Connect with us

Top News

The election map is getting worse for Trump

Published

on

electoral college explainer animation orig_00002708

But as we learned in 2016 (and 2000!), The only count that really matters is the Electoral College.

Unfortunately for Trump, his chances of reaching the 270 electoral votes he needed to win a second term were looking, at least at the moment, quite dim.

Over the past week, two main political prognosticators – Amy Walter in the Cook Political Report and Nate Silver of 538 – have released the latest appearance on the electoral map. And the picture they painted for Trump was terrible.

“With just under five months before the election, President Trump is a severe underdog for re-election,” Walter wrote, which placed 248 voters solid or leaning towards Biden and 204 solid or leaning towards Trump.

“To win the Electoral College, Biden needs to win only 26 percent of the state / district of Toss Up, while Trump needs to win more than 75 percent of them. In other words, Trump has less room for error, while Biden has a broader path to win. “

Silver analysis is similar.

“Overall – assuming states that have not been surveyed operate in the same way as they did in 2016 – Biden leads in the state with 368 electoral votes, while Trump leads in countries with a total of 170 electoral votes,” he wrote.
To be clear: Both Walter or Silver (or me) say the election is not complete or that Trump cannot win. In fact, while Silver suggests there is a possibility Biden can win in a “landslide” if all the states that currently exist go to him, “so does the Trump Electoral College victory, depending on how the race moves between now and November.

But what are they is saying is that the current election map is very favorable for Biden. It is not only the traditional Democratic states that Trump won in 2016 such as Michigan and Pennsylvania that seem to be returning to the Democratic column in 2020, but former Republicans like Arizona, North Carolina and maybe even Texas seem to really play for Biden.

See also  Portuguese firefighter rescued American child on holiday in Mexico

All that gave the Democratic candidate, as Walter correctly noted, had more roads leading to the 270 electoral votes he needed to become the 46th president.

Street To do it still exists for Trump – mainly by holding two of the three Rust Belt states (Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin) and maintaining the status quo elsewhere on the map.

But there are more paths to Trump than to Biden. And with each passing week, the number of good election map options for Trump continues to shrink.

The gist: The best news for Trump is that Election Day is still far away. If the election were held today, he would be defeated convincingly – in the general election and the Electoral College.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Top News

Marseille in California. ″Where the Portuguese is, there is Portugal″

Published

on

Marseille in California.  ″Where the Portuguese is, there is Portugal″

“You are the future,” President Marcelo Rebelo de Souza told a three-year-old girl dressed in traditional Portuguese clothing who came out to greet him on the podium where he spoke at Artesia Portuguese Salon. The city, located on the outskirts of Los Angeles, has not hosted the President of the Portuguese Republic since 1989. This weekend, he did it with pomp and the setting of an ornate Portuguese-American community bursting with pride.

“We have never lost the honor and responsibility of being representatives of this beautiful flag,” said Jimmy Enes, a member of Artesia DES, a Portuguese descendant, in a welcoming speech delivered in perfect Portuguese. “When we are asked who we are, we always answer”i am portuguese“and not”Portuguese-American“or ‘Portuguese American’,” he said. “That’s why we’re trying step by step to protect our heritage on the outskirts of Los Angeles, one of the greatest cities in the world.”

Continue Reading

Top News

Cristiano Ronaldo is injured by the Portuguese national team and thanks the fans for their support

Published

on

Cristiano Ronaldo is injured by the Portuguese national team and thanks the fans for their support



Cristiano Ronaldo got a cut on his nose and needed a bandage (Photo: MICHAL CIZEK / AFP)

Photo: Lance!

Gratitude. It seems that the attacker Cristiano Ronaldo shared his social media with Portuguese fans after a clash with Czech goalkeeper Vaclik. In the auction, the assailant received a cut on his face and needed a bandage to stop the bleeding.

“Great game, important team win! We remain focused on our goal. Thanks to the Portuguese public for the fantastic support,” the striker wrote on his Instagram account.

The match was marked by a great performance Portugal national team, who beat the Czech Republic 4-0 to take the lead in Nations League Group 2 with ten points with one matchday to go in the group stage of the tournament. Cristiano Ronaldo ended up losing to his team.

After the match, the leader of the Portuguese national team appreciated the result achieved on the road. “It was a very important victory and all teammates should be congratulated on the result,” commented the 37-year-old striker.

With three wins, one draw and one defeat, the Portuguese team has the best attack in their group with eleven goals scored and a net difference of nine. The team is one draw away from qualifying for the tournament series. The next match against Spain is next Tuesday in the city of Braga.

+The best content in your email for free. Choose your favorite Terra newsletter. Click here!

See also  A 70-year-old Portuguese man went missing a week ago in Canada
Continue Reading

Top News

Thomas Gouveia remains the best Portuguese in the Swiss Challenge

Published

on

Thomas Gouveia remains the best Portuguese in the Swiss Challenge

Writing with Lusa

Tournament of the second European circuit.

Thomas Gouveia solidified his status as the best Portuguese in the Swiss Challenge this Saturday by finishing the penultimate day of the second European round robin in a group of 31st placed golfers.

Thomas Gouveia hit the card with 73 shots, one over par on the course, after two birdies (one under par hole) and three bogeys (one over), after making 71 shots in the previous two days for a total of 215.

Thomas Bessa needed 75 hits, three over par and tied for scarecrows, he finished 48th with 218 total, five short of Vitor Lopez, 60th with 223, after today needs 78, with just one bird . to fit five scarecrows and a double scarecrow.

The Swiss Challenge, which concludes on Sunday in Folgensburg, France, is still led by France’s Chung Veon Ko with a total of 206 shots, one short of Denmark’s Martin Simonsen in second place.

See also  Portuguese firefighter rescued American child on holiday in Mexico
Continue Reading

Trending