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Biden goes ahead of the 2016 Clinton pace

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Former US Vice President Joe Biden speaks during the First State Democratic Dinner in Dover, Delaware, on March 16, 2019.

What is the point: Almost every time I explain that Biden is leading Trump, someone will definitely bring up “but what about 2016.” That’s why this week marks an important milestone for the Biden campaign.

This was one of the first times during an election year that Biden was clearly running ahead of Hillary Clinton’s 2016 speed in the fight against Trump.

Four years ago, Trump closed national gap quickly with Clinton when he conquered Republican opponents Ted Cruz and John Kasich from the presidential election. Clinton’s average advantage shrank from 10 points during the first half of April to 6 points in the second half of April to 4 points in the first half of May to only 1 point in a poll that was completed four years ago between May 16 to May 23.
In terms of high quality individual polls, you don’t need to look any further than Fox News. Clinton trailed Trump with 3 points in a Fox News poll came out four years ago between May 16 – May 23. Now, Biden is up 8 points in the same poll.
Indeed, Clinton also uses high-quality direct telephone ABC News / Washington Post poll four years ago it was finished between May 16 – May 23.

Biden in particular has not participated in a direct interview poll so far this year.

Even though Clinton will regain some of his profits in June 2016, the fact that the race got very close at this point four years ago is an indication that voters are rather nervous. This shows that under the right circumstances, Clinton could lose nationally, or, at the very least, that Trump could become close enough nationally to win in an election college.

Biden’s superiority, of course, is the most stable of all time. His superiority never fell to a point or anywhere near. It’s been consistent at or right around 6 points, like this week. If you make a 95% confidence interval around the 2016 and 2020 individual polls, the 2016 race is about 1.5 times more volatile to date.

But it’s not only margins that are important to check. Look at the percentage of votes.

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The reason why Biden’s advantage is so vast compared to Clinton’s is because he ran a little more than 5 points ahead of where Clinton was in terms of percentage of votes. Biden is slightly greater than 48%, while Clinton is slightly less than 43%.

Even when Clinton’s leadership widened in June, he never reached 48% in the polls. He had to take on more voters who were late in deciding that their leaders felt safe than Biden.

Interestingly, Trump actually drew around the same percentage of votes in the poll as at the end of May 2016. Without rounding, he only walked around 0.4 points worse.

There are many voters who have not yet voted or a third party at the end of May 2016. Without rounding, Biden and Trump add up to 89.5% of the vote on average. Clinton and Trump increased to 84.9%.

Keep in mind, only a few of the polls conducted four years ago were completed between May 16 – May 23 including Libertarian Gary Johnson as an option. Focusing only on those who did vote showed Clinton and Trump deadlocked just under 39%. That is, Trump is tied to Clinton even because he has a lower share of votes than he has in the 2020 poll now. Major party candidates together add up to 77% to the poll asking about Johnson.

When elections have not been decided and third parties are high in the polls, that means greater uncertainty. Third-party candidates tend to deflate during the election year. Combining third-party and undecided voter blocks gives large party candidates larger groups to take voters from.
In other words, Trump had more room four years ago to take over. And, in fact, Trump won over the strength of his support among voters who voted last month.

More Americans have said that they are willing to vote for Biden in the most likely electoral battle than they ever did against Clinton at any point in the last six months of the campaign.

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The obvious question moving forward is whether Biden can follow suit. So far, he and his basement campaign face challenges.

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UFRR oferta oficinas de Línguas Portuguesa e Estrangeiras

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UFRR oferta oficinas de Línguas Portuguesa e Estrangeiras

Oficinas serão realizadas por alunos estagiários dos cursos de Letras (português, espanhol e inglês), sob orientação dos professores das disciplinas de Estágio Supervisionado

O Núcleo de Línguas Estrangeiras (Nucele) e os cursos de bacharelado em Letras da Universidade Federal de Roraima (UFRR) abriram inscrições para oficinas gratuitas nas áreas de línguas portuguesa e estrangeiras, para estudantes do ensino fundamental e médio.

