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Donald Trump is facing the possibility of a big loss

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Donald Trump is facing the possibility of a big loss

Survey conducted by New York Times and Siena College, show Trump behind former Vice President Joe Biden with double digits in Michigan (Biden +11), Wisconsin (Biden +11) and Pennsylvania (Biden + 10) and with a single middle number in North Carolina (Biden +9), Arizona ( Biden +7) and Florida (Biden +6).

Trump wins every one from these countries in the 2016 elections. Change from red to blue and you can quickly see how poor Trump is at the moment.

Give Biden the six states – Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Arizona, and Florida – and keep the rest of the 2020 map as in 2016, and the Democratic candidate has 333 election vote to be fair 205 for Trump. That will be a margin of the Electoral College that is greater than won by President Barack Obama in his 2012 election.

But even that doesn’t capture how dark things can happen for Trump. Consider:

* A Quinnipiac University poll in Ohio released Wednesday showed Biden at 46% to Trump’s 45%. (Fox News poll released in early June showed Biden at 47% to Trump’s 45%). If Ohio goes to Biden, he will be in 351 election vote.
* A Des Moines, registration poll earlier this month put Trump at 44% and Biden at 43% in Iowa. Give Biden Iowa and he’s in 357 election vote.
* A Quinnipiac University poll released earlier this month put Biden on Trump’s point in Texas. If Biden wins Texas, he will 395 since the election, the biggest election ballot since then George H. Bush defeated Michael Dukakis in 1988 with 426 votes.

Now, to be clear: It is very unlikely that Biden won all 9 of these countries. Texas last went for the Democratic presidential candidate in 1976, when Jimmy Carter took him. Ohio and Iowa went to Trump convincingly in 2016 and the Republicans stayed there in 2018 – winning governors in both.

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But what is made clear by the recent poll numbers is that all of these conditions play a role. So, I don’t think Biden will win Texas but a) Trump has to spend (a lot of) money on TV ads to lock the country and b) polls show that there is a path for Biden on Lone Star Status.

Plus, Biden doesn’t need to win Texas. Or Florida. Or Ohio. Or North Carolina. Or even Arizona. If Biden wins only Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania – and holds the entire state of Hillary Clinton to win in 2016 – she wins the White House with 278 election vote. Anything outside of the three countries, which has, before the 2016 elections, a long history of supporting Democrats at the presidential level, is gravy.

What the current landscape suggests is this: Yes very credible opportunity that Biden won 330 votes on November 3. Which, in a polarized and two-pronged political world like this and against an incumbent president, in my opinion, would qualify as a landslide.

The only hope for Trump is that it’s June 25. Which means the election isn’t for 132 days. Trump must hope that things change drastically in the next five months. If not, it won’t be a long election night for him.

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Portuguese plan to save energy, explosions on Russian gas pipelines and other TSF events

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Portuguese plan to save energy, explosions on Russian gas pipelines and other TSF events

Details of the energy saving plan laid out by the government were released on Tuesday. The document, published in Diário da República, includes measures for the efficient use of water, public lighting and temperature limits in air conditioners.

For example, from December 6, 2022 to January 6, 2023, Christmas lighting in Portugal should only be on from 18:00 to 24:00.

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The abolition of fees for teaching Portuguese abroad will not be accepted by parliament, MP says – Observer

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The abolition of fees for teaching Portuguese abroad will not be accepted by parliament, MP says - Observer

According to Socialist MP Paulo Pisco, the views of the BE, PCP and PAN on the abolition of fees for teaching Portuguese abroad were voted on Tuesday in a parliamentary committee.

The Committee on Foreign Affairs and Portuguese Communities voted on Tuesday in favor of four projects – from the Left Bloc, the Communist Party of Portugal, “People-Animal-Nature” and “Enough”, which mainly advocate the abolition of fees for teaching Portuguese abroad and free school textbooks.

According to Paulo Pisco, a socialist member of the commission, the opinions of the BE, PKP and PAN were approved, but Chega’s opinion deserved to be abstained from the PS because it contained “xenophobic elements” in its purpose.

The MP had in mind, in particular, the recipients of this teaching, which is currently intended not only for the Portuguese or the descendants of the Portuguese, but also for those who want to learn the Portuguese language, with which Chega allegedly disagrees, according to Paulo Pisco. .

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After the approval of these opinions, the abolition of the bribe would be discussed and voted on in the plenary session of the Assembly of the Republic, but Paulo Pisco said that they should not be approved, since the “commitment” of the government is different.

“The government’s obligation is to reduce the burden of the Portuguese” and this will always be determined “in every approved state budget”.

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Portuguese health minister rejects conflict of interest over marriage to president

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The health minister said there was no conflict of interest in her marriage to the current chairman of the Order of Dietitians, saying that the trusteeship of that body had been delegated to the Secretary of State for Health Promotion.


Portugal Digital with Lusa



“Honestly, I don’t think it exists. I have no doubt that this Lady Secretary of State will fill this leadership role,” Manuel Pizarro said on Monday (age 26) on the sidelines of the Pharmacist’s Day celebrations in Sintra, in the Lisbon area.

Aware of the possible conflict of interest, Manuel Pizarro explained that he took “the most appropriate measure (…)”, which was to entrust the functions of guardianship of the Order of Nutritionists to Margarida Tavares.”

“(…) Since I took office as a minister, I have been aware that, since professional organizations have an administrative oversight role, (…) there is a risk of conflict of interest, and I have taken the measures that seem to me the most appropriate, which from the very decided at the outset that he would delegate this oversight function over the Order of Nutritionists to the Secretary of State for Health Promotion,” he stressed.

When asked about the reasons why Margarida Tavares’ name still does not appear in the Diário da República, the official said that “it was necessary to wait for the inauguration of the secretaries of state” and then “to organize the whole process of delegation of authority.” .

“It’s even a good chance that there is a Secretary of State for Health Promotion. I think custody of the Order of Dietitians has been well handed over to the Secretary of State for Health Promotion,” he repeated, noting that “he definitely won’t go through the Minister’s order.” [da Saúde]”.

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“If the secretary of state is responsible for this, it should not go through the minister,” he stressed.

Manuel Pizarro’s statements came after news that the government official may have a conflict of interest because he is married to the chairman of the Order of Dietitians, Alexandra Bento.

The Order of Dietitians was created in 2011 with the approval of the current Minister of Health, who at the time served as Secretary of State for Health.

In addition, Alexandra Bento was the only President of the Order of Occupational Health to attend the inauguration of Manuel Pizarro on 10 September.

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