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Donald Trump has historically been strong on his basis, and that’s the problem



Trump keeps lying about this one thing. And it's a problem.

Both polls show Trump with a substantial advantage among self-identified Republicans: 93% to 5% Biden (Monmouth) and 92% to 4% (NBC News / Wall Street Journal).

What is the point: Trump has made the game clear during his presidency to satisfy the Republican base, and opinion polls show that this effort is clearly bearing fruit. The base did not leave him, even though the total number remained weak.

Trump’s problem is that he is pretty much making use of this support reserve.

See Trump and Biden’s head-to-head vote
After making good business to achieve a score in the primaries against essentially no competition, Trump won a little less than 95% of the Republican primary vote as a whole. That looks very similar to a vote for a general election which places it in less than 95% of Republican votes. It will be difficult for him to get over it.
Indeed, Trump has higher support among Republican voters today than any Republican since at least 2000. You can see this at ABC News / Washington Post poll. That one, like Monmouth’s and NBC / Wall Street Journal, has Trump almost 95% (94%), while Biden remains at only 4%.

Originating in 2000, no Republican has ever had more than 91% of Republicans supporting it at this time in the ABC News / Washington Post poll. The average Republican has 84% ​​of the Republicans behind him. The first basic strategy in the election made far more sense than one during the Trump era.

(The historical nature of these figures applies if we include independent people who rely on the Republic.)

Maybe Trump believes he doesn’t need to change his strategy because he ignores the advice of most people and still wins in 2016. That’s a mistake. Beyond the fact that there is good evidence that Trump outrun more than moderates than he ruled, Trump has more room to grow with a base in 2016. He scored only 74% of Republicans who identified themselves in ABC News / Washington Poll taken right around this point – the lowest of any Republican since 2000.

Where Trump is weak is outside the Republican base. In ABC / Washington Post (similar numbers for Monmouth and NBC News / Wall Street Journal), Trump stands at 39% among independents and 3% among Democrats. Both are lower than any of the Republicans currently in the ABC News / Washington Post poll that began in 2000.

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In other words, there is more potential support for Trump outside the Republican core base. Trump, it seems, is not interested in doing that.

If Trump doesn’t change things, he might find that the other party’s base is bigger than his. Biden won a greater share of Democrats in the average live interview poll (incl Polls NPR / PBS News / Marist College) came out this week (94%) than Trump won the Republican Party (92%). The average poll, as it applies for almost every year, noted more Democrats than Republicans in the country.

By continuing his base-first strategy, Trump made sure that he would not see the bottom fall out. However, he will find that actually gathering the coalition needed to win will be very difficult.

This story has been updated to include the results of the NBC News / Wall Street Journal poll on Sunday.

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Algeria interested in Portuguese companies investing in renewable energy – Observer



Algeria interested in Portuguese companies investing in renewable energy - Observer

Foreign Minister João Gomes Cravinho met this Wednesday with his Algerian counterpart Ramtan Lamamra, who expressed interest in Portuguese companies investing in Algeria’s solar and wind energy.

Speaking with Lusa, João Cravinho also said that for 2023 it was decided to hold a “high-level meeting chaired by the prime ministers” of the two countries, a meeting to be held in Algiers, in addition to the state visit of the President of Algeria. Algeria to Portugal.

The Portuguese foreign minister said today’s visit to Algeria, where he was with Ramtan Lamamra, whom he has known since 2005 when he was ambassador to Lisbon, is “based on old knowledge”, but also a visit to a country that “does not to be a neighbor”, shares “a lot of fears”. “Not being a neighboring country, it almost shares many concerns about the region, the Mediterranean, the European Union’s relationship with Africa and the Arab world. It was important for us to talk about what we can do together as part of the geopolitical and geo-economic transformation,” he explained.

João Cravinho stressed that the issue of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was a factor “which could not but be the subject of dialogue”, and also added that “geo-economic issues related to energy, renewable energy sources and the opportunities that come with the digital transition” also were on the table.


“While Algeria is a major exporter of fossil fuels, it is also a country with huge potential in terms of solar and wind energy. We have very qualified companies in these areas, and the Algerian side has expressed interest in [ter] Portuguese investors in these areas,” the minister said.

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The official said that it would be a matter of working with the Portuguese Agency for Investment and Foreign Trade (AICEP), with the Secretary of State for Internationalization, as well as with a sectoral ministry, namely the Ministry of Environment and Climate Change. A “high-level meeting chaired by the prime ministers” of the two countries is scheduled for 2023, a meeting to be held in Algiers, in addition to the Algerian President’s state visit to Portugal.

“We have a very busy calendar between the two countries. Now we will try to organize a mixed commission, where technical specialists from both countries will gather,” he said, stressing that there are “14 legal documents that are practically finalized and will be signed” in 2023.

João Gomes Cravinho was on a visit to Algiers today to assess bilateral relations in the economic sphere, as well as in terms of cooperation, language and culture, and to discuss international issues.

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Members of the Airborne Operational Battalion of the Parachute Regiment of the Portuguese Army during the annual Falcon Jump exercise on September 17, 2022 over the Ede launch zone, 18 km west of Arnhem, in the province of Gelderland, the Netherlands. A Portuguese skydiver is equipped with a SPEKON RS 2000 parachute from the German manufacturer SPEKON Sächsische Spezialkonfekion GmbH. Above him are US paratroopers with T-11 parachutes.

Photo by M. Bienik | 6 barrels per day

The annual Falcon Leap 2022 exercise, based in Eindhoven, in the south of the Netherlands, took place from 5 to 16 September 2022 in the Netherlands and Belgium. During the first week, the exercise focused on cargo drop operations, and the second week focused on drop operations. It was attended by more than 1 thousand soldiers representing 13 countries, including Portugal, with the participation of the Operational Detachment of 22 soldiers from the Airborne Operational Battalion of the Parachute Regiment of the Ground Forces.

The exercise officially ended on September 17, 2022, commemorating the 78th anniversary of Operation Market Garden, which began on the same day in 1944, during World War II, as part of the largest airborne operation in which more than 40,000 troops serving in the 1st Airborne Division of Great Britain, the 1st Independent Parachute Brigade of Poland, the 101st and 82nd Airborne Divisions of the United States of America. These commemorations were marked by the launch of paratroopers over the original drop zones of the Operation.

The photo was taken by the Polish soldier M. Benek, seconded to the 6th Airborne Brigade (BPD) – Brigadier General Stanisław Sosabowski, a unit that is the result of the historical legacy of the 1st Separate Polish Airborne Brigade, which jumped during the operation ” Bazaar Garden “, in 1944 under the command of General. Stanislav Sosabovsky – whose name is a suffix (as patron) of the current unit.

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Article published in partnership with “Espada & Escudo”



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Luana Piovani goes to Portugal’s Golden Globes with her boyfriend



Luana Piovani goes to Portugal's Golden Globes with her boyfriend

Luana Piovani

Photo: Instagram/@luanapiovani/Famous and Celebrities

This Sunday, the 2nd, actress Luana Piovani went to the Portuguese Golden Globes along with her boyfriend Lucas Bittencourt. In her Instagram, the actress praised the outfits they were wearing.

Ready for the Golden Globes. Great guy. We are very, very luxurious, my love,” said Luana. While Lucas was wearing a black suit, she was wearing a short white lace dress with green accents at the waist.

Luana Piovani at the Golden Globes.  -

Luana Piovani at the Golden Globes. –

Photo: Instagram/@luanapiovani/Famous and Celebrities

“Long live the Golden Globes and long live you, my love, who accompanied me and constantly gave me a hand, because I have very high heels and I have a problem knee,” the actress shared.

Luana Piovani revealed the reason for the breakup with Pedro Scooby

Actress Luana Piovani finally revealed the real reason behind his breakup with surfer and former BBB Pedro Scooby. In the documentary “A Vida é Irada, Vamos Curtir”, the actress recalled the tense moment they went through due to the inattention of the athlete, which eventually became the trigger for the divorce.

While they are traveling with their family, Pedro forgot to extend their stay, leaving Luana with nowhere to go with her children and several problems to deal with. “I had to leave before 13:00 the next day because the property was already rented out. With three children and twelve suitcases, Luna remembered. “When I hung up, I took the ring off my finger, put it on the table and said, ‘My marriage just ended.’ indicated.

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