Trata-se de uma proposta de desenvolvimento dos estágios curriculares supervisionados das licenciaturas em Letras no âmbito do Ensino Remoto Emergencial-ERE da UFRR. As oficinas serão realizadas por alunos estagiários dos cursos de Letras (português, espanhol e inglês), sob orientação dos professores das disciplinas de Estágio Supervisionado.

O publico-alvo é especialmente alunos que desejam realizar o Exame Nacional do Ensino Médio, alunos que pretendem fazer o vestibular da UFRR, além de alunos que tenham interesse de fazer o ensino médio no Instituto Federal de Ciência e Tecnologia de Roraima. No entanto, todos os alunos do ensino fundamental e médio podem participar;

O período das inscrições das oficinas segue o seguinte cronograma:

Oficina de Leitura: “O cidadão de Papel: uma proposta de leitura crítica”. Incrições de 19/01 a 30/01.

Oficina de Lingua Portuguesa Ensino Fundamental: “Do povo para a sala de aula: estudando gêneros populares na aula de português”. Incrições de 18/01 a 01/02.

Oficina 1 de Espanhol: “El extraordinario mundo de los cuentos”. Incrições de 17/01 a 02/02.

Oficina 2 de Espanhol: “El universo de las historietas: los superheroes de hoy”. Incrições de 20/01 a 01/02.

Oficina 3 de Espanhol: “Cuentos de terror: desentrañando las narrativas de Quiroga”. Incrições de 21/01 a 18/02. Link: encurtador.com.br/mortC

Oficina 4 de Espanhol: “Biografia: personajes del mundo hispânico”. Incrições de 21/01 a 17/02. link:

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Oficina de Literatura – Ensino Medio: “A mulher preta eo pobre e no Vestibular da UFRR: um retrato brasileiro por meio da Literatura.” Incrições de 25/01 to 30/01.

Oficina de Conversação de Inglês. Incrições de 25/01 to 31/01.

Leitura e compreensão textual em língua inglesa para ENEM e vestibular. Incrições de 25/01 to 31/01.

Para se increver, basta acessar este link

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Covid-19 custou ao Estado português 7.74 mil milhões de euros só em 2021

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Covid-19 custou ao Estado português 7.74 mil milhões de euros só em 2021

A covid-19 custom ao Estado portugues 7.74 mil milhoes de euros só em 2021, divulgou esta quinta-feira a Direção-Geral do Orçamento (DGO), num dia em que Portugal estabeleceu um novo recorde diário de infeções.

“Até ao final de Dezembro, a execução das medidas adotadas no âmbito do combate e da prevenção da Covid-19, bem como as que têm por objetivo repor a normalidade, conduziu a uma redução da receita de 306.4 milhões de euros ea um aumento da despesa total em 7.437.3 milhões de euros”, lê-se na”Sintese da Execução Orçamentalda DGO.

Incluído na despesa estão os apoios as empresas e ao empregoque somaram 4.027.6 milhões de euros, sendo um quarto no âmbito no programa Apoiar e um pouco de mais de outro quarto no apoio aos transportes.

O apoio ao setor da Saude somou no ano passado 1,474.9 milhões de euros, sendo aqui incluído o investimento em recursos humanos, vacinas e testes.

Quanto ao boletim epidemiologico da Direção-Geral de Saude (DGS), foram diagnosticadas 65.706 novas infeções de quarta para quinta-feira, um novo recorde diário no país, e há ainda a lamentar mais 41 mortes com Covid-19.

Em termos hospitalares, registou-se uma queda de 64 “doentes covid” internadoshavendo agora um máximo de 2249 camas ocupadas, incluindo 147 nos cuidados intensivos (menos sete do que na quarta-feira).

Em termos de vacinas contra a Covid-19, está já aberto o autoagendamento da dose de reforço para maiores de 18 anos. O pedido pod ser feito online pelo portal do Serviço Nacional de Saúde.

O reforço pode ser feito por “utentes com idade igual ou superior a 18 anos, que tenham completado o esquema primário há cincom meses e não tenham tido infeção há menos de cincom meses”, explicam os Serviços Partilhados do Ministério da Saúde (SPMS).

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Pela Europa

O governo britânico pretende aliviar as restrições anticovid em Inglaterra eo fim do uso obrigatorio das máscaras é uma das medidas já em vigor.

