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Trump and Biden split over how to knock this election: NPR

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Trump and Biden split over how to knock this election: NPR

In a suburb of Pittsburgh last week, a man walks out of the Washington County Democratic Party office after removing Joe Biden’s sign. Due to the coronavirus pandemic, Biden’s campaign is not knocking on the door in person.

Andrew Caballero-Reynolds / AFP via Getty Images


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Andrew Caballero-Reynolds / AFP via Getty Images

In a suburb of Pittsburgh last week, a man walks out of the Washington County Democratic Party office after removing Joe Biden’s sign. Due to the coronavirus pandemic, Biden’s campaign is not knocking on the door in person.

Andrew Caballero-Reynolds / AFP via Getty Images

President Trump’s campaign claims it knocks on a million doors every week. Joe Biden’s campaign has not knocked on doors for months to speak to voters. Instead of meeting in person, Democrats focus on conversations that they can have virtually.

“While you can hear our opponent spend a lot of time talking about the millions of knocks on the door or the attempts they make weekly, those numbers don’t really affect voter outreach in any way,” says Biden’s campaign manager Jen O. Mally Dillon , – told reporters during a phone call last week, – downplays the apparent discrepancy between knocks on the door. “Our success rate, the numbers we look at and use, are conversations.”

In August, she reported that there were 2.6 million conversations with voters in the states on the battlefields during the Biden campaign. These conversations were virtual, by phone, by text message, or in person, “when it is safe and justified,” she said. (The campaign also intends to begin house-to-house visits soon, not for any face-to-face meetings, but for the distribution of campaign literature and voter education materials.)

Democrats’ strategy of mostly organizing from home using a laptop or mobile phone and abandoning traditional home polling is somewhat untested, but they rely on the assumption that it is more effective during a pandemic.

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Democrats say they are not knocking on doors because safety is their top priority and they do not want to put people at risk of contracting COVID-19.

“We think voters are looking for responsible leadership now, and that comes from the vice president and what he says, but it also comes from the campaign,” said Molly Rietner, Biden’s deputy campaign director.

And because of the pandemic, Rietner, like other Democrats, believes that more Americans are at home, sometimes isolated, using their devices and wanting to talk.

“We found that we can actually connect to more people than in previous cycles over the phone,” Rietner said.

“A knock on the door is in our DNA”

But this isn’t just Biden’s campaign. The organization of Democratic parties in key wavering states and a number of leftist groups that would have helped Biden on the ground have changed.

Both BlackPAC and Working America have 10% to 20% of the paid organizational staff they had in 2016.

At that time in 2016, Working America, a group affiliated with the AFL-CIO, had about 100,000 conversations a week with people on their doorstep. The group has had nothing since it suspended its door-opening operation in March.

“The knock on the door is in our DNA. We believe that there is nothing – and the evidence supports this – that would be as effective as well-organized face-to-face communication, ”said Matt Morrison, Group CEO. “However, what we lost in texture and face-to-face interaction, we tried to compensate with scale.”

Working America has assembled an army of volunteers who write letters, call and text. And Morrison thinks it works. He says that when the pandemic first began, his group focused on convincing people to wear masks. They contacted people and noticed a significant increase in the use of masks after their correspondence because, in his opinion, they built a relationship.

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“There is no opposition on the other side”

But for Republicans, this is not an either-or-operation. The GOP National Committee says it contacts millions of people weekly by phone. But their volunteers and organizers also knock on doors in person.

“Everything is one-sided on the ground,” said Joe Gruters, chairman of the Florida Republican Party. “We hold our many rallies, we run bus tours, we hold meetings and greetings. We do it personally. The difference is … there is no opposition on the other side. ”

Gruters believes Biden’s physical campaign “doesn’t exist” in Florida. “Virtual stuff helps,” he says, but in his opinion, “there is nothing that replaces basic blocking and campaign fighting, which is sidewalk banging, door-to-door walking.”

Trump’s team uses Obama’s book

In 2016, it was generally recognized that Hillary Clinton’s ground play was superior to Trump’s impromptu operation. Yet in this cycle, the Trump team boasts of building a “powerful field operation” compared to Democrats, whom it describes as leading an almost exclusive “air war.”

