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The election map tilts towards Donald Trump now

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The election map tilts towards Donald Trump now

A series of polls in the swing (and not-swing) state released Wednesday made this reality clear.

* A Quinnipiac University poll in Texas have a race at Trump 44%, Biden 43%.

How bad are the numbers for Trump? To put good points on it: Very bad.

The last Democrat who won Arizona at presidential level was Bill Clinton in 1996. In Texas, there has been no Democrat since Jimmy Carter in 1976 who brought the state in the presidential election. Ohio was one of the most swinging states in the presidential election at the beginning of this century, but it moved a lot towards Trump in 2016, when he took it with 8 points. And Wisconsin is widely seen as the country that Trump most likely reversed in 2016 to back it up. (Polling in Pennsylvania and Michigan – the other two old Democrats won by Trump in 2016, showing he is behind Biden at the moment.)
And according to the tabulation made by CNN’s David Wright, the Trump campaign has already spent more than $ 1 million on advertising in Ohio, Wisconsin and Arizona since the beginning of the year. Which means that even with Trump’s choice messages transmitted to their TV screens, voters in these countries aren’t persuaded – at least not yet.

Now, let’s see what these numbers mean for Trump’s chances of reaching 270 in November.

Start here: Trump gets 306 electoral votes in his 2016 victory. Now, consider this 2020 scenario (all calculations are done via 270towin.com):

* If Trump loses Texas (and wins wherever he wins in 2016), he will lose for Biden, 270 electoral votes to 268 electoral votes.

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* If Trump loses Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (and wins wherever he wins in 2016), he will lose to Biden 278 to 260.

* If Trump loses Arizona, Michigan and Pennsylvania (and wins wherever he wins in 2016), he will lose to Biden 279 to 259.

* If Trump loses Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin (and wins wherever he wins in 2016), he will lose to Biden 276 to 262.

* If Trump loses Arizona, Ohio and Wisconsin (and wins wherever he wins in 2016), he will lose to Biden 271 to 267.

The point here is not to say that this election map scenario is locked. Besides, we are still 152 days away from the November 3 election. (And, yes, I’m counting.)

Instead, they should note that Biden, at present, has many different avenues for 270 electoral votes, while Trump has an increasingly thinning number. And of course, the poll released on Wednesday doesn’t even deal with potential problem spots for Trump in Florida, North Carolina and Georgia – all of which he won in 2016.

For what it’s worth, Trump’s best path / most likely for a second term is to lose one or both of Michigan and Pennsylvania and hold every state he won in 2016. If he loses Michigan and Pennsylvania, he will add 270 to 268 election wins over Biden. If he only loses Pennsylvania, he will win with 286 electoral votes. Lose only Michigan, and Trump has 290 election votes and a second term.

“The country was polarized as it was two months ago, and the contest’s path has essentially remained unchanged, with Biden holding a comfortable leadership in the national vote and having many lines for 270 election votes.

“While daily developments give cable television networks something to talk about, today’s big news will be replaced by a new one tomorrow, and another day after that. But the basics of the race remain unchanged.”

That is very correct. To this day, Biden has more ways than anywhere else in the campaign to date to get 270 electoral votes. And Trump has less.

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Can that change? Of course! In the summer of 2016, the election map looks like Hillary Clinton will roll over to win over Trump. Heck, looks like that until it falls.

Election is not today. Trump will run a well-funded campaign – and possibly evil – who are trying to paint Biden as untouched on every issue – from immigration to China to race. And as the last few months have reminded us all, events can and do intervene to change what we think we know about the November elections.

All of that is true. Nothing has changed the fact that Trump is looking at an increasingly difficult election map today, with few suggesting that major changes will come in the near future.

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Who is Paulo Bento, the Portuguese coach from South Korea who coached Cruzeiro?

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The coach commanded the Portuguese national team at the 2014 World Cup in Brazil and left the South Korean national team after being eliminated in Qatar.

Portuguese coach Paulo Bento qualified South Korea for the playoffs of the World Cup, something the team had not achieved since 2010, when the South Korean team reached the 1/8 finals of this championship. But 4-1 rout against Brazil as a result, shortened the path of the Asian team, as well as put an end to the work of Paulo Sousa in the national team.

Paulo Bento started his career as a coach with the youth team of Sporting Clube Portugal in 2004. At the club, he commanded the youth team for two seasons, winning the junior national tournament in his first year. Incidentally, the coach took over the first team shortly after he announced his retirement as a player.

Given his prominence in the youth categories, Paulo was chosen to replace José Peseiro, who was eliminated in European competition, in the professional team of Sporting CP for the 2005 season./2006.

