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Republican internal polls signal Democratic defeat



Republican internal polls signal Democratic defeat

Perhaps, it is not surprising that when one party issues more internal polls than is normal, it is good for their party. Parties tend to release good polls when they have them. Since 2004, there has been an almost perfect correlation (+0.96 on a scale of -1 to +1) between partisan polls released by Democrats and November the results.

At present, Democrats and liberal groups release more surveys than Republicans, which show public opinion polls showing Democrats are doing well supported by what parties see in their own numbers.

Democratic and liberal groups have issued 17 House poll taken in April or later. The group that is on the same level as the Republicans has issued 0. That’s a very bad ratio for Republicans.

Interestingly, the Republicans were the ones who dominated the voting landscape in the first quarter of this year. From January to March, Republican and conservative groups released 10 polls compared to Democrats 2.

April’s turning point lined up well when the coronavirus pandemic made headlines this year. That’s when President Donald Trump’s approval rating began almost continuous decline which remains unshakeable.

In other words, it makes perfect sense that Democrats have begun to dominate the DPR voting landscape in recent months. They have a lot of good news for their side that they want to get out in public. Meanwhile, Republicans are likely to see numbers that won’t make them look good.

Now, you might be wondering if internal polls in all states show the same thing. However, presidential elections are largely won at the state level. Unfortunately, the presidential campaign did not release their own data, and partisan polls from all states lacked the opportunity to form narratives because there were so many public opinion polls. However, there are some outside groups that release data, and we mostly see the same picture as the district data depiction.

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Since April, Democratic or liberal groups have released 30 opinion polls across states in the presidential election. Republicans have issued only 13. That means the Democratic portion of the entire state’s internal polls has been 70%.

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All but four of the nine conservative or Republican-sponsored polls come from monthly PAC Restoration release. And if anything, this group-sponsored poll is the worst for Trump recently.
This reminds me of what happened two years ago. Almost universally, Democrats are the ones who publish their DPR polls in public. They got 40 seats in the DPR. Democrats also won the popular vote of the House with 9 points.

Indeed, the 2018 example speaks of a larger pattern since 2004. Although Democrats tend to publish more internal polls publicly, they do very well when the profits are very large.

When Democrats issue 70% or more of the DPR’s internal polls, there is a big swing in their direction in terms of general elections. Since 2004, the Republican Party has not published 70% of the DPR’s internal polls. The only time anyone was close to this in their (2010), they took more seats in the DPR than in elections in the past 70 years.

When Democrats issue around 60% of the DPR’s internal polls, the national environment usually does not change from previous elections.

Whatever is lacking and the Republicans will probably do well, such as the 2010 elections mentioned above when the Democrats from the House’s internal poll released to the public were only 35%.

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Democrats will definitely take on a political environment that is largely the same as in 2018. The figures that came out recently indicate it could be better for them. They point to the national political environment where they are favored by double digits.

For Republicans, something needs to change or they will explode next November.

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CBF congratulates Cruzeiro on the title, but makes a mistake with the “Portuguese” Pezzolano



CBF congratulates Cruzeiro on the title, but makes a mistake with the "Portuguese" Pezzolano

The Brazilian Football Confederation (CBF) made a “gaffe” when congratulating Cruzeiro on the Brazilian Serie B title won last Friday (30) after the failures of Grêmio and Bahia. While congratulating the heavenly team, the entity “managed” to change the nationality of coach Paulo Pezzolano, identifying him as Portuguese.

“Until the 32nd round, the team under the leadership of the Portuguese Paulo Pezzolano had 71 points, eighteen more than Gremio, which is currently in second place. Organization website.

Cruzeiro fans are already “heavy” because of the CBF, because the organization does not issue the Cruzeiro Cup in next Wednesday’s (5) fight against Ituano at the Mineirana. The trophy will only be delivered in the last round of the competition, scheduled for November 6th.

The main bet of the Ronaldo leadership is to start the process of “reconstruction” of Cruzeiro, Pezzolano is a Uruguayan born in Montevideo on April 25, 1993.

The coach’s employment contract was duly registered in the CBF Daily Newsletter (BID). It states the correct nationality, such as Uruguayan.

In addition, when he was still a player, Pezzolano also played in Brazilian football, defending Atlético-PR.

Now off the field, Pezzolano became the foreign manager with the most appearances, ahead of Cruzeiro (52), and also the most victorious.

He was the only foreigner to win the title for Cruzeiro. His “predecessors”, the Uruguayan Ricardo Diez (1953), the Argentine Filpo Nunez (1955 and 1970) and the Portuguese Paulo Bento (2016), spent less time in Rapos and could not lift a single trophy.

In 52 games under Pezzolano Cruzeiro won 33, drew nine and lost 10 (69.23% profit). In these matches, the heavenly team scored 85 goals and conceded only 39.

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A moment of silence in Portuguese football over the tragedy in Indonesia



A moment of silence in Portuguese football over the tragedy in Indonesia

The Portuguese Football Federation (FPF) announced this Sunday a minute of silence at the competitions it organizes, namely the Portuguese Cup, in memory of the victims of the tragedy that occurred in Indonesia.

“The Directorate of the Portuguese Football Federation announces a moment of silence in memory of the victims of the tragedy that occurred at the football stadium in Indonesia. The official website of the organization.

In the same note, FPF President Fernando Gomes says that “with great surprise and a feeling of deep pain, but also indignation” he learned “of the tragic scale of the events that have taken place in the stadium. in Indonesia”.

“It is with great sadness that I deplore the dramatic consequences of this tragedy, which resulted in the death of more than 170 fans, including many children. A football stadium should be a stage for celebration and joy, not for violence and death,” he said. concluded.

A moment of silence will be observed at the competitions organized by the FPF, namely the Portuguese Cup, the second stage of which will take place this weekend.

Indonesian authorities said 174 people were killed in unrest at the end of a football match in East Java, but acknowledged that the number could rise as many of them were critically injured.

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The tragedy, one of the worst in the history of football, occurred on Saturday evening when about 3,000 fans took to the field after Arema’s home team lost 3-2 to rivals Persebay Surabaya.

Police fired tear gas to try to contain the angry supporters, but their actions caused panic and thousands of people rushed to the exit.

Many people were trampled to death in the chaos of the stampede. At least two police officers were killed in the unrest that spread outside the stadium.

The Indonesian league was suspended and the authorities ordered an investigation into the incidents.

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New serious injury of the player of the national team of Portugal



Extremo português oferecido ao Manchester United Lesão Pedro Neto

An injury forces Pedro Neto to be substituted in the Wolves game.

Bad news for Wolverhampton Wanderers and Pedro Neto. The Portuguese received a new injury, and, according to Bruno Lage, it could be serious.

Away to West Ham, where the Portuguese lost 2-0, Pedro Neto was replaced in the 24th minute by Adama Traore, and after the match, the Wolves coach said that the injury could be “ugly”.

Wolves are now in the Premier League relegation zone, and Pedro Neto may be left with no hope of qualifying for the World Cup in Qatar.

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