Para o ministro da Saude britânico, Sajid Javidmanter a proteção facial contra a Covid-19 é agora “um questão de decisão pessoal“, mas ainda assim alguns operadores de transportes públicos ingleses mantém o pedido de uso de máscaras nos respetivos serviços.

Na Dinamarca, todas as restrições vão ser levantadas a partir de 1 de fevereiro. Entre os dinamarqueses, existe um misto de medo e alívio. Até porque este foi o país onde a variante Ómicron começou por ser mais agressiva na Europa e ainda há muitas pessoas infetadas.

Em Franca, a dois meses das eleições presidenciais, voltaram as manifestações sindicais pelos aumentos salariais, num contexto ainda muito marcado pela Covid-19. Em especial nas escolas, com muitas salas fechadas devido a professores infetados.

De acordo com o balanço desta quarta-feira, foram diagnosticadas em 24 horas mais 392 mil novas infeções e registados mais 268 mortos em ambiente hospitalar, o que elevou a tragédia de Covid-19 em França para mais de 130 mil mortos em quase dois anos de presença do vírus no país.

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João Rendeiro prefers the company of Portuguese-speaking prisoners to a cell just for himself – Observer

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João Rendeiro prefers the company of Portuguese-speaking prisoners to a cell just for himself - Observer

The former president of Banco Privado Português (BPP) has rejected a court offer to provide a cell alone at Westville Prison in South Africa because he is being held with other Portuguese-speaking Mozambican detainees, the lawyer said.

“The judge offered him an isolation cell” other than solitary confinement “next to the infirmary, but he doesn’t want to be isolated“, Disse June Marks.

The lawyer said the offer came after complaints of health problems last week.

Marks told Luza that Rendeiro, 69, had a heart problem, and the prison doctor expressed concern about his exposure to tuberculosis, which is widespread in the prison.

OUR The former banker had a fever, and he went through the prison hospital for medical attention, he added at the time. Last week Rendeiro came into the courtroom coughing.

Farmer helps out in prison cell in South Africa after showing signs of fever

A PUB • CONTINUE TO READ BELOW

However, June Marks said that Rendeiro turned down the offer to be transferred to another cell for cohabitation reasons.

“John is fine today. [esta quinta-feira]. He seems to be on the mend and feeling much better. I spent a lot of time with him“, he said.

“He is with other Portuguese-speaking prisoners from Mozambique, so he would not like to be in isolation,” the lawyer said.

Marx added that Rendeiro should not even be in prison under European law.

“There is an explanatory note in the European Union (EU) Extradition Convention stating that an elderly person or a pregnant woman cannot be imprisoned, and Jwow almost 70 years“pointed.

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June Marks said she will file a second bail application in February, in addition to an appeal to the Durban High Court Verulam Court to dismiss her first application.

The lawyer had previously confirmed to Luce that Rendeiro instructed her to file a lawsuit. complaint to the UN about the “inhumane” conditions in which he was held in Westville Prison.

At Thursday’s meeting, the parties agreed on a timetable for the trial to follow, with Rendeiro returning to court on May 20 for what he calls a “pre-trial” hearing in preparation for the extradition hearing, which is due to take place. place from 13 to 30 June.

The judge schedules a meeting for prosecutors and lawyers for May, but Rendeiro’s trial is not due until June.

Arrested on 11 December in the city of Durban, after nearly three months on the run from Portuguese justice, Joao Rendeiro was presented to Judge Rajesh Parshotam of the Verulam Court, who on 17 December applied the most severe measure of coercion to him. , placing him on remand in Westville Jail.

The former banker was convicted in three separate cases related to the collapse of BPP, and the court found that he withdrew 13.61 million euros from the bank. Of the three convictions, only one has become final and allows no further appeals, while João Rendeiro is due to serve an effective prison sentence of five years and eight months.

João Rendeiro was also sentenced to 10 years in prison in the second case and an additional three years and six months in the third case, the two sentences are still pending.

Joao Rendeiro will have a space of “1.4 meters” in prison. “It became a matter of life and death,” says the lawyer

The collapse of BPP in 2010 affected thousands of customers and cost hundreds of millions of euros to the state.

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