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GOP operators fear Trump will lose the president and Senate majority

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This is Joe Biden's best path to win in 2020

Today, that view has changed drastically.

“Look, I’m very happy my boss is not in this cycle of voting,” said a high-ranking Senate aide.

Republican strategists are increasingly worried that Trump is headed for defeat in November and that he might drag other Republicans with him.

Seven GOP operators not directly linked to the presidential re-election campaign told CNN that Trump’s response to the pandemic and subsequent economic downturn had significantly undermined his efforts for a second term – and that the effect began to hurt the Republicans more broadly. Some of these operations ask not to be identified so they can speak more honestly.

Some said that public opinion polls showed Trump’s candidate following the Democratic nominee, Joe Biden reflected what they found in their personal polls, and that the trend was bleeding into the main Senate race. The GOP already has a difficult task of maintaining 23 Senate seats by 2020. The work of protecting a thin majority of 3 seats has only become increasingly difficult because the pandemic has grown. Countries such as Arizona and North Carolina, which were once thought to be home to winable Senate races, are now in danger.
See Trump and Biden’s head-to-head vote
Trump himself was alerted to the problem. Politico reported this week that two political advisers outside Trump himself, Corey Lewandowski and David Bossie, warned the President last week that his support fell in several states.

All this shows how difficult it is to run as incumbent Republicans almost anywhere in 2020. Strategists who spoke to CNN are concerned that Trump has become an obligation for Republicans who need to expand their coalition beyond the President’s core support base.

Whereas a few months ago, they were convinced of the party’s opportunities across the board, many strategists who spoke with CNN had lowered their expectations, and now spoke in terms of minimizing what they feared could be an eraser for the GOP. This made them hope for a small, rather than terrible, defeat similar to Mitt Romney’s small defeat in 2012, when Republicans lost two Senate seats, than John McCain’s performance four years earlier, when they lost eight.

“Republican candidates need something more like Romney in ’12 and less like McCain in ’08,” said Liam Donovan, GOP strategist in Washington.

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The broader fear among Republicans is that the election will be a referendum on Trump’s performance during the pandemic. Coupled with the crater economy, the effect can be devastating by suppressing the faithful of the Republic and turning off swinging voters.

That one or two blows could knock the GOP out of power in Washington – and that’s what the strategists hope the Presidential election team can successfully turn the race into an unpleasant choice between Trump and Biden.

But these efforts have become increasingly difficult against the background of a pandemic which has destroyed many of the economic benefits that the Republicans hope to base their re-election argument on.

“This is one thing that (Trump) cannot change the subject,” said Republican strategist. “This is not a political opponent, this is not working and he has never had to deal with anything like this.”

There is some evidence that Trump is not to blame for the economic downturn. In the latest CNN poll, starting in early May, Trump as a whole has a 45% approval rating. While only 42% agreed with the way he handled the pandemic, 50% still said they agreed with Trump’s economy.

The Trump Campaign believes that Americans trust the President when it comes to handling the economy and they will choose him to be the one to lead the recovery.

“The economic message is strongly echoing, especially at a time like this,” Trump campaign communications director Tim Murtaugh said. “President Trump is clearly returning us to that position. He did it once, he will do it again.”

However, the concern for Republicans outside Trump’s orbit is that if there are no signs the economy will change in November, that would be an impossible argument for Trump’s campaign.

“There is no sort of V-shaped recovery many people think he is dead in the water,” said Republican strategist.

Trump Party

In the four years since winning the GOP nomination, Trump has strengthened his position in the party. That has made it more difficult for Republicans in Congress to distance themselves from them without being hostile to their headquarters. That, said Republican operators, risks alienating voters who might consider the GOP but don’t like the President.

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“This is a very, very difficult environment. If you have a bachelor’s degree and you live in the suburbs, you don’t want to vote for us,” said an old Republican congressional campaign consultant, adding there were serious concerns about bleeding support from both elderly and independent men. who describes himself.

The party’s main concern, some of these Republican members, said that they had to hold the majority of the Senate. The task requires Senate candidates to appeal to suburban voters who turn to Democrats in the 2018 midterm elections in reaction to Trump.