Professionally, Bento was runner-up for four seasons in a row in the Portuguese Championship. Despite this, the coach won two Portuguese Cups and two Candido de Oliveira Super Cups. On November 6, 2009, the coach resigned.

Having distinguished himself at Sporting, Paulo Bento was announced as Portugal’s coach on 21 September 2010 after the World Cup in South Africa, where the then-champion Spain was selected in the round of 16.

Gettyimages

In qualifying, the coach managed to show good results in the first games, plus, of course, take Portugal to the semi-finals of Euro 2012, taking off from Spain on penalties. Having stood out in competitions, the coach extended the contract until Euro 2016.

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However, after losing to Albania in qualifying for Euro 2016, the coach could not resist and was fired in September 2014. The unsuccessful campaign at the World Cup of the same year in Brazil also affected.

After the Portugal national team, Paulo Bento returned to Brazil in May 2016, but this time to coach the Cruzeiro club. With a contract until December 2017, the coach made his debut in the second round of the Brasileirão the same year.

Paulo Bento Cruzeiro Brazilian Championship in Sao Paulo 05062016Washington Alves/Light Press/Cruzeiro

However, Bento only lasted 17 matches in power with six wins, three draws and eight losses, leaving the team in second-to-last place in the tournament.

On 11 August 2016, the coach was announced as the new commander of Olympiacos, Greece, where he remained until 6 March 2017, winning the Greek title. Following this, Paulo Bento was announced as Chongqing Dangdai of China leading the team for only 15 matches.

20221124 Paulo BentoGetty Images

On August 16, 2018, Paulo Bento was announced as the new coach of South Korea following the departure of Shin Tae-yong, who lost in the group stage of the 2018 World Cup.

As part of the South Korean national team, the coach has 55 wins, 12 draws and eight losses, having won the East Asian Cup title and classified the team at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. After being knocked out against Brazil in the 1/8 finals, the Portuguese announced his retirement from the national team.

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Pioli ‘pulls’ Leao by the ears and says the Portuguese ‘must make a dash’

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Pioli 'pulls' Leao by the ears and says the Portuguese 'must make a dash'

FROMTefano Pioli, Milan coach, gave an interview on the Italian radio program Sky Calcio Club on Sunday in which he talked about Rafael Leao’s participation in the 2022 Mundial, a test in which the Portuguese striker was a replacement for Fernando Santos. ‘, indicating that he has been talking to his player over the past few days.

“If we talk? They have an obligation to call me at the end of the game. He is happy because Portugal is doing well. It is clear that he would like to play more. I can take advantage of this for a contract extension,” said Pioli, who also spoke about the Portuguese’s renewal process.

“He is fine with us and management and Rafael are talking. We are waiting for good news,” the Transalpine coach fired.

Looking at his player’s short playing time at this 2022 World Cup, Pioli admitted that Rafael Leau would like to have more playing time for the national team, but hinted that the Portuguese striker is not unhappy.

“If he plays a little? It’s hard to judge because Portugal has a very high quality team. Rafael is happy because Portugal is having a good World Cup, but there is a lot of quality and competitiveness in the attacking sector of the Portuguese team. “, – stressed the coach of the Italian, who also left a small warning to Rafael Leau.

“When you see him in training, you immediately understand that he has incredible potential. He has technique and speed that few others have. Over the course of a period, he had to develop and adapt to the reality at Milan, where the pressure is different from what he is. he was in Lille. It took time, but his potential to become a great player was always there. But he still needs to make the leap to become a champion because he can be even more decisive in the opponent’s zone,” he stressed.

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“If you think about Rafael from two years ago, he has made tremendous progress. He’s missing a few things, but he’s smart and approachable. I can give him all the ideas he wants, but his talent must be left free. should improve his heading, given his physique,” he concluded.

Read also: Spaniards say Carlo Ancelotti is “in love” with Rafael Leao

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Portugal, nuts and the Portuguese consumer: a successful trilogy

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Portugal, nuts and the Portuguese consumer: a successful trilogy

Nuts have become part of a limited group of Portuguese agri-food sectors that manage to achieve much-desired food self-sufficiency. In the case of almonds it is 170% and in the case of chestnuts it is 116% in relation to the national consumption.

The value of Portuguese agricultural production in 2021 was 9.6 billion euros, representing a growth rate of 14.6% compared to 2020, and therefore it is fair to say that dried fruits today, with a production of 80,000 tons and exports reaching 100 million euros contributed. to this success.

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