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Tennessee Economy Projected to Bounce Back This Year

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Tennessee was among the economies that were the hardest hit by COVID-19 in 2020. With its daily case rate peaking last December to become the worst in the country per 100,000 people at the time, Tennessean businesses were forced to close, and many people lost their jobs. But as people adapt and vaccines begin to be rolled out, experts at the Boyd Center for Economic Research are cautiously optimistic that although the state’s economy may take years to return to its pre-pandemic normal, it may be able to bounce back and improve this year.

COVID-19’s effect on the labor market

The spike in cases in March drastically changed consumer behavior in Tennessee in less than a month’s time. Less household spending on leisure activities has led to company closures and mass lay-offs, especially in industries that required in-person interactions such as the restaurant and hotel industry. ThinkTennessee’s research showed that two in five Tennesseans have lost their income since the pandemic first hit, leading to the state’s unemployment rates reaching a record high of 15.5% just a month after the start of the pandemic. Among the most affected were low-income families, Hispanic and Black communities, and women. However, the state was able to rebound to a 7.5% average rate towards the end of 2020 due to factors like government aid and the opening of new businesses. Ultimately, widespread vaccine distribution, which may be possible by the middle of this year, may lead to a more optimistic outlook for employment across the state.

Entrepreneurship and government aid

The shift in consumer spending provided opportunities for various businesses in the e-commerce space. Many turned to online entrepreneurship as a response to unemployment, catering to household needs that arose due to stay-at-home orders and physical distancing measures implemented by the state. In fact, in mid-2020, applications for new businesses in the US surged to a 13-year-high.

This phenomenon can be attributed to federal government aid and efforts such as the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act, which provided households and some small businesses much-needed resources to stay afloat. More than 500,000 unemployment insurance claims were filed in Tennessee in March to May 2020 alone, and many have used the benefits from this policy to begin their own small businesses and build from the ground up. Bob Rolfe, commissioner of the Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development, remarked that they remain hopeful that the entrepreneurial spirit in Tennessee will continue to generate economic growth across the state.

Outlook for state sectors

The pandemic affected various industries in different ways throughout 2020, and this will be the case as Tennessee’s continues to recover. Although accommodation, food services, and healthcare are historically strong sectors in the state, as pointed out in ZenBusiness’ guide to Tennessee, these sectors may take more time to recover depending on the trajectory of the virus. With some 155,000 jobs in the state in healthcare prior to the pandemic, this particular sector will continue to feel the long-term damage of the COVID-19 recession. On the other hand, sectors like the advanced energy industry are predicted to lead to more jobs, as well as Tennessee’s real estate sector, with Nashville home sales 6% higher in 2020 than the previous year, even as sales across the country flattened due to the pandemic.

The recovery of The Volunteer State, needless to say, has not been and will not be smooth, with the spikes in COVID-19 cases continuing to affect sectors unevenly across the state. But through government aid, the emergence of adaptive industries leading to more jobs, and the expected arrival of vaccines by mid-2021 amidst what is considered one of the darkest points in the history of the country, Tennessee is beginning to see the light at the end of the tunnel.

For the latest on Tennessee and the US economy as a whole, do check out our blog here at Press Insider Daily to stay updated.

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Economy

In which municipalities are houses more expensive? And where do they cost less?

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In which municipalities are houses more expensive?  And where do they cost less?

The average value of a bank valuation of housing in Portugal, published this Thursday by the National Statistical Institute (INE), was 1,285 euros per square meter (m2) in December, and the value was higher in the Algarve and Lisbon metropolitan area (AML). than the national average. Not surprisingly, six of the ten municipalities with the most expensive square meter are in the AML and three in the Algarve.

The median value of the bank’s valuation in December reached 1,285 euros, which is 13 euros more than in November. Compared to the same month in 2020, the rate of change was 11.2%, the same as in November.

The historical INE series since 2011 leaves no room for doubt: the residential real estate market is hot, and housing bank valuations have never been higher.

Trends in median bank valuation in Portugal

Since August 2021, the average cost of bank housing has been steadily increasing. 1285 euros per square meter, registered in December, marks a new historical high in Portugal.