In an unusual reversal of roles, Trump’s team is modeling themselves as Democrats. Staff members are required to read a book about Barack Obama’s field operation called Pioneers: How Obama’s 2.2 Million Volunteers Transformed America’s Campaign.

One of the co-authors, Hari Khan, was surprised to learn that her book was a staple of Trump’s campaign, and she says she’s not sure if the campaign gets its message.

“So the Trump campaign, they read the book and then they say, ‘Okay, I need to go out and talk to the people at the door.’ Yes, it’s part of that, but it’s part of a larger locking system, said Khan, a professor at Johns Hopkins University. “In the field, in a sense, the most important work can often be the least visible.”

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Khan means that it wasn’t just the tactical operation to knock down doors that made the Obama team so successful; His campaign helped build relationships even before it even got to the door, she said.

Political analysts and campaigners agree that face-to-face conversations outside the door are a proven way to marginally increase turnout. But, they add, such conversations are often poorly conducted.

David Brookman of the University of California, Berkeley has done extensive research on door knocking and persuasion campaigns. He says campaigns often exaggerate the extent to which they are actually involved in local organization.

“The vast majority of people, even in ordinary years, do not get access to the doors,” he said. “Just knocking on the door does not turn the voter. This is a conversation with a voter who turns out to be a voter. ”

And Brookman says you can talk on the phone. In fact, you can probably talk more because, as he notes, you save time when you don’t have to go from house to house.

But on the big question of whether Democrats are at a disadvantage in doing this job almost exclusively by phone rather than in person, Brookman says he is not sure.

“I guess it’s like one of the many other things in the campaign that makes a little difference, but is unlikely to be decisive for all of this,” he said.

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“Never before has a president run for re-election with such a high rejection rate,” the political scientist estimates

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“Never before has a president run for re-election with such a high rejection rate,” the political scientist estimates

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Politic system

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ADI

Senate candidate Alvaro Diaz (Podemos) reiterated that professional work in the Senate is for experienced politicians, not for trainees. The senator’s remark was a response to União Brasil candidate Sergio Moro, who announced that he would create Lava Jato in the National Congress, without knowing, however, the real functions of the senator, i.e., not within the competence of the Senate. Alvaro made the announcement after being asked about voting against a project that would set rules for social media, the so-called “Fake News Law”.

Photo: Pedro France

Fake News I
Alvaro Diaz said the bill, which makes it a crime to finance and spread fake news, was hastily sent by senators to the Chamber of Deputies. Diaz claimed to have voted against approval of the project in 2020, believing that the proposal required a deeper analysis of the topic with more elaborate proposals.

Fake news 2
The senator said the law was “a fine line between free speech and lying” and commented, “Obviously you cannot allow yourself to ridicule and attack people with impunity in the name of free speech. . We are victims, we are victims, of course, I want a good law.”

Beaches of Parana
After the transformation of the edge of the beaches of Cayoba and Matinos, the feeding service of the beaches of Parana is transferred to other resorts in the region. The Galileo Galilei dredge dumps thousands of cubic meters of sand every day onto the sandy strip of the Flamingo Resort, the first just after the Matinos River, next to the Fish Market, and is already changing the face of the region. The work was completed by 45%.

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spring
Spring started this Thursday, the 22nd, and will end on December 21st. According to Simepar, the forecast of dynamic and statistical climate models indicates an increase in the La Niña phenomenon with a probability of 80 to 90%, which will affect the climate in Paraná, similar to what was recorded in August and the first half of September. but shorter,” said Simepara meteorologist Reinaldo Knaib.

PSS
The Municipality of Francisco Beltrao will open registration for the Simplified Selection Process (PSS) on Monday (26). There are 38 vacancies for the formation of a reserve register of temporary activities in various areas and functions. According to the prefecture, classification will be made on the basis of the education and professional qualifications of those enrolled. The notice is now available for review. The registration fee will be 20 reais for all positions and must be paid by bank deposit or Pix. Candidates who are in a situation of social vulnerability can apply free of charge by presenting the Unified Register form.

Cassation
The impeachment trial of former PT adviser Renato Freitas has reached the Federal Supreme Court (STF). Lawyers for Guilherme Gonçalves and António Carlos de Almeida Castro, Kakay, defending PT, filed a lawsuit to try to reverse the impeachment of Renato Freitas and make him eligible to run in this election, as the Paraná Regional Electoral Court (TRE-PR) rejected the PT candidate.

Recurso without TSE
State candidate Moasir Fadel (PSD) has announced that he is already filing an appeal with the Higher Electoral Court (TSE) to guarantee his candidacy in this year’s elections. The announcement came shortly after the decision of the District Electoral Court of Paraná (TRE-PR), which accepted the request to reject his candidacy on the grounds that he was ineligible. “We will calmly convey the appeal to Brasilia. My campaign remains calm and serene. We continue to believe in justice,” he said.

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Emancipation
The municipality of Kambara has completed 98 years of political and administrative emancipation. Deputy Luis Claudio Romanelli (PSD) and Mayor Neto Haggi (MDB) commemorate the date, remembering what made the city stand out. “Cambará is connected to the future and has investments in all sectors,” said the MP. “This is 98 years of history built by the first inhabitants of different nationalities. Kambara is a reference to Parana,” emphasizes Neto Haggi.

indecisiveness
A survey conducted by the Instituto Opinião shows that 83% of those polled said that the choice of a candidate for the Palacio do Planalto is final. In the presidential race, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (Portugal) appears with 45% against Jair Bolsonaro (PL)’s 33%. As for choosing a candidate for federal deputies, out of 2,000 people interviewed by the institute by phone, only 28% said they had chosen a candidate for the chamber of deputies in more than a month.

Write down
The survey was conducted from 18 to 20 September. 2,000 people over the age of 16 were interviewed by telephone in 114 municipalities across the country. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 2% with a reliability of the overall survey result of 95%. The poll is registered with the Higher Electoral Court under number BR-09430/2022.

IR return
The Federal Tax Service released this Friday advice on the fifth and final installment of this year’s income tax refund. The lot also includes residual refunds from previous years. On the 30th, the tax office will transfer 1.9 billion reais to 1,220,501 taxpayers. Of this amount, R$ 221,130,324.62 will be paid to taxpayers with legal priority. The rest of the lot will be allocated to 1,159,183 non-priority taxpayers who filed returns for previous years.

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Request
The consultation can be done on the website of the Federal Tax Service. The taxpayer simply clicks on the “My Income Tax” box and then “Consult a Refund”. The consultation can also be carried out in the Meu Imposto de Renda application, available for smartphones on Android and iOS systems.

Accountability
The High Electoral Court (TSE) has identified suspicious transfers worth 605 million reais after reviewing partial campaign accountability submitted by candidates between 9 and 13 September. A total of 59,072 cases of potentially illegal donations or spending were identified, the Electoral Justice said. Now the Ministry of Elections (MPE) must investigate these suspicious cases. A new round of data intersection will take place after the final submission of first round reports, which must be submitted by all applicants by November 2nd.

The column was published simultaneously in 20 newspapers and related portals. Find out more at www.adipr.com.br.

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Elections: Like Anitta, you can also seek political knowledge

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Elections: Like Anitta, you can also seek political knowledge

2019

Since then, with Jair Bolsonaro’s victory in the electronic polls and the start of his term in the executive branch, Anitta has maintained her position, questioning the elected politician about situations she disagrees with. It is the responsibility of any citizen to question and bring charges against elected politicians who are public servants.

One of the first actions taken by the Culture Administration was to cancel the announcement of LGBTQIA+-themed series for public TV channels. “I asked your constituents who are not heterosexual. Some told me that you explain everything on a weekly live broadcast and that the reasons were related to public funds; others because the content was null or low-level; still others told me it was for all kinds of “low level” content, not just LGBT, others didn’t know what to say. But here I got confused. If the question is about money or “low-level” content, because your post is addressed directly to the LGBT community and not all the content involved, as I was told? ”, The artist wrote in the photo of the politician on social networks.

He continued: “They accused you of being homophobic and you said that you are not homophobic, but mentioning only the LGBT community in your post, without captions and explanations, doesn’t this make your subscribers think that LGBT content should be banned? that family content should not mention LGBT people, as I saw in some of the comments here. If the decision has other factors, why publish only the LGBT topic? I write this with all the respect that should be given to a political ruler.” Her response was harassed by supporters of the president and by Bolsonaro himself.

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