But that goal is complicated by how dependent Republican candidates are on the maximum number of votes for the President, even in Trump campaign countries not hoping to win. GOP Sens. Cory Gardner in Colorado and Susan Collins in Maine could not afford to buy a depressed Trump base in their state, even when they played their independent identities to win the election.

And concern for the Republicans goes beyond endangered incumbents – including Sens Martha McSally from Arizona and Thom Tillis from North Carolina. There is even a chance, in a bad year for Trump, that the GOP seats held by the GOP in Georgia and Montana could be problematic, Donovan said.

Distance from the President

Meanwhile, the crater economy has intensified the need for Republican senators to distinguish themselves in a subtle way from Trump and his notes. Scott Reed, political director at the US Chamber of Commerce and a veteran of the Republican campaign, said that the presidential re-election campaign was “always” a referendum on incumbents and his party.

While it is a bad sign for Republicans if the economy fails to improve or another wave of virus emerges this summer, Reed said, the GOP is not always destroyed. Congress, he said, had a relative boom in popularity – 31% support in the latest Gallup poll, the highest in more than a decade – thanks in part to the passing of economic aid.

Reed said incumbents also had to voice their localized personal achievements and areas where they had been independent of Trump without explicitly alienating pro-Trump Republicans in their states.

Gardner, for example, has claimed to be the “chief architect” for a plan to move headquarters from the federal Land Management Bureau to Colorado, announced by the Trump administration last year. The first-term GOP senator has framed the decision as a bipartisan victory for Western nations, where most of the federally managed land is located, and a victory for Gardner against the Washington bureaucracy. It also has an advantage because it has nothing to do with Trump himself or the economic crisis.
And in his campaign for a fifth term, Collins relied heavily on his established political identity as an independent centrist. His latest TV ad he is touted as “the most bipartisan US senator” for the seventh year in a row by the Georgetown University Lugar Center.

This line aims to combat the most consistent line of criticism from Democrats – that Collins has voted in accordance with the Trump administration in everything from judicial appointments to health care to the release of the President on impeachment charges – without having to deny Trump himself.

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Republicans point out that while Democrats and progressive interest groups have spent millions of dollars on TV and digital advertising to fight incumbents, the GOP and its own PAC allies have not been fully involved in the air war against Democratic challengers.

“The reality is that although massively spent by liberal black money groups, the Republicans are still in a good position to hold the Senate majority in the fall,” said Jesse Hunt, spokesman for the National Republican Senatorial Committee.

The Trump campaign played down the concerns of Republican candidates, showing that the united GOP offered the best chance of winning across the board in November.

“Every candidate who wants to win will compete with the President,” said Erin Perrine, deputy director of communications for Trump’s campaign. “He has energy, enthusiasm and grassroots infrastructure. If you are a candidate, you want to be part of the movement.”

But what Republican professionals say will be very helpful if the President holds fast to the encouraging message of bringing the country back from a pandemic.

“When he did it right three days in a row, it really hit the numbers,” Reed said. “We need command performance on message discipline.”

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Who is Paulo Bento, the Portuguese coach from South Korea who coached Cruzeiro?

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The coach commanded the Portuguese national team at the 2014 World Cup in Brazil and left the South Korean national team after being eliminated in Qatar.

Portuguese coach Paulo Bento qualified South Korea for the playoffs of the World Cup, something the team had not achieved since 2010, when the South Korean team reached the 1/8 finals of this championship. But 4-1 rout against Brazil as a result, shortened the path of the Asian team, as well as put an end to the work of Paulo Sousa in the national team.

Paulo Bento started his career as a coach with the youth team of Sporting Clube Portugal in 2004. At the club, he commanded the youth team for two seasons, winning the junior national tournament in his first year. Incidentally, the coach took over the first team shortly after he announced his retirement as a player.

Given his prominence in the youth categories, Paulo was chosen to replace José Peseiro, who was eliminated in European competition, in the professional team of Sporting CP for the 2005 season./2006.

Professionally, Bento was runner-up for four seasons in a row in the Portuguese Championship. Despite this, the coach won two Portuguese Cups and two Candido de Oliveira Super Cups. On November 6, 2009, the coach resigned.

Having distinguished himself at Sporting, Paulo Bento was announced as Portugal’s coach on 21 September 2010 after the World Cup in South Africa, where the then-champion Spain was selected in the round of 16.

Gettyimages

In qualifying, the coach managed to show good results in the first games, plus, of course, take Portugal to the semi-finals of Euro 2012, taking off from Spain on penalties. Having stood out in competitions, the coach extended the contract until Euro 2016.

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However, after losing to Albania in qualifying for Euro 2016, the coach could not resist and was fired in September 2014. The unsuccessful campaign at the World Cup of the same year in Brazil also affected.

After the Portugal national team, Paulo Bento returned to Brazil in May 2016, but this time to coach the Cruzeiro club. With a contract until December 2017, the coach made his debut in the second round of the Brasileirão the same year.

Paulo Bento Cruzeiro Brazilian Championship in Sao Paulo 05062016Washington Alves/Light Press/Cruzeiro

However, Bento only lasted 17 matches in power with six wins, three draws and eight losses, leaving the team in second-to-last place in the tournament.

On 11 August 2016, the coach was announced as the new commander of Olympiacos, Greece, where he remained until 6 March 2017, winning the Greek title. Following this, Paulo Bento was announced as Chongqing Dangdai of China leading the team for only 15 matches.

20221124 Paulo BentoGetty Images

On August 16, 2018, Paulo Bento was announced as the new coach of South Korea following the departure of Shin Tae-yong, who lost in the group stage of the 2018 World Cup.

As part of the South Korean national team, the coach has 55 wins, 12 draws and eight losses, having won the East Asian Cup title and classified the team at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. After being knocked out against Brazil in the 1/8 finals, the Portuguese announced his retirement from the national team.

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Pioli ‘pulls’ Leao by the ears and says the Portuguese ‘must make a dash’

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Pioli 'pulls' Leao by the ears and says the Portuguese 'must make a dash'

FROMTefano Pioli, Milan coach, gave an interview on the Italian radio program Sky Calcio Club on Sunday in which he talked about Rafael Leao’s participation in the 2022 Mundial, a test in which the Portuguese striker was a replacement for Fernando Santos. ‘, indicating that he has been talking to his player over the past few days.

“If we talk? They have an obligation to call me at the end of the game. He is happy because Portugal is doing well. It is clear that he would like to play more. I can take advantage of this for a contract extension,” said Pioli, who also spoke about the Portuguese’s renewal process.

“He is fine with us and management and Rafael are talking. We are waiting for good news,” the Transalpine coach fired.

Looking at his player’s short playing time at this 2022 World Cup, Pioli admitted that Rafael Leau would like to have more playing time for the national team, but hinted that the Portuguese striker is not unhappy.

“If he plays a little? It’s hard to judge because Portugal has a very high quality team. Rafael is happy because Portugal is having a good World Cup, but there is a lot of quality and competitiveness in the attacking sector of the Portuguese team. “, – stressed the coach of the Italian, who also left a small warning to Rafael Leau.

“When you see him in training, you immediately understand that he has incredible potential. He has technique and speed that few others have. Over the course of a period, he had to develop and adapt to the reality at Milan, where the pressure is different from what he is. he was in Lille. It took time, but his potential to become a great player was always there. But he still needs to make the leap to become a champion because he can be even more decisive in the opponent’s zone,” he stressed.

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“If you think about Rafael from two years ago, he has made tremendous progress. He’s missing a few things, but he’s smart and approachable. I can give him all the ideas he wants, but his talent must be left free. should improve his heading, given his physique,” he concluded.

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Portugal, nuts and the Portuguese consumer: a successful trilogy

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Portugal, nuts and the Portuguese consumer: a successful trilogy

Nuts have become part of a limited group of Portuguese agri-food sectors that manage to achieve much-desired food self-sufficiency. In the case of almonds it is 170% and in the case of chestnuts it is 116% in relation to the national consumption.

The value of Portuguese agricultural production in 2021 was 9.6 billion euros, representing a growth rate of 14.6% compared to 2020, and therefore it is fair to say that dried fruits today, with a production of 80,000 tons and exports reaching 100 million euros contributed. to this success.

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