If we want to see a decline in the index, we need to go back to March 2020 – the month when the first case of Covid-19 was reported in Portugal – when the median fell from 1,111 euros per m2 (in February). until 1110 (in March).

Which municipalities have the highest housing ratings?

Lisbon is by far the municipality where the banks have priced the houses with the highest average value: 3,215 euros per m2. In the capital, the difference is more than 700 euros for the municipality in second place, Oeiras (2466 euros per m2), and the difference is more than 1400 euros for the last of the 10 municipalities where houses are more expensive, Loures (1791 euros). ).

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In this “top ten”, in addition to Lisbon, Oeiras and Loures, we find three more municipalities belonging to the AML: Cascais (2,427 euros per m2), Odivelas (1,877) and Amadora (1,821).

In addition to the AML municipalities, the Algarve has three municipalities – the region with the highest average (€1731 per m2, followed by AML since 1701): Loulé (€2160), Albufeira (1956) and Lagos (€1843). ).

Outside the Algarve and the AML, only Porto is in the top 10 with an average cost of 2,116 euros per m2.

In general, in all these ten municipalities, the median value of the bank’s valuation has increased compared to November.

Which municipalities have the lowest ratings?

Seia is the municipality that registered the lowest bank valuation of houses per m2 in the country in December: 570 euros per m2. It is followed by Fundão, where a square meter was valued at 585 euros.

Most of the municipalities in the “top 10” cheapest m2, such as Seia and Fundau, belong to the central region – the region that has the second lowest median value after Alentejo (904 and 867 euros per m2, respectively). : Guarda (686), Alcanena (669), Abrantes (623) and Entroncamento (661). In fact, Guarda is the only regional center that is among the municipalities with the lowest values ​​per m2.

From the Alentejo we find Elvas and Ponte de Sor with very similar prices (741 and 740 euros per m2 respectively) and from the north we have Celorico de Basto and Lamego with 657 and 699 euros per m2 respectively.

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Compared to November, only in Elvas, Entroncamento, Abrantes and Fundão did the median increase. In Seiya, the value remained, while in Celorico de Basto and Guarda, the value fell.

In Alcanene, Lamego and Ponte de Sor it is not possible to compare with November as INE does not have data for these municipalities for that month. In Ponte de Sor and Alcanena, the last month for which data is available is August, with the value increasing in Ponte de Sor and falling in Alcanena. In Lamego, the last available value is in September, with the average value per m2 decreasing compared to that month.

When comparing Seia and Lisbon, the difference between these two municipalities, which are about 300 kilometers apart, is more than 2,600 euros per m2.

Note. Of the 308 Portuguese municipalities, 168 are missing data for December, so this analysis is based on the values ​​of only 140 municipalities.

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Economy

D. Luís vendido por mais de 45 milhões de euros – Imobiliário

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D. Luís vendido por mais de 45 milhões de euros - Imobiliário

O fundo de investimento americano Principal comprou o edifício de escritórios D. Luís, em Lisboa, por 45.25 milhões de euros.

Em menos de cinco anos este edificio valorizou cerca de 16 milhões de euros. Em maio de 2017, o D. Luís, que fica na Rua do Instituto Industrial, junto à Av. 24 de julho, foi comprado pelo Rockspring Property Investment Managers LLP, fundo de investimento sediado em Londres, por 29 milhões de euros.

Posteriormente, o Rockspring foi adquirido pelo grupo de investidores alemão Patrizia que agora alienou o edifício ao Principal Real Estate Investors, que faz parte da Principal Global Investors.

O D. Luís conta com sete andares, uma área de 10.279 m2, com lojas e espaços de lazer e 146 lugares de estacionamento e está totalmente ocupado por várias empresas. Farfetch que ocupa uma área aproximada de três mil m2 nos pisos 2 e 3 do edifício. Tambémé no D. Luís que está a funcionar a multinacional americana Sitel, ocupando três pisos e um ginásio do Fitness Hut.

Até 2015 o D. Luís foi propriedade do Millennium BCP e era ali que funcionavam os serviços de backoffice do banco, até serem transferidos para o Tagus Park, em Oeiras.

Este é o segundo investimento da Principal em Portugal que acredita assim conseguir uma melhor distribuição dos seus ativos pela Europa, sendo que o grupo de investidores americano já marca presença em oito países europeus.

