rule, with investors trying to understand how this measure would affect the processing of the transitional PEC in the Chamber of Deputies. Oh this PEC!!!!

Since he is an exchange investor, any reading that the budget will be exceeded or become more flexible will negatively affect the exchange market, whether through the PEC or in any other way. We will continue with volatility today.

Looking beyond, the US Central Bank (Fed), although slowing down the pace of monetary tightening at its December meeting, issued a tougher-than-expected statement warning that its fight against inflation was not yet over, raising fears that rising US interest rates will push the world’s largest economy into recession.

The currency market continues to react to political news. The voting on the PEC is saved for today. It is expected that it will indeed be reviewed to open the way tomorrow for discussions on the 2023 budget.

Yesterday, the spot price closed the selling day at R$5.3103.

For today on the calendar we will have an index of consumer confidence in the eurozone. Good luck and good luck in business!!

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Andrés Sánchez consults with the Ministry of Sports, but refuses a political post.



The former president of the Corinthians dreams of working for the CBF as a national team coordinator. He was consulted shortly after Lula’s election.

Former Corinthians president Andrés Sánchez was advised to take a position in the Ministry of Sports under the administration of Lula (PT). However, he ruled out a return to politics. dreams of taking over the coordination of CBF selectionHow do you know PURPOSE.

No formal invitation was made to the former Corinthian representative, only a consultation on a portfolio opportunity with the new federal government, which will be sworn in on January 1, 2023.

Andrés was the Federal MP for São Paulo from 2015 to 2019. At that time he was elected by the Workers’ Party. However, the football manager begs to stay in the sport, ruling out the possibility of getting involved in politics again.

Andrés Sanchez’s desire is to fill the position of CBF tackle coordinator, which should become vacant after the 2022 World Cup. Juninho Paulista fulfills this function in Brazil’s top football institution.

The former president of Corinthians was in Qatar to follow the World Cup along with other figures in Brazilian football. During his time in the country, he strengthened his ties with the top leadership of the CBF.

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The EU has reached a political agreement on limiting gas prices – 19.12.2022



Germany sentenced Russian to life imprisonment for political murder by order of Moscow - 12/15/2021
BRUSSELS, DECEMBER 19 (ANSA). European Union countries reached a political agreement on Monday (19) to impose a natural gas price ceiling of 180 euros per megawatt hour (MWh). The main sources of income for Russia and the minimization of the use of energy as a weapon by the regime of Vladimir Putin.

The agreement was approved by a supermajority at a ministerial meeting of member states in Brussels, Belgium, after months of discussions about the best way to contain the rise in natural gas prices in the bloc caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. .

The value set by the countries is well below the proposal made by the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, in November: 275 EUR/MWh. However, the countries leading the cap campaign were in favor of an even lower limit, around 100 EUR/MWh.

Germany, always wary of price controls, voted in favor of 180 euros, while Austria and the Netherlands, also skeptical of the cap, abstained. Hungary, the most pro-Russian country in the EU, voted against.

The instrument will enter into force on 15 February, but only if natural gas prices on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange exceed 180 euros/MWh for three consecutive days. In addition, the difference compared to a number of global benchmarks should be more than 35 euros.

Italy, the EU’s biggest supporter of the ceiling, has claimed responsibility for the measure. “This is a victory for Italy, which believed and worked for us to reach this agreement,” Environment and Energy Minister Gilberto Picetto tweeted.

“This is a victory for Italian and European citizens who demand energy security,” he added.

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Currently, the gas price in Amsterdam is around 110 EUR/MWh, which is already a reflection of the agreement in Brussels – in August the figure even broke the barrier of 340 EUR/MWh.

However, Russia has already threatened to stop exports to countries that adhere to the ceiling. (ANSA).

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