Além disso, escreve em comunicado Sebastian Lietsch, director de gestão de fundos da Principal Real Estate na Alemanha, as características do edifício ea sua localização “estão em linha” com a estratégia da empresa que procura investir em mercados “que têm vindor a crescer em termos demográficos, quer em inovação ou em negócios globais”.

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Também Irina Va, gestora sénior de transações e ativos da Principal Real Estate, sublinha que a localização do D. Luís é “tradicionalmente uma zona turística e residencial”, próxima da margem do rio Tejo sendo “uma zona comercial em expansão que se tornou popular entre os ocupantes de escritórios nacionais e internacionais à procura de espaço moderno”.

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The deficit is reduced by 2.8 billion euros. The government approved a new budget gloss – State budget

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The deficit is reduced by 2.8 billion euros.  The government approved a new budget gloss - State budget

The budget deficit decreased by 2,862 million euros in 2021 compared to the previous year in government reporting in terms of cash. The result now allows the government to assume that it has more than met its budgetary targets for the “sixth year in a row”. The information was disclosed this Thursday by the Treasury Department in a statement sent to the newsrooms.

Once again, the covid-19 pandemic did not stop the Socialist Executive from registering a new “budget brilliance”. João Leão, finance minister, closed 2021 with a deficit below the target of 4.3% of GDP, which was set in the state budget. And this despite the fact that last year was marked by an unexpected severe restriction in the first quarter.

“The evolution of the government account balance allows us to expect that the national account deficit in 2021 should be significantly better compared to 2020 (5.8%) and below the limit set for 2021 (4.3%), thus fulfilling the sixth times in a row, budget indicators,” the Ministry of Finance said in a statement.

The official deficit figure is calculated later by the National Statistical Institute (INE), but the cash clearing of the accounts, which is the responsibility of the General Office of the Budget, already allows for preliminary estimates.

The DGO Bulletin will be available at a later date, while the government is awaiting some numbers and conclusions. In public accounts, the budget deficit fell to 8.794 million euros. The improvement over 2020 is “attributable to revenue growth of 9.3% above spending growth of 5.2%,” it said.

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This “significant improvement in earnings is the result of a strong recovery in the economy and employment in particular,” explains the finance department. Spending, on the other hand, rose due to emergency measures to support the economy and increased spending by the National Health Service.

Emergency assistance to companies and families amounted to 7,437 million euros, and the amount provided through Social Security exceeded the amount provided for in the state budget by more than 1,100 million euros, the government guarantees. Over the past few years, parties on the left have accused the executive branch of failing to fully implement what it has budgeted and made possible in the Assembly of the Republic.

SNS with over 800 million euros

In terms of spending, the government notes an increase in spending on the National Health Service by more than 800 million euros compared to 2020. This increase is largely justified by an increase in personnel costs (by 317 million euros) as well as an increase in expenses for additional diagnostics (by 177 million euros). This section includes, for example, tests for covid-19. Personnel costs reflect the employment of 2,441 employees more than in the same month of the previous year.

In addition to these additional costs for SNS, there is also the cost of vaccines against covid-19, which amounted to 200 million euros.

Income blamed for recovery in economic activity

Revenue from taxes and contributions rose 6.3%, “reflecting the resumption of economic activity,” the government said. Tax receipts increased by 5.6% and social security contributions increased by 8% “as a result of a favorable evolution of the labor market”.

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But it is also worth noting “a significant increase in non-tax and non-insurance revenues (25.6%), largely due to the anticipation of funds under the Instrument for Assistance in Restoring Cohesion and Territories in Europe (EU REACT) and the Recovery Fund and Resilience Plan (PRR)”, — suggests the government. These funds have already entered the state treasury, but have not yet been spent.

Public investment rises, late payments fall

The government also notes the results of public investment. Growth was 27.7% in government reports, which management attributed to “the expansion of metro networks, the Ferrovia2020 investment plan and the impact of the digital school universalization project.”

The National Accounts estimate of growth at 27%, “a figure very close to the budgeted figure and the highest in a decade,” seizes the opportunity to move the government forward in an effort to address another of the recurring criticisms. opposition parties that complain about unfulfilled promises in this area.

(News updated at 16